The Kentucky Wildcats got the monkey off their back by winning one NCAA Tournament game, beating Providence. However, after being eliminated in a heartbreaking loss to Kansas State, that makes three straight seasons where Kentucky has failed to make the second weekend of the tournament.
The lack of recent success has been disappointing for Kentucky fans, a fanbase known for their high expectations. That frustration has been felt by the media, leading many of them to give their “bold” takes on the state of the Kentucky program.
One media personality, Paul Finebaum of ESPN/SEC Network, gave his opinion on Kentucky in a radio appearance earlier this week.
“Kentucky has become irrelevant,” Finebaum said. “We get all excited about them every year, because they’ve got the No. 1 recruiting class coming in, which they do again. In November, they were the No. 4 team in the country. They had to fight to get into the tournament in February, which they did. Then they laid another egg. To the elite college basketball world, getting knocked out in the Round of 32 is a failure.”
The argument of failure to succeed with top recruiting classes is one that has been made by many. However, most of these people have not paid attention to Kentucky’s roster construction of late, as the lack of elite, NBA-level talent has been a real issue.
From Calipari’s first season (2009) to his last Final Four (2015), Kentucky had sixteen top-10 recruits, with 10 of those being in the top-5. Whereas since then, Kentucky has had just eight top-10 recruits, and just one top-5 recruit (excluding Shaedon Sharpe who did not play).
This isn’t to say Kentucky still hasn’t underperformed with the talent they have had, but Calipari has been most successful with elite players, and the recruiting hasn’t been at the same level.
That will change next season, as Calipari and a renovated staff are bringing in five, five-star prospects, including four ranked in the top-10, and three in the top-5.
Not to mention, the Southeastern conference has become much more difficult to win in. While Kentucky has always been at the top, other programs are finally investing into basketball. As a result, the conference now has some of the best coaches in the country and is now bringing in the top players, from high school and the transfer portal.
Finebaum went on to note that even by “moving the goalposts,” UK had to reach the Sweet 16 because of the last few seasons of having a losing season, and last year losing to Saint Peter’s to open the NCAA Tournament.
“Just to wash away the stench of the last couple years,” Finebaum said. “… There’s no way you can look this season as anything other than a failure. And there’s no way you can look at John Calipari’s career as saying nothing but the clock is ticking loudly.”
If you look at Calipari’s career as a whole, he has seven Elite Eights, four Final Fours, and a National Championship. Unfortunately, the bulk of that success came in the first half of his tenure, going on a tear of winning that few have done. If you spread that success out over his entire tenure, things are likely to be looked at much differently.
As mentioned, Calipari will have a team of NBA talent next season, will he make a run and reverse the trajectory?
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