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Kentucky vs. Georgia: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Back to a .500 record after a win against Ohio, the Kentucky Wildcats will go on the road for the first time this season to take on the sixth-ranked Ole Miss Rebels in Oxford.

Lane Kiffin in his fifth season as head coach of the Rebels may have the most talented roster he’s had with Ole Miss. With a solidified Heisman candidate in Jaxson Dart leading a “video game offense” and multiple elite transfers on both sides of the ball, they are one of the favorites to make the College Football Playoff. Beating their first four opponents by an average of 49.5 points per game, they’re looking the part.

That said, their strength of schedule is among the worst in college football this season. Playing an FCS team and three FBS teams, their toughest opponent thus far is Wake Forest, who ranks 86th in ESPN’s power index rankings. Therefore Kentucky will not just be their SEC opener, but a different level of opponent.

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Under Mark Stoops, Kentucky is 0-3 against Ole Miss, but they have played them closer than any other opponent with an average margin of defeat of just 2.3 points. The most recent came in 2022 after a Kentucky touchdown in the final minute was called back for illegal motion.

Prior to that game, Kentucky was 19-7. Since that game, Kentucky is just 12-14. A win over a top-10-ranked Ole Miss team could certainly push things back in the right direction.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Elite Offense vs Elite Defense

“It feels like we’re going against the Super Bowl Rams, the Greatest Show on Turf,” Kentucky defensive coordinator Brad White said on Wednesday, holding the Ole Miss offense in high regard and for good reason as they lead or are atop the nation in most statistical offensive categories:

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  • Points Per Game: 55.0, 1st
  • Yards Per Game: 670.8, 1st
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 422.8, 1st
  • Yards Per Play: 8.85, 1st
  • Offensive Success Rate: 55.5%, 1st
  • Plays of 10+ Yards: 100, 1st
  • Plays per Game: 75.8, 7th
  • Rushing Yards Per Game: 248.0, 12th

Again, Ole Miss hasn’t played a defense as tough as Kentucky’s, which ranks sixth in total defense. Lane Kiffin knows that, likening the Wildcats’ defensive unit to an “NFL defense”.

It will be a battle of two strengths. For Kentucky to have a chance to win, they are going to have to play their best on defense. Fortunately, they have already shown they are capable of that, limiting a Georgia offense to just one touchdown.

Battle In the Trenches

One of the biggest issues for Ole Miss in recent seasons has been their weakness in the trenches. This offseason, they made a concerted effort to fix that.

For the defensive line, things look vastly improved. However, question marks still remain with the offensive line, in large part due to injuries. That same could be said of Kentucky this season, however, they have the advantage of being tested in the trenches by Georgia.

If Ole Miss’ offensive line meets the play of Kentucky’s defensive line, they could win this game comfortably. If the Kentucky D-Line is able to overwhelm the Rebels and slow down their offense, it will give the Wildcat offense a shot at an upset bid.

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Injuries

On Wednesday’s injury report, Ole Miss listed twenty-six players. Yes, 2-6. In comparison, Kentucky had just seven players listed.

That said, fourteen of those players are listed as “probable”. By SEC standards, that means they have a greater than 75 percent chance of playing. That number will likely get smaller as the report is updated leading up to Saturday’s contest.

The unit that has been hurt the most has been the Ole Miss offensive line, which has just seen one of three projected starters play a snap this season. While they have a lot of weapons on offense, if Kentucky were to have an advantage on the Ole Miss offense, it would be there.

Kentucky Wildcats (2-2) vs. No. 6 Ole Miss Rebels (4-0)

  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET on September 28th, 2024
    Location: Vaught Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi.
    TV Channel: SEC Network will have today’s coverage.
    Announcers: Dave Neal, Aaron Murray, and Ashley ShahAhmadi will call the action.
    Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
    Radio: Tom Leach and Jeff Piecoro have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Network.
    Satellite Radio: XM Channel 203, Sirius Channel 98, Internet Channel 966
    Replay: ESPN+ and SEC Network (check local listings).
    Rosters: UK | MISS
    Stats To Know: UK | MISS
    Advanced Stats
    Weather.com Forecast
  • Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky as a 17.5-point underdog with an over/under of 53.5. ESPN gives the Wildcats less than a 10 percent chance of victory.
  • PredictionsTeamRankings has Kentucky losing by three scores 35-18. OddsShark projects them to lose in a close contest 31-29. DRatings.com picks the Cats to lose 33-21. I’m going with the Cats to cover the spread, but ultimately lose 31-17.

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Jamon Dumas-Johnson: A NFL Draft Steal

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Kentucky Wildcats linebacker Jamon Dumas-Johnson (2) makes the sign of the cross while taking a knee before the game.
Carter Skaggs | Imagn

Before he transferred to Kentucky, Jamon Dumas-Johnson was an All-American at Georgia, with waves to at least test the NFL draft after winning a National Championship. However, with the decision to play his last collegiate season as a Wildcat, Dumas-Johnson was a cornerstone piece for the Kentucky defense, finishing the season with 7.5 tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks during his 11 starts for the team. 

His athleticism spoke volumes at Kentucky football’s NFL pro day, where current NFL draft boards now list the linebacker as one of the best athletes at the position and has earned himself a “top 10” feel ahead of the draft. Before pro day, publications such as Bleacher Report had him listed as No. 13 at his position. 

Dumas-Johnson proved himself with the highest vertical jump (37.5) and the longest broad jump (10.60) out of the Wildcats who competed in said events, and ran an impressive best 4.50 40-yard dash. At 245 pounds, he also managed to press 16 reps of 225, which could technically be “better” compared to NFL standards, but is impressive nonetheless in hindsight.

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At 23 years old, this linebacker exploits explosiveness, agility and can hawk down any playmaker on the field. Out the 31 NFL teams that attended the event (a Cleveland Browns representative did not attend), one will be getting a prize steal of the draft with Dumas-Johnson. 

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Alex Raynor: A Rare Gem In This Year’s NFL Draft

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Kentucky Wildcats place kicker Alex Raynor (16) lines up a kick.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

Alex Raynor had an illustrious season for Kentucky last year, being named to First-Team All-SEC, as a finalist for the Lou Groza award and as SEC Special Teams Player of the Year.

As the record holder for the longest field goal in program history, and arguably one of, if not the, most consistent kickers to ever be a Wildcat, Raynor now looks to the NFL Draft in the next chapter of his book. 

Recently, at Kentucky football’s NFL Pro Day on Tuesday, March 11, Raynor kicked off the event with his workout. 

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Although he would miss a routine kick for him inside of the 45, he would continue to move back, nailing a 55-yard kick and nearly making a 60-yard kick. 

The best moments of his workout came when Raynor would line up behind the UK logo inside of Nutter Field House and would nail a 65-yard field goal.

That, although it’s an indoor kick and is not faced with the NFL pressure, would be one of the longest field goals in NFL history. 

Historically, it’s extremely rare for kickers to be drafted any higher than the 6th, more commonly going in the late rounds on the third day. 

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However, Raynor would hold as one of the rare occasions to go higher than projected, due to his historic year as a Wildcat.

Wherever the young man from Georgia ends up in the pros, don’t be surprised if you hear his name every reoccurring Sunday.

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The State of Kentucky Football

Following their worst season in nearly a decade, Kentucky Football faces a steep rebuild and rising expectations.

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Kentucky football coach Mark Stoops has been linked to the Texas A&M job.
Chet White | UK Athletics

After charting a 4-8 record in the 2023-24 season, including a 1-7, second-to-last finish in the SEC, Kentucky Football looks lost for the first time in a long time.

It can be argued that the program never really broke through to the “higher echelon” of college football in the first place, but even then, they’ve been consistently better than they were historically known to be. Until now.

With that aforementioned .333 record, the Cats weren’t able to earn a bowl game. That marks the first time since the 2015 season that Kentucky Football won’t appear in postseason competition, and, excluding the 2020 season (for COVID-related reasons,) it’s also the only time the Wildcats have finished under .500 since then.

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What about the last time the team had less than five wins? 2013, in Stoops’ first season. The deeper you dig, the worse it appears.

Losing to Louisville in blowout fashion at the end of last month felt like the straw that broke the Cats’ back. It was clear that whatever would happen next wouldn’t be simply transitional, and thus far, the early offseason has evidenced that.

The Big Move

It began with an exodus. Star wideout Barion Brown elected to transfer to LSU for his senior season. His receiver running mate, Dane Key, left for Nebraska. In addition to the team’s two primary deep threats, Chip Trayanum, the promising back and former Buckeye who spent much of this year battling injuries, took his talents to Toledo.

In total, the Cats have lost nearly two dozen players to the transfer portal, and that’s not even counting the guys headed to the NFL draft (like Deone Walker and Maxwell Hairston,) as well as the graduates.

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To put it bluntly, next year’s team will share little more with the players from this past season than the blue and white on their jerseys. It’s a brutal overhaul, though one Coach Stoops and his staff are trying to get the jump on, to their credit.

Fresh Faces

Among a growing list of incoming transfers, a few names in particular stand out. Chief among them is Zach Calzada, a quarterback whose upcoming season at Kentucky will mark his fifth year playing football in his third different jersey.

The journeyman spent this past season at Incarnate Word, where he threw for 35 touchdowns and only nine interceptions. He completed 344 passes on the year, almost doubling that of his previous two. 

Before his two-year stint at IW, Calzada spent the beginnings of his college career at Texas A&M where, among a mixture of steadily improving statistics, he led the Aggies to an impressive home win over the still Saban-led Alabama Crimson Tide. Whether or not his recent success in the Southland Conference will translate back to the SEC is yet to be seen, but, at least on paper, this pickup makes sense for Kentucky following a year of unsparing QB play across the board.

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Along with Calzada, the Cats have hauled in J.J. Hester, a 6 ‘4 senior receiver from Oklahoma, Dante Dowdell, a power back coming off a 12-touchdown season for Nebraska, and Sam Greene, a defensive end transferring in from USC, among a handful of others. We’ll have a team. 

Though, even considering the roster turnover, that wasn’t the question. That still remains, “what will that team do?”

Potential vs. Progress

Kentucky is 18-25 in their last three seasons of football; a steady decline that has been made worse by the fact that the program’s outlier 10-3 finish in the 2021 season has since been disqualified by the NCAA due to a rule violation. All in all, the last half-decade has been, at best, barely getting by.

How long will this trend continue? The only thing we know for sure is that nobody is sure. Answering that question requires the analysis and knowing of many moving parts, not all of which are at widespread disposal.

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But this much is clear: the longtime variable nature of Kentucky Football came to a head this year, and the product we’re about to see is going to have to be radically different from the one we’ve just seen in order to right this ship.

For better or worse, the 2024-25 season will likely go down as the most important yet in the Stoops era at UK.

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