Championship week is upon us and no other team in the
country has been as dominate in their conference than Kentucky has in the SEC.
Kentucky has won the SEC tournament 31 times since the
inaugural tournament in 1933. The second most? Alabama with 6, with their last
sec tournament title coming in 1991. Kentucky has not lost an SEC Tournament
game since the 2014 final against Florida in the Georgia Dome, and is poised to
make another run at the SEC tournament title.
Under Calipari, Kentucky has only failed to miss the title
game once and have won 6 times in their 8 appearances. For someone who doesn’t
‘care’ about the SEC tournament he sure loves to win it. Let’s take a step back
and look at the big picture of the SEC Tournament and what’s to come.
The Favorites
Kentucky (26-5, 15-3):
The Wildcats have 16 out of their last 18 games and are an offensive
interference call away from a SEC regular season title. The Cats will most
likely welcome back missed graduate transfer Reid Travis in some capacity. The
Cats will play the early game on Friday and could matchup against Tennessee to
settle the series and secure a 1 seed with a win.
Tennessee (27-4,
15-3): Grant Williams was named AP SEC Player of the Year on Tuesday and
both Admiral Schofield and Jordan Bone made AP All-SEC teams. The Vols are one
of the most veteran led teams in the country. Coming off loss to Auburn, I
fully expect Rick Barnes to have floppy top motivated and ready to play
Kentucky is the semifinal.
LSU (26-5, 16-2):
Surrounded by controversy, LSU did just win the SEC regular season title for
the first since 2009. Even though the NCAA will probably take it away, the
Tigers have bought enough talent to win the SEC tournament too.
Sleepers
Auburn (22-9, 11-7):
Guards win come tournament time, that’s been shown time and time again. Auburn
who was ranked as high as no. 8 in the country, has had a difficult time in SEC
play. However, this Tiger team still has the 12th most efficient
offense in the country and a top-40 defense. The Tigers are playing well and
coming off a win against Tennessee. With a favorable bracket, this team could
catch fire and make a run to the final.
Mississippi State (22-9,
10-8): Mississippi State has one of the best teams they have had in several
years. Just like Auburn, the Bulldogs were at one time top-20 in the country
but have struggled in SEC play. The Bulldogs have one of the toughest roads to
the final, if not the toughest as they will need to beat Tennessee and Kentucky
to make the championship game.
Ole Miss (20-11,
10-8): The Rebels are most likely in the NCAA tournament unless they collapse.
Ole Miss has lost 3 of their last 4, but they played Tennessee and Kentucky
very well. With one of the best backcourts in the SEC in Breein Tyree and Terence
Davis, they could provide some big scoring outbursts to make it to the final.
Florida (17-14, 9-9):
The Gators came into the season with hopes to compete as one of the top teams
in the SEC. That just hasn’t been the case as they are sitting right on the
bubble. The Gators have a top 15 defense in the country, but really struggle on
offense. However, the Gators play hard and if they bring the urgency of needing
a win, they could squeeze out some wins with their defense.
Hell Would Freeze
Over
Georgia (11-20, 2-16):
Tom Crean admitted that he regretted keeping this team…
Vanderbilt (27-4,
15-3): They went 0-18 in SEC play…
Tournament
Implications
Kentucky for a #1
Seed: When the world seen Kentucky get blown out by 34 points by Duke on
opening night, not many would have thought Kentucky would be contending for a 1
seed. However, the Wildcats have the opportunity to do just that. Virginia and Gonzaga
have all but locked up a 1 seed, leaving two more. North Carolina and Duke are
in contention for a one seed and unless both are upset early, whoever goes the
farthest in the ACC tournament will get a 1 seed. The Cats should beat the winner
of Ole Miss/Alabama and if they are able to beat Tennessee in the semifinal,
they should certainly receive a 1 seed.
Florida on the Bubble:
Despite having a disappointing season, Florida is on the bubble. The Gators
were projected in the tournament before losing three straight to close out the
regular season. Florida is in the favorable part of the bracket, and have taken
LSU to the wire in their previous two matchups. If the Gators are able to beat
Arkansas and upset LSU they can place themselves firmly back into the NCAA
tournament.
Alabama on the Bubble:
Alabama has lost 7 of their last 11, but the bubble is so terrible this
year that their nonconference play still has the Crimson Tide in contention for
an at-large bid. Alabama was able to beat Kentucky and take Tennessee to the
final possession. To give themselves the best shot at an NCAA bid, Alabama will
need to use their talent and athleticism to beat Ole Miss on Thursday and hope
for some things to go their way.
Odds
2019 SEC Tournament Odds
- Tennessee Volunteers +190
- Kentucky Wildcats +200
- LSU Tigers +420
- Auburn Tigers +420
- Mississippi State Bulldogs +1500
- Florida Gators +1800
- Ole Miss Rebels +4000
- South Carolina Gamecocks +4400
- Arkansas Razorbacks +5100
- Alabama Crimson Tide +6500
- Missouri Tigers +6500
- Texas A&M Aggies +9500
- Georgia Bulldogs +9700
- Vanderbilt Commodores +9800
This year’s SEC tournament is back in Nashville and it will definitely
be special. Bridgestone Arena is usually packed in blue, but it looks like some
gawdy orange will find itself in there as well as Tennessee has played this
season. Unless a MAJOR upset occurs, I expect the winner of the Kentucky-Tennessee
semifinal to go on and win the SEC tournament. Let’s get Reid Travis back in
the lineup, have some fun, and bring the SEC tournament Trophy back to John
Calipari’s house as we watch the Selection Show.
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