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Alabama’s Nate Oats Believes Kentucky’s Defense Can Turn Around, “They’ve Got the Personnel”

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Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nate Oats looks on during the first half against the Kentucky Wildcats.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Kentucky came into the matchup versus the Tide as a slight favorite after a big win over No. 11 Texas A&M. Kentucky was playing host to a top-five team nationally and one of the best guards in the nation Mark Sears.

Kentucky fought and battled with the Crimson Tide till the last buzzer but fell short of their sixth straight win over a top-15 opponent Alabama’s Mark Sears and Grant Nelson were a major factor in Alabama’s win combining for 49 points and 11 assists which propelled the tide over the Cats, who scored 102 points.

Giving up that many points is not a recipe for success, but it has been a trend as the Wildcats have given up 80 or more points in seven of their last eight games against power opponents.

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Nate Oats knows a little bit about that as Alabama made a Final Four last season, with a late-season defensive turnaround. He believes Kentucky is capable of doing that this year.

“I’m sure (Mark Pope) is going to try to get them to be a little better than we were last year, because we weren’t very good,” Oats said, referencing his Final Four team from last season “I think we weren’t even in the top 100 there to close the year out. If your offense is good enough, you can get yourself enough wins. Again, I think they’ve got the personnel to be a pretty good defensive team.”

Oats went on to highlight Lamont Butler and Amari Williams who both won Defensive Player of the Year awards before their time at Kentucky, and even Andrew Carr who he complimented on his toughness and intelligence.

Kentucky’s next game is Saturday against the Vanderbilt Commodores in Nashville at 2:30 EST and the game can be found on ESPN as the Cats take on the Upset mined Commodores who look to take down their second straight top 10 team last being Tennessee.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope gives Injury updates ahead of Kentucky’s matchup versus #1 Auburn, “It’s a Mixed Bag”

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Mark Pope helps Kentucky big man Amari Williams off the floor after an ankle injury.
Chet White | UK Athletics

Kentucky has been dealing with injuries for weeks, and while things are trending in the right direction in time for March, the injuries still have to be monitored.

On Friday, during his press conference to preview the Wildcats’ matchup with no. 1 Auburn, Mark Pope provided updates on where his injured players stand after a tough battle with Oklahoma.

“Lamont (Butler) came out great,” Pope said, opening with a positive note. Butler has been dealing with a shoulder injury since mid-January that has kept him out of six of the last nine games. In 20 minutes against Oklahoma, he recorded 7 points and 6 assists, and stated that he felt “no pain” after the game.

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Pope also noted that Andrew Carr came out “really good” after the win against the Sooners. The Wake Forest transfer has been playing through back pain since December and is looking much more comfortable on the court in the last week or two, putting up double figures in two of the last three games.

The updates weren’t all positive, though, as is the case with Jaxson Robinson and Amari Williams.

Robinson, who has been dealing with a wrist injury on his shooting hand, played just 12 minutes against Oklahoma before putting his warmups back on and icing his wrist. He came out “not quite so good,” from the game said Pope. It’s possible, if not likely, that Robinson is out for the Auburn game. It’s not worth him to

Finally, there is Amari Williams. The potential All-SEC big suffered a minor ankle roll in the opening minutes against Oklahoma, but went on to finish the game and played 19 minutes. Pope’s update on him was not quite positive or negative, but neutral.

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“Amari seems like he had a decent day yesterday [Thursday], we’ll know more about him today [Friday],” he said.

As the Cats look to see where they stand against the no. 1 ranked team in the country, Pope isn’t making any excuses.

The initial availability report will come out around 8:00 EST on Friday.

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How Mark Pope Discovered Ansley Almonor in the Transfer Portal

Using the “Moneyball” approach, Mark Pope and his staff plucked Ansley Almonor from the depths of the transfer portal.

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Kentucky Wildcats forward Ansley Almonor (15) celebrates in Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

Given mere months to construct a roster after being hired as Kentucky’s head coach last spring, there was no way Mark Pope and his staff could’ve familiarized themselves with the entire transfer portal in such a short amount of time.

Yet, based on what he calls the “Moneyball” approach, he plucked Ansley Almonor from the bottom of the figurative transfer portal barrel. Coming into the season, he was ranked 345th on On3’s list of players looking for a new home.

Now? Almonor started a long stretch of SEC games in Andrew Carr’s absence and has tallied a number of big performances, including a season-high 13 points in a home win over the fifth-ranked Tennessee Volunteers earlier this month.

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The “Moneyball” Approach

“I didn’t know Ansley at all before I was here at Kentucky,” Pope admitted in his presser on Thursday. “We have a bunch of different prongs of our portal attack, and one of them is kind of the Moneyball space of how we run with guys in the portal.

“You have your Excel spreadsheet with all of the columns of data, and we start to say, ‘Okay, let’s forget the algorithm that puts all that data together and then ranks players, and let’s just only go to like these three data points and throughout all the other data and see who raises to the top of the list if we do that?”

Enter: Almonor, a transfer from Farleigh Dickinson, flying well under everyone’s radar.

“His name came up pretty prominently on a list of guys we’re like, what do you think? Is there any way?” Pope said. “And then we started to watch film… He was a good scorer, and he had a creative vibe as a cutter. He had a real sense about, kind of finding open space.”

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An Every Man

“And clearly we’re attracted to his ability to shoot the ball, and then you hear that he beat Purdue in the first round (of the 2023 NCAA Tournament). And so there’s that little component, like man, he’s played in big games and all that stuff kind of coming together.”

Almonor has gone from very few minutes a game to a starting role on a team fighting for a top seed of the NCAA Tournament, including every transitional phase in-between, and has kept the same level-headed composure through it all.

Not every transfer find will be a hit like this one, but when you’ve got a coach who knows how to dig and a staff armed with shovels, you’re bound to strike gold now and again, and Ansley Almonor is just that.

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Kentucky vs. Auburn: TV/Streaming Info, Preview, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Mark Pope and Bruce Pearl, the Kentucky Wildcats take on the Auburn Tigers in a ranked matchup.
Jake Crandall, Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Fresh off a last-second win over the Oklahoma Sooners, the Kentucky Wildcats face arguably their toughest opponent of the season: Bruce Pearl and his top-ranked Auburn Tigers.

Auburn will invade Lexington for a 1 PM ET game time Saturday in what is one of the biggest matchups of the season.

Led by National Player of the Year favorite Johni Broome, who began his career at nearby Morehead State, the Tigers are likely getting the No. 1 overall seed in the 2025 NCAA Tournament with a 26-2 record. Those losses came to Duke and Florida, ironically, two teams that Kentucky has beaten.

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Playing the No. 1 team at Rupp for just the sixth time in program history is a great way to kick off March, and it will provide Kentucky a litmus test to see where they stand vs. a team that feels bound for a deep March Madness run.

Let’s take a look at what to watch for in the matchup.

Lamont Butler and Jaxson Robinson

Lamont Butler and Jaxson Robinson returned to the lineup against Oklahoma after a two-week absence, but neither played more than 20 minutes.

Butler did make his presence felt with seven points and six assists to go with his leadership and defensive pressure. On an even more positive note, he said postgame that he didn’t have any pain throughout the game.

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Sadly, that was not the case for Robinson, whose wrist injury did not respond well, explaining why he only played 12 minutes and missed the entire second half. He did manage to chip in seven points on 3/7 shooting with two steals and an assist, so he did have a relatively positive impact in his limited minutes. Just getting that Saturday would be huge vs. an Auburn team that’s likely going to score 80+ points.

Butler seems to be a full go for Auburn, but the team could play it safe with Robinson’s wrist and sit him for another game. That may be the right move to ensure he’s as healthy as possible for the Big Dance.

Free-Throw Shooting

Playing a physical brand of defense, Auburn fouls at a high rate. In fact, in three of their last four games, they have committed at least 22 fouls, and opponents have attempted an average of 26 free throws. That means Kentucky must take advantage of the charity stripe.

Of late, the Cats have done just that, converting 77.9% on their free throws over the last seven games.

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Against a team that doesn’t make many mistakes, taking advantage of the ones they do make certainly helps with the chance of an upset.

Push the Pace

Auburn has the most efficient offense in the country, according to KenPom. However, they are not a team that likes to push the pace. With an average offensive possession of 17.2 seconds, they rank 12th of 16 SEC teams and eighth in overall pace.

In the two games they have lost, their opponents have forced Auburn by playing at their pace and have gotten into their legs, making a difference at the end of the game.

While Kentucky can’t match the top ten defense of Duke or Florida, they are capable of beating the Tigers on the boards. With Lamont Butler back at point, they could use the boards to get some runouts and create some explosive plays.

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Opposing Players to Watch

G Johni Broome 6-10, 240 lbs

  • 18.8 PPG (3rd in SEC)
  • 11.0 RPG (1st in SEC)
  • 2.5 BPG (1st in SEC)

G Chad Baker-Mazara 6-7, 180 lbs

  • 12.7 PPG
  • 2.5 APG
  • 25 years of age

G Denver Jones 6-4, 205 lbs

  • 11.0 PPG
  • 2.5 APG
  • 43.4% 3P

Kentucky Basketball vs. Auburn Tigers

Time: 1:00 PM ET on March 1st, 2025
Location: Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center in Lexington, Kentucky
TV Channel: ABC
Announcers: Dan Shulman, Jay Bilas, and Jess Sims will call the fun.
Online Stream: You can stream the game online using ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | AU
Stats to Know: UK | AU
KenPom: UK | AU
Team Sheet: UK | AU

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds for the back, so check back Friday. EvanMiya is the most optimistic in the Cats’ chances…at just 38.3%. KenPom is the most pessimistic at 33, while. ESPN is at 35.7%, and BartTorvik has it at 34%.

Predictions: EvanMiya has an 82-79 win for Auburn. Haslametrics has it at 85-78 in favor of the Tigers. BartTorvik (87-82) and KenPom (86-81) both project narrow defeats for Kentucky. Auburn has lost just one game in SEC play and looks like the best team in the nation. Kentucky has a chance, especially if Butler and Robinson both play, but I don’t think they pull it off. Auburn, 86-79.

Send us your Kentucky vs. Auburn score predictions in the comments section!

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Go CATS!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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