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Kentucky vs. Arkansas, Round 2: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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The Kentucky Wildcats will look to sweep the season series against the Arkansas Razorbacks, as they faceoff in Rupp Arena on Saturday.
Nelson Chenault - USA TODAY Sports

What a two-game stretch it has been for the Kentucky Wildcats. First dominating the SEC leader Alabama, followed by a game-winner at Mississippi State. With two straight wins, the Wildcats have the opportunity to extend their winning streak to three games, which would be their longest of 2024, as Arkansas comes to Rupp Arena on Saturday.

This will be the second matchup of the season between the two teams, with Kentucky getting a 63-57 win at Arkansas in a College Gameday matchup back in January. Since then, things have gone from bad to worse for Eric Musselman and the Razorbacks. In the eight-game stretch since, they have gone just 4-4, with two of their wins coming against Missouri, who is winless in the SEC this season. They are coming off a home loss to Vanderbilt, where they trailed for more than half of the game.

While Arkansas is trending down, Kentucky is trending up and this is a game the Wildcats should control for the majority of the contest, especially at home.

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Let’s look at the matchup.

Frontcourt Rotation

The most interesting development for Kentucky of late has been the frontcourt rotation. Just a few weeks ago, it looked as if Ugonna Onyenso would assume the role of the primary big. While he has started nine straight games, he has played 15 minutes or less in the last two games, with Zvonimir Ivisic playing setting season-highs in minutes in each game.

Ivisic certainly helps raise Kentucky’s offense when he is on the court, but the question has been his defense. Against Mississippi State, he was analytically Kentucky’s best defense with the best defensive rating and stoppage rate on the team. Each big brings different strengths, but if Ivisic can continue to become more comfortable on the defensive end, his versatility on offense may give him the edge.

This conversation excludes Tre Mitchell who has returned to practice and is expected to return soon. He has yet to play extended minutes with either big Onyenso or Ivisic since hitting their stride. It will be interesting to see how he will fit in certain lineups and in the rotation.

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Good Start, End it Early

Unlike the first game where there was some hope Arkansas could turn their season around, things are much bleaker this time around. While they still have talent, the Razorbacks are now 14-14 on the year and certainly won’t make the NCAA Tournament barring a miraculous run.

With little morale surrounding Arkansas basketball and rumors Musselman may leave after the season (potentially Louisville…), this is a game Kentucky needs to win at home and put away early, not giving them any confidence. That begins with a good start to the game which has been an inconsistency for the Wildcats this year. Entering March, they need to be consistent in that, rather than putting themselves in a hole to start each game.

Rebounding Battle

Arkansas is not a good rebounding team, but they still outrebounded Kentucky in the first game. This time around, Kentucky is more experienced and better equipped to handle the physicality the Razorbacks will look to play with.

Limiting Arkansas to just one possession and getting defensive rebounds to push it in transition will be a big part of Kentucky’s game plan.

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Opposing Players to Watch

G Tramon Mark, 6-6, 185 lbs

  • 16.8 PPG (8th in SEC)
  • 49.3% FG (9th in SEC)
  • 38.0% 3P (20th in SEC)
  • Coming off 42-point and 36-point performances.

G Khalif Battle, 6-5, 185 lbs

  • 12.7 PPG
  • 37.8% 3P (22nd in SEC)

F Makhi Mitchell, 6-10, 240 lbs

Averages over the last 9 games

  • 12.4 PPG
  • 7.7 RPG
  • 1.4 BPG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Date: Saturday, March 2nd, 2024
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Location: Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Online Stream: CBS Sports and the CBS Sports app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: CBS Sports app check local listings.
  • Rosters: UK | ARK
  • Stats to Know: UK | ARK
  • KenPom: UK | ARK
  • Team Sheets: UK | ARK
  • Odds: The odds have yet to be officially released, but the line is expected to be around -10.5 Kentucky. ESPN gives Kentucky a 70.7% chance of winning this road contest. EvanMiya gives the Cats a 70.5% chance of victory. Bart Torvik has it at 73%, and KenPom is at 73%.
  • Predictions: Bart Torvik picks Kentucky to win on the road, 89-81, with Haslametrics providing a similar score projection, 89-79. However, EvanMiya has the Cats winning just 85-79. KenPom is going with an 87-80 victory, Kentucky!

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Basketball Players Say They Think About Winning National Championship “Every Second”

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Kentucky basketball players celebrate after their big over Duke.
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The expectations at Kentucky are the highest of any school in the country, and there is good reason why. The winningest college program ever. Eight national titles, under five different coaches. Seventeen Final Four appearances. You get it, a lot of success.

Fans want the players to have those same expectations. Despite not having the elite talent or preseason hype of great Kentucky teams past, this year’s team still has their eyes set on doing something “people will remember forever”, winning a national championship.

Asked on social media, if hanging banner #9 was all the players thought about “every second”, Ansley Almonor had a response.

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“We do.”

It takes a lot to win a national championship, including some luck, but this team is certainly going to be loved for their desire to live out their dream of playing at Kentucky and their unselfishness. Those two things can take them a long way this season .

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Kentucky AD Mitch Barnhart Seemingly Takes Shot at John Calipari, “Anybody Can Recruit”

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Mitch Barnhart sitting next to basketball coach John Calipari.
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John Calipari and Kentucky Athletic Director Mitch Barnhart had their differences over fifteen years, but success can hide a lot of things. Not that they hated each other, but they each had vastly different personalities. As that success weaned towards the end of Calipari’s tenure, those issues started to be noticed publically.

If you need evidence of that, despite their efforts to dispute it, there is the infamous press conference where Barnhart talked about “entitled” coaches, shortly after Calipari publicly called for a new practice facility. Then, there were multiple times when Calipari expressed that the administration was not on the same page and that he was facing “headwinds”.

That said, Calipari is now at Arkansas, but those differences and some disdain remain. During an interview on the Kentucky Football pregame show, Barnhart seemingly took a shot at Calipari when asked about Mark Pope’s recruiting philosophy and prioritizing fit.

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“I tell people all the time, ‘Anybody can recruit, not everybody can evaluate,’” Barnhart said. “You can recruit. You can be phenomenal at bringing people to your program. But if it does not fit you, it’s really not helpful.”

Of course, Calipari is one of the best, if not the best, recruiters in college basketball history. At times, he prioritized talent and athleticism over fit.

Quite the coincidence.

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ESPN’s Jay Williams Gives Message to Kentucky Fans, “You’re Not Going to Like It…”

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ESPN college basketball analyst Jay Williams gives a message to Kentucky fans after the Wildcats win over Duke. "You won't like it."
ESPN

Back in April, opposing fanbases like Duke, told Kentucky fans to “cope with Pope” following the hire of Mark Pope and the corresponding initial shock. On Tuesday, those same fanbases had to watch as Mark Pope outcoached Jon Scheyer and Duke in the final minutes of the Champion’s Classic to get his first marque win in just his third game at Kentucky.

Of course, shortly after the game, Duke fans began to rationalize the loss by highlighting their team’s youth. While true, it sounded like an echo chamber of what Kentucky fans said for years under John Calipari. One notable example was former Blue Devil Jay Williams.

At halftime, while Duke was leading 46-37, Williams called this year’s Duke team the most talented since the 2001 team that he was a part of at halftime. To his credit, he complimented Kentucky on the comeback victory, specifically on their offense and maturity, but then 36 hours later he posted a message to Kentucky fans on social media.

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“Let me put you on to something,” Williams started. “Whether you like it or not, networks are going to sell Cooper Flagg. He’s going to be the number one pick in the draft. You’re going to talk about whether he won the or whether he lost the game, regardless of the outcome.”

“You’re not going to like it. There should be more kudos to Mark Pope and Kentucky,” Williams continued. “Regardless of whether you won the game or not, they’re still going to sell Cooper Flagg because he is selling the sport. Sorry.”

William’s statement is true. That said, it comes off as ‘sour grapes’ about losing. Cooper Flagg is a great talent and will likely be the first pick in the NBA Draft, but most Kentucky fans would say they would much rather have the win than the marketing.

Futhermore, Kentucky and its ‘brand’ has raised the level of multiple players and coaches, and will continue to do so. A deeper impact than Cooper Flagg will have on Duke in just one season.

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