What a weekend for the Kentucky Wildcats! Down as many as 18 points in the second half, the team clawed their back to beat Gonzaga in Seattle, in what will likely be their last ranked game of the non-conference schedule.
Now their attention turns to Colgate on Wednesday, the Wildcats’ final sub-200 KenPom team on the schedule.
The Raiders are just 2-8, but they entered the season with high expectations. Winning five straight Patriot League titles, they were picked to win their sixth straight in the preseason. However, they sport a younger roster and that has presented some early challenges.
Wednesday’s contest will be the first between the two programs and will also be a special moment for one local family.
Watching in Rupp Arena will be the family of Ephraim Woods, a late Colgate professor and men’s basketball liaison who passed away last year following a battle with brain cancer. Woods, a native of Ashland, was a lifelong Kentucky fan who developed a love for Raiders’ basketball after he began teaching at Colgate in 2002. However, he never got to see his two teams play one another.
In what will be a special game for his family, let’s take a look at the matchup.
Point Guard Situation
The biggest concern for the Cats right now is the point guard situation. Lamont Butler and Kerr Kriisa are both out with injuries, the latter being out for at least 3-6 weeks with a Jones fracture.
According to Mark Pope, that leaves Jaxson Robinson, Travis Perry, and Collin Chandler to split the PG duties until Butler and Kriisa return. After his five-assist, zero-turnover performance against Gonzaga, Robinson is the lead candidate to run point. That said, this is an opportunity for Perry and Chandler to get some more game action under their belts, potentially helping them contribute more later this season, and certainly helping their development.
End the Shooting Slump
Over the first five games of the season, Kentucky shot a blistering 42.3 percent mark from deep, among the best in the country. However, over the last four, that percentage is only 27.1 percent.
The two common denominators: better competition; physical defenses extending out beyond the three-point line. Colgate fitting either, is a perfect opponent for Kentucky to end that slump against.
Dominate the Glass
Colgate is one of the nation’s worst-rebounding teams, averaging just over 30 per game. In comparison, Kentucky averages 44.7, the second most in the country.
Therefore, there should be no reason for Kentucky not to dominate the boards on Wednesday, from start to finish. This should allow Kentucky to have a lot of second-chance opportunities, specifically catch-and-shoot threes.
Opposing Players to Watch
G Brady Cummins 6-6, 190 lbs
- 10.9 PPG
- 3.9 RPG
- 35.5% 3P
F Jeff Woodward 6-11, 270 lbs
G Nicolas Louis-Jacques 6-4, 195 lbs
Time: 8:00 PM ET on December 11th
Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY
TV Channel: ESPN2
Announcers: TBA
Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and ESPN network of channels (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | COLG
Stats to Know: UK | COLG
KenPom: UK | COLG
Team Sheet: UK | COLG
Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds for this game, please check for those closer to the game. The projections all have the Cats as a lock to win the game: Bart Torvik (99%), KenPom (99%), EvanMiya (98.9%), and ESPN (98.8%).
Predictions: In agreement with the wining percentages, the projections have Kentucky winning a blowout, ranging from 27-34 points: Haslametrics (95-61), Bart Torvik (92-60), KenPom (89-62), EvanMiya (87-60). I think Kentucky will end their shooting slump and put Colgate away early, 94-66.
Also posted on A Sea of Blue.
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