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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Louisville: How to Watch, Things to Know, & Predictions

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Following a loss to Missouri, where the Kentucky Wildcats were never in the game, the tension and frustration within the Big Blue Nation are at the highest it has been in the John Calipari era. Fortunately, the Wildcats have a chance to relieve some of that pressure with a rivalry game against the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday.

Even with their struggles, Kentucky’s problems do not compare to those of Louisville. Sitting at 2-11, the Cardinals are not favored to win another game this season. In addition, they rank 343rd of 365 in the NET rankings, a ranking system that complies a team’s body of work for the NCAA Tournament.

With that said, Kentucky is expected to win their first game against Louisville since 2019 (lost in 2020, canceled in 2021), and in a BIG way. Let’s take a closer look at the matchup and look at three things to look for.

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Better Offensive Performance, Find Production at the Four

Twelve games into the season – effectively a third – and the Wildcats have no offensive identity or any set rotations. Considering this is a team that many thought had the talent of a Final Four contender, this is concerning.

This is a team with a very similar roster makeup to last season. Of course, Oscar Tshiebwe and Sahvir Wheeler returned, but this team has CJ Fredrick and Antonio Reeves in place of Kellan Grady and Davion Mintz for shooting, and Cason Wallace in place of TyTy Washington as the star freshman. So why is this team performing so poorly?

The biggest difference? The production at the four spot. When comparing Keion Brooks last season and Jacob Toppin this season, Brooks was much more consistent. Through thirteen games, Brooks averaged 10.5 points on 48.3 percent shooting, compared to just 10.5 points and 40 percent shooting. To make matters worse, Toppin has not scored more than five points in nearly a month (12/4, Michigan).

There are other offensive problems, such as poor execution and poor spacing that needs to be corrected, but finding consistent production at the four spot, aiding Oscar Tshiebwe and Cason Wallace, would make it much easier to solve the rest of the issues.

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On paper, this is Kentucky’s easiest game on the schedule. While a convincing victory feels like a must over Louisville, this is an opportunity for Kentucky to find that other contributor.(Hint: Chris Livingston is the best option.)

Convert at the Free Throw Line

It may not seem like it, but Kentucky is ranked top 20 in the country in three-point percentage at 39.5 percent. Yet, the Wildcats are ranked 298th in free throw percentage.

The three-point shooting is indicative of a team that can shoot, but their free throw shooting shows a team, that as John Calipari has said, is not mentally tough. This has cost the Wildcats the game against Michigan State, and further deepened their hole in other games this season as well (i.e. UCLA).

Louisville may not have the most efficient defense, but they do a good job of not fouling. With that said, Kentucky will need to capitalize on the opportunities they are given at the charity stripe.

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While Saturday’s game shouldn’t come down to free throws, the players need to see some go through the net, and ultimately build their confidence to knock down the free throws when it matters most.

Attendance

Take a look at social media or ask a fellow Kentucky fan, there is plenty of frustration. With a fanbase that desperately wants to cheer on their Wildcats in a big moment, disappointment seems to be a too often result as of late.

To add to that, the Kentucky football team is playing at the same exact time in the Music City Bowl against Iowa down in Nashville.

That begs the question, what will the attendance be?

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Given the circumstances and the fact that Louisville is very bad, I still expect Rupp Arena to be at or close to full capacity given that this is the first Kentucky-Louisville game in Lexington in three years. However, the fans could make a statement and it would not be surprising to see the online fan presence in favor of the bowl game.

Kentucky Basketball vs. Louisville Cardinals

Time/Date: 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, December 31st, 2022.
Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY
TV Channel: CBS
Announcers: TBA
Online Stream: CBS Sports Network Live
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio network call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: CBS Sports Network (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | UofL
Team SheetsUK | UofL
Stats To Know: UK | UofL

Odds: The betting line has yet to be released for the game. Despite a bad performance against Missouri, ESPN’s matchup predictor nearly guarantees a win for Kentucky, giving the Wildcats a 98.4% chance of winning, while Bart Torvik gives Missouri a 98% advantage.

Predictions: The computer models do not expect this game to be closer as Bart Torvik picks the Wildcats to lose in a 78-56 blowout.

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Also published on A Sea of Blue.

Men's Basketball

Kentucky Transfer Jaland Lowe Withdraws From 2025 NBA Draft

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Jaland Lowe
UK Athletics

Jaland Lowe, the presumed starting point guard for Mark Pope’s 2025-26 squad, has officially withdrawn his name from the 2025 NBA Draft and will suit up for the Wildcats in his junior season.

Lowe announced his decision on social media on Thursday, May 22, stating that he “Can’t miss this opportunity” to continue the legacy of great Kentucky guards.

The former Pittsburgh Panther is coming off of a dominant sophomore season, averaging 16.8 points per game to go along with 5.5 assists per game. He took on the load of Pittsburgh’s offense, resulting in low shooting percentages from both the field and from deep.

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However, Mark Pope, in a recent interview with KSR, stated he wants to make things easier for Lowe.

“Jaland Lowe was elite level, in terms of the raw stats, points, assists, everything else he did in the game was really good, but he wasn’t a super efficient player last year,” Pope said. “Not dissimilar in some ways from Lamont Butler…with a little bit of study, and a little bit of humility and curiosity, we can transform your efficiency like crazy.”

Lowe can do a little bit of everything on the court, and adds another layer of balance and depth to a deep Kentucky squad. He’s athletic, can play defense, and as promised by Pope, will be way more efficient on the offensive side of the ball.

Now that things are officially official, Lowe will look to capitalize on having less pressure on his shoulders at Kentucky and lead the team to that desperate No. 9 championship.

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Men's Basketball

Making History: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Named NBA’s 2024-2025 MVP

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Former Wildcat and current Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander becomes the first Kentucky player to win the NBA's MVP award.
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai GilgeousAlexander becomes the first former Wildcat to win the NBA’s MVP award.

After leading his team to a league-best 68-14 record, clinching the number one seed in the Western Conference for the second consecutive season. GilgeousAlexander led the NBA with 32.7 points per game. 

A proven three-level scorer, the recently crowned MVP had the most 20-, 30-, 40- and 50-point games this season. On an efficient 51.9% from the field.

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The last MVP-winning guard to shoot above 50% in a season was unanimous victor Stephen Curry in the 2015-2016 season.

GilgeousAlexander is known for being able to score from anywhere on the floor. In addition to having a knack for drawing fouls, he led the NBA with 7.9 free-throw attempts per game. 

His tendency to draw fouls has been a topic of debate amongst fans. However, it’s undeniable that GilgeousAlexander is one of the best from the line, shooting at a near 90% clip in the regular season.

Defensively, the Thunder guard was a standout, averaging a block, one of five guards to do so, and 1.7 steals per game.

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GilgeousAlexander beat out Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic and Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

In recent years, the MVP battle has favored big men, as the former Wildcat becomes the first guard to win MVP since former Houston Rocket James Harden accomplished the feat in the 2017-18 season.

Jokic has been on a historic run by winning three of the last four MVP awards. In 2024, Jokic edged out GilgeousAlexander, who finished in second place last year. 

Meanwhile, the 6-foot-11 Antetokounmpo won back-to-back MVP awards in 2019 and 2020.

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Joining a class of his own, GilgeousAlexander is the first of 137 NBA-bound former Kentucky players to win the NBA’s MVP award. His journey to the top is a unique one.

Hailing from Ontario, Canada, GilgeousAlexander chose to play for the 2016 Canadian national team rather than taking the traditional AAU circuit. This meant he would be missing the Nike, Under Armour, and Adidas circuits, where athletes often show off their skills for scouts.

Nevertheless, GilgeousAlexander was named a consensus four-star prospect.

Originally, GilgeousAlexander committed to the University of Florida as a senior in high school. Ultimately, the coveted prospect reopened his recruitment process and later opted for Kentucky over Florida, Syracuse, UNLV, NC State, Texas and Kansas.

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Joining a stacked 2017 recruiting class curated by head coach John Calipari that featured future NBA players Jarred Vanderbilt, Hamidou Diallo, Nick Richards, Kevin Knox and PJ Washington.

In his lone season in Lexington, GilgeousAlexander led Kentucky in scoring with 21 points per game on 55.3% shooting from the field to pair with 6.7 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game. The Wildcats went 26-11 in the regular season. 

GilgeousAlexander and the Cats trekked through the SEC Tournament, beating Georgia and Alabama handily in the opening rounds. The Wildcats went on to beat their border state rival, Tennessee, in the SEC Championship game; GilgeousAlexander went off for a collegiate career-high 29 points in the 77-72 victory. 

It stands today as Kentucky’s most recent SEC Championship. 

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Unfortunately for the Wildcats, their season would come to an end in the Sweet Sixteen. Kentucky lost narrowly, 61-58, against the Wildcats of Kansas State. 

Despite Kentucky’s shortcomings, it was a successful individual season for GilgeousAlexander, as he was named to the All-SEC Second Team and the SEC All-Freshman Team. 

The Canadian native declared for the 2018 NBA Draft after a promising second half of the season. 

GilgeousAlexander was drafted No. 11 by the Charlotte Hornets but was immediately traded to the Los Angeles Clippers in a pick swap. Charlotte received the No. 12 selection, which became Miles Bridges from Michigan State, and two future second-round picks. 

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According to Bleacher Report, the freshly drafted prospect was comparable to the likes of NBA veterans Shaun Livingston and Alfred Payton due to his 6-foot-6 frame and almost 7-foot wingspan. 

In the eyes of scouts, he lacked a quick twitch and a reliable jump shot despite being a lottery pick.

GilgeousAlexander spent his rookie season in Los Angeles, starting 73 games for the Clippers while averaging 10.3 points, 3.3 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game. The Clippers guard finished sixth in Rookie of the Year voting and was named to the All-Rookie Second Team.

Los Angeles snuck into the playoffs as an No. 8 seed to face off against the back-to-back champion Golden State Warriors. The Clippers lost in a competitive six-game series.

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On July 10, 2019, GilgeousAlexander was traded for the second time in his career. In blockbuster fashion, Oklahoma City traded star Paul George to the Clippers in exchange for Gilgeous-Alexander, Danilo Gallinari, five first-round draft picks and the rights to swap two other first-round picks. 

Since arriving in Oklahoma City, Gilgeous-Alexander’s career has blossomed.

Over the previous three seasons, the Thunder have steadily improved in parallel to Gilgeous-Alexander as a player. For the third straight season, the Thunder superstar has been named an All-Star and finished top-5 in MVP voting.

Additionally, this will be Gilgeous-Alexander’s third straight All-NBA First Team nod.

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Gilgeous-Alexander becomes the third Thunder player to win MVP in franchise history, following in the footsteps of Oklahoma City legends and future Hall of Famers Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. 

Currently, the Thunder are in pursuit of an NBA Championship led by Gilgeous-Alexander. 

Oklahoma City beat the Memphis Grizzlies in a 4-0 sweep in round one. The Thunder beat the Jokic-led Denver Nuggets in the second round in seven games to punch a ticket to the Western Conference Finals.

This week, Oklahoma City faces off against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Thus far, Gilgeous-Alexander’s Thunder hold a 1-0 lead in the series.

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The winner will place a bid in the 2025 NBA Finals.

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Men's Basketball

Four Star Freshman Forward Commits to Kentucky

Boom! Mark Pope lands his latest in a long line of impressive commitments ahead of the 2025-26 basketball season.

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Braydon Hawthorne commits to Kentucky.
UK Athletics

Another domino falls for Kentucky’s 2025-26′ roster, this time in the form of four star freshman guard Braydon Hawthorne’s commitment.

Hawthorne, a former WVU commit before the program’s coaching change, has slowly but surely risen on recruiting ranks nationwide, going from completely unranked to in the Top 100 across the board. On3 ranks him as the 48th-best of class recruit for 2025.

He chose Kentucky over a multitude of schools, from mid-majors to power four programs, with West Virginia appearing to have been the opposite frontrunner. Hawthorne’s commitment comes shortly after his official visit to Kentucky on Thursday, April 17, as well as after a trip to Virginia Tech, which took place the following day.

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The 6’8″, 175 small forward will bring versatile wing play to a Kentucky team that has already loaded up on athleticism and size. His 7-foot-3 wingspan alone is enough to raise eyebrows, but beyond the numbers, Hawthorne is a pure scorer with an invisible ceiling.

Heading into Lexington as a true freshman, too, the Big Blue Nation might get used to seeing him around for a while. While the Mark Pope era thus far has been predominately focused on veteran talent, it’s important going forward to sprinkle in some future-proofing players too, and Hawthorne fits that bill and then some.

BBN can show their support to the newest Wildcat on X (@BraydonH20) and Instragram (@braydonhawthorne). With yet another highly-ranked recruit down, Pope has put together one of the most dangerous rosters in the country. Fall can’t come soon enough.

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