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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Missouri: How to Watch, Things to Know, and Predictions

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UK Athletics

I hope all of you enjoyed the holiday with your families. After a short holiday break, the Kentucky Wildcats will be back in action on Wednesday as they take on a Missouri Tiger team that is ranked right outside the Top 25.

With an 11-1 record under new head coach, Dennis Gates, the Tigers are off to their best start in over a decade. Yet, that record can be a bit deceiving as their schedule has been far from difficult. In fact, ranked 315th in strength of schedule, Missouri has had the second-easiest slate of the teams ranked in the top 50, only behind TCU (359th).

With that said, the Tigers are coming off their most impressive performance of the season against an Illinois team that was ranked 16th at the time. Winning 93-71, Missouri showed they are better than the projected 11th-place SEC finish from the preseason media poll.

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Let’s take a closer look at Kentucky’s SEC opener.

Defense, Defense, Defense

As previously mentioned, the Missouri schedule has been far from difficult. However, scoring 93 points against a top-30 Illinois defense is nothing to scoff at. The performance was not an outlier but rather showed what the Tigers are capable of against a quality opponent.

On the season, the Missouri offense ranks second in the country in points (88.8) and is also towards the top in assists (20.0), shooting percentage (51.3%), and points per possession (1.207).

Fortunately for Kentucky, defense has been a strength and will prove valuable on Wednesday. What will the Wildcats have to key in on?

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A big focus will be on guarding the perimeter. While the Tigers don’t solely rely on perimeter shooting, it is a big part of their game. Limiting three-point opportunities will allow Kentucky to shrink the floor, and in-turn help to defend a lot of Missouri’s off-ball movement.

Through twelve games, six different players have led the team in scoring for Missouri. Therefore, the Wildcat defense will have to play well as a unit, as the Tigers do not rely on one or two players.

Take Care of the Ball

One thing that Kentucky has struggled with, especially in their losses, is taking care of the ball. Against Missouri, the Tigers will do their best to generate turnovers.

On average, the Tigers are forcing nearly 20 turnovers per game, with 13 of them originating from steals. This provides the Tigers with 20 more possessions, which they tend to capitalize on given their offensive efficiency numbers.

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With an offense that has yet to find its full stride, Kentucky will have to play disciplined and make smart decisions on the offensive end.

Crash the Defensive Glass

To put it simply, outside of Oscar Tshiebwe, Kentucky has not been great at rebounding consistently. As the Wildcats enter conference play, that must change. A great time to show improvement would be against Missouri.

While not being a great rebounding team in general, the Tigers do like to crash the offensive boards, grabbing nearly 10 per game and nearly a third of their attempts.

In addition to taking care of the ball, the Wildcats must assert their dominance on the boards, preventing Missouri from getting any more possessions/second chance opportunities.

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Kentucky Basketball vs. Missouri Tigers

Time/Date: 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, December 28th, 2022.
Location: Mizzou in Columbia, Missouri
TV Channel: SEC Network
Announcers: Dave Neal and Dane Bradshaw
Online Stream: WatchESPNESPN+, SEC Network+ or ESPN app
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio network call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: SEC Network (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | MIZZ
Team SheetsUK | MIZZ
Stats To Know: UK | MIZZ

Odds: ESPN’s matchup predictor has confidence in Kentucky, giving the Wildcats a 65.6% chance of winning, while Bart Torvik gives Missouri a 51% advantage. KenPom has it at 56% in favor of the Cats.

Predictions: TeamRankings went with Kentucky, 77-75 Bart Torvik picks the Wildcats to lose in a close one, 79-78. KenPom went with a 79-76 victory, Kentucky!

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

“Real” Kentucky Fans Called Out By ESPN Analyst

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“You should get lost in your team and the journey.”

That is the message that Seth Greenberg had to Kentucky fans on Saturday, suggesting that they are more worried about John Calipari and the Arkansas Razorbacks than they are about their own team.

This isn’t the first time that Greenberg, a close friend of Calipari, has criticized Kentucky fans since Calipari’s departure. When the move was first announced last spring, he called the support system “suffocating.” To be fair, that was probably true due to the lack of postseason success.

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“It is suffocating when you have your support system isn’t on the same page,” Greenberg said. “Coaching’s hard enough, but when your support system is pulling in another direction that becomes a problem.”

Kentucky fans are more than focused on their team, which in Mark Pope’s first season is ranked in the top 10 with five top 15 wins. That said, to ask them to completely ignore the Coach who had led them for the previous fifteen seasons, both good and bad, is not realistic.

Comparing what you have, to what you had is a natural human trait. With time, that desire to compare will dissipate and Calipari will be welcomed back into the good graces of Kentucky fans.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Drops Close Game to Alabama, Lacks Execution Down the Stretch

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Kentucky Wildcats head coach Mark Pope reacts to the action during the second half against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Kentucky came into this game looking to pick up another Top 25 win, however, Alabama had a different idea.

The Alabama duo of Mark Sears and Grant Nelson just proved to be too much for the Wildcats to handle. Alabama’s duo led them to a 102-97 victory and handed Kentucky the first loss in Rupp Arena of the Mark Pope era.

Mark Sears finished the game with 24 points and 9 assists while Grant Nelson finished with 25 points and 12 rebounds of his own.

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Grant Nelson came out scorching hot having 12 points in the first 10 minutes and it just didn’t seem like Kentucky had much of an answer early. Nelson managed to put up 19 points in the first half alone.

The second half was all Mark Sears. Sears started the game slow, but exploded in the 2nd half. He kept knocking down big shot after big shot right when it seemed like Kentucky was going to take over the lead.

Otega Oweh Monster Game

On the Kentucky side, they were led in scoring by Junior Otega Oweh. Oweh finished with 21 points all while shooting an impressive 8-14 from the field.

Lamont Butler also finished with a huge game all while playing through a left shoulder injury. Butler ended the game with 17 points 8 assists and 4 rebounds while also coming up with some huge defensive plays to keep Kentucky in the game.

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Even with these respective performances from Otega Oweh and Lamont Butler, Kentucky just couldn’t take the lead and hold onto it. Alabama seemed to hit clutch shot after clutch shot and done just enough to stay ahead of the Cats and pick up a huge road win.

Kentucky ‘Bye Week’

Kentucky will not return to action until next Saturday, January, 25th when they look to rebound on the road vs Vanderbilt. This bye week is coming at the perfect time for Kentucky. They have had some tough injury luck this season as we have seen Lamont Butler, Andrew Carr, and Brandon Garrison all either play through injuries or miss games so far this season.

Pope said this bye week will be a huge one as the team looks to get healthy and stay healthy, for the remainder of their SEC schedule.

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Men's Basketball

Five-Star Forward Caleb Wilson: A Kentucky Lock or UNC Steal?

The chase for star forward Caleb Wilson appears to be coming down to the wire between Kentucky and North Carolina.

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Top basketball recruit Caleb Wilson on his visit to Kentucky.
UK Athletics

While many of the Big Blue Nation are enthralled with the change in pace and perspective that this year’s veteran-heavy team have provided, most can’t help but excitedly look on to what Mark Pope is building for next season, too.

Despite having only secured three recruits thus far, Kentucky already has a top five freshman class for the 2025-26′ season, according to 247Sports. And Coach Pope and company aren’t done yet.

The long-rumored cherry on top, if you will, for the upcoming class has been five-star power forward Caleb Wilson, out of Holy Innocents Episcopal School in Atlanta, GA.

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Wilson, who is widely recognized to be down to Kentucky and North Carolina at this point in his recruitment, has long been tied to Mark Pope’s new regime since he began assembling it last year.

Big Blue Dominos

First came four-star, 6’10 center Malachi Moreno, a hometown recruit and a local favorite. Then came five-star, “I’m KY ’til I die” guard Jasper Johnson, who’s commitment to Kentucky felt like a comeback win for Pope after Alabama had been heavily favored to land him for much of the recruitment race.

The latest and last of which was Acaden Lewis; a four-star guard set to run with Johnson in the backcourt, who cited Coach Pope’s authenticity as a primary reason for his decision.

In the new age of UK basketball in which the one-and-done philosophy of old is far less prevalent, Wilson is seen as the potential final piece of Mark Pope’s puzzle for next season. He’d fit perfectly as a physical presence in the paint next to Moreno, possessing breakout athletic ability and a clear knowledge of the game.

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Four highly-touted recruits, on top of multiple expected/possible returners and transfer portal options, would strike a balance between weathered experience and raw talent unlike anything Kentucky has seen in years.

So what’s the deal with Wilson, then? Well, the good news is a commitment is generally anticipated within the month.

The not-so-good news, though not exactly bad either, is that his outlook is muddier than ever.

“Ask Again Later”

While there are no official predictions via the 247Sports Crystal Ball, multiple insiders are touting differing opinions. Anecdotes scattered throughout the last few months from various sources all seemed to point to Kentucky. That is, until Travis Branham, of 247Sports, said that he believes UNC has taken the lead just earlier this week.

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Yet Joe Tipton, almost in unison with Branham, declared the opposite, “Everything I’ve heard suggests UK is in the driver’s seat,” he said on “Here Comes the Boom.”

Both Tipton and Branham are reputable reporters with evidenced pasts, and they aren’t alone on either end of this split. Where there’s smoke, there’s fire, and in this case, it seems to be coming from both sides.

As it usually goes with these kinds of things, all the Kentucky faithful can really do is hurry up and wait. Either way, what Mark Pope is done in less than one year at Kentucky is mightily impressive, and even being in the conversation for Wilson at this stage is encouraging.

Let’s just hope he goes for the darker blue cap on commitment day.

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