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Kentucky vs. Missouri: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Antonio Reeves celebrates with Kentucky Wildcats fans at Rupp Arena.
© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

The Kentucky Wildcats started the new year and SEC play with an impressive road victory against the Florida Gators, against much adversity. On Tuesday, the Wildcats will return to action against the Missouri Tigers, who have gotten the best of Kentucky in two of the last three seasons. Given the comments from Missouri (both public and private), I would say this is one Kentucky’s staff will be motivated to win.

This year’s Missouri team lost eight players from last season’s roster, including their four top leading scorers. With an 8-6 record, the Tigers’ best win has come against (according to the NET rankings) Pittsburgh, who is ranked 195th in KenPom.

That said, Missouri shoots and makes a lot of threes, top three in the SEC in both categories this season, and any team in the SEC is capable of winning if you come in ill-prepared. Let’s take a look at the matchup.

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Perimeter Defense

It feels like opposing teams shoot an unreal percentage from three in Rupp Arena, but on the season opponents are shooting just 31.2 percent in Rupp for the year. This is right in line with the 31 percent they have allowed this season thus far, ranked 75th nationally.

That said, Missouri has attempted the second-most threes in the SEC this season and will hoist plenty more on Tuesday. With three guards all averaging double-figures and shooting 40%+ from three, including two shooting 50%+, the Wildcats need to close out on shooters.

Take Care of the Ball

Taking care of the ball is been a signature of this year’s Kentucky team, averaging just 9.4 per game and 14th nationally. However, to start the game against Florida, they had seven turnovers just in the first half.

Against Missouri, who often aggressively uses a 1-3-1 zone defense to create pressure and force mistakes, the Wildcats must make sound, but quick passes. The Wildcats have performed well against zone this season, so it will be interesting to see how often Missouri will turn to this.

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Make Free Throws

Missouri’s defense isn’t great, but they don’t give up things easily, particularly at the rim. The Tigers rank top 10 nationally in blocks per game, but also fouls at the second-highest rate in the SEC behind Alabama.

Penetration being a key part of Kentucky’s offense, they will get chances to kick it back out for open looks, but also free throws. This has been one of Calipari’s better free throw shooting teams at Kentucky, shooting 73.4 percent. However, they did miss several 1-and-1’s against Florida.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Sean East II, 6-3, 180 lbs

  • 17.1 PPG (5th in SEC)
  • 3.9 APG (T-5th in SEC)
  • 55.4% FG (3rd in SEC)
  • 53.8% 3P (2nd in SEC)

G Tamar Bates, 6-5, 195 lbs

  • 10.2 PPG
  • 53.3% FG (4th in SEC)
  • 53.1% 3P (3rd in SEC)

F Noah Carter, 6-6, 235 lbs

  • 11.5 PPG
  • 6.3 RPG

Kentucky Wildcats Basketball vs. Missouri Tigers

  • Date: January 9th, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Location: Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Announcers: To be announced (ESPN Press Room).
  • Online Stream: WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | MIZZ
  • Stats to Know: UK | MIZZ
  • KenPom: UK | MIZZ
  • Odds: ESPN’s matchup predictor has a lot of confidence in the Cats, giving them an 88% chance at victory, which EvanMiya is also in agreement with. Bart Torvik has even more confidence in Kentucky, projecting a 91% shot at the win. Kentucky is currently 9-4 against the spread, while Florida is 4-10.
  • Predictions: All the projections are within just a few points of each other. Bart Torvik and Haslametrics choose Kentucky 88-73 and 88-74, respectively. EvanMiya projects an 88-75 win for Kentucky and.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Shoulders the Blame for Kentucky’s Recent Poor Play, “I’m Doing a Poor Job…”

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Kentucky basketball head coach Mark Pope thinks as he looks to the sideline.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

What a horrible Tuesday night in Oxford.

After Kentucky’s deflating loss to Arkansas on Saturday, that “stink” followed them as they traveled on the road to Ole Miss. What was an opportunity to get back on the right track, quickly turned into another loss and another learning opportunity.

Trailing by as much as 27 points at one point, Kentucky made a run in the second half, making it a somewhat ‘respectable’ 14-point loss.

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While they shot 50 percent from the field and over 47 percent from three, they had no answer for the Rebels on the defensive end. Giving up 98 points and forcing just one turnover is the short synopsis of just how bad Kentucky’s defense was.

Following the game, Mark Pope accepted the blame.

“I didn’t help the guys enough try to find answers,” he said. “We still shoot 50 percent from the field in the game, and are 21 (assists) and 8 (turnovers). Which is what we want. The biggest frustration is on the defensive end. I’m doing a poor job of finding answers to that right now.”

With the SEC and NCAA Tournaments just a over month out, those answers need to be found quickly.

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Mark Pope on Lamont Butler and Kerr Kriisa’s Injury Status: “I Don’t Know”

Mark Pope has no good news regarding Lamont Butler’s injury ahead of Kentucky’s road bout against the Ole Miss Rebels.

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Kentucky guard Lamont Butler falls to the floor.
Chet White | UK Athletics

For the third straight game, Lamont Butler has headlined Kentucky’s injury report as “OUT”. While Kentucky certainly misses him, especially defensively, they will have to adjust and try to get used to winning without him.

Following the loss to Arkansas, Mark Pope was asked about what has been a foggy (to say the least) scenario regarding Butler’s predicament. Unfortunately, his words paint a bleak picture.

“I just don’t know… we’re kind of just trying to navigate the space,” he said. “There’s a lot to it that I’m not going to share, because it’s his stuff, but we’re trying to figure out how to proceed right now.”

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“I would tell you more but we just really, genuinely don’t know yet. We’ll figure out more in the next couple weeks, I assume at some point we’re gonna take another shot at this and see how it goes.”

Butler’s absence has overshadowed Kerr Kriisa’s absence as well, whose energy would be very beneficial. After Kentucky’s loss to Ole Miss, their fourth loss over the last five games, Pope provided an update, but a not-so-optimistic one.

“I don’t know,” Pope said of the status of Butler and Kriisa. “We have to figure this out with the guys we have. That’s what we are focused on. That’s the job.”

The prospect of even a few more weeks of basketball without Butler is daunting to say the least, especially considering the fact that we’re just a little more than a month out from March Madness.

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Buying Time

Even so, with Andrew Carr trending positively and returning to the rotation and guys off the bench getting more comfortable with increased minutes, the Wildcats should have the facilities to put up a fight on a game-to-game basis until Butler can, hopefully, come back,

In spite of their recent struggles, injuries and otherwise, Kentucky is still a ranked team, but they have eight conference games remaining.

Point guard duties will once again fall on Jaxson Robinson and Travis Perry. Kentucky will need significant minutes from both until Butler or Kriisa return at full strength. Saturday’s game against South Carolina becomes a must-win.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope on Trent Noah’s Lack of Minutes: “There’s Definitely Space for Him, and it’s My Job to Find It”

After Kentucky’s disappointing loss to Arkansas, many have called into question Coach Pope’s refusal to play Trent Noah.

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Kentucky Wildcats forward Trent Noah (9) shoots the ball.
Trent Noah - IMAGN

Trent Noah, in addition to being a fan favorite for geographical reasons, has provided a serious spark off the bench for Kentucky in the last two games. Against Tennessee specifically, Noah drilled a three from the mid-court logo during a crucial second-half stretch that helped keep the Volunteers at bay.

In the loss to Arkansas, he watched the entire game from the bench.

Exploring Space

Mark Pope was asked about this seemingly random discrepancy after the game, saying, “With Drew coming back, and Ansley playing so well… I wonder if there’s some space for Trent actually at the 3. I think that’s something we can explore.”

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“As we kind of reconfigure everything we’re doing right now, on the fly, he’s played well and there’s definitely space for him, and it’s my job to find it,” he continued.

With the carousel of injuries that Kentucky has dealt with so far this season, the rotations being non-concrete is no surprise.

But Noah’s absence in a game where the Wildcats are struggling in just about every facet that he specializes in is nothing short of a head-scratcher. The offense had stalled and energy was neutralized early in the second half; why not give Noah the chance to make a play on either end and restore those things, to some extent?

Wishful Thinking

Not to mention the crowd reaction that a Kentucky native elicits when he so much as touches the ball. With the crowd already at legendary levels during that game, Noah’s appearance in the team’s time of need could’ve gone a long way in that aspect alone.

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Alas, retrospective wishful thinking won’t get us anywhere now. With a road match against Ole Miss next on the docket, Noah has an opportunity to continue his strong conference showings away from home in what has become yet another pivotal game for Kentucky.

Let’s just hope Pope finds space for him by then.

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