The regular season comes to an end on Saturday as Kentucky takes
on the Florida Gators on senior day. Kentucky got a big win on the road against
Ole Miss but only by four. Saturday is a chance for the Wildcats to make a real
statement that they have regained their confidence after last weeks game
against Tennessee.
Kentucky went to Gainesville back in early February and won 65-54, but the final score doesn’t describe Kentucky being down double digits in the second half nor the fight Kentucky showed to win by double digits.
Lets see what the Cats need to do to win at Rupp on Senior Day.
Intensity
The big reason Kentucky got down double digits in Gainesville, is that they simply did not match Florida’s intensity early. This Florida team is not very strong in terms of starpower or scoring, but they are capable of making
If the Cats come out focused and looking to make a statement, then this game shouldn’t necessarily be close. However, most Kentucky-Florida games are a battle, and it wouldn’t surprise me if that is the case again on Saturday. With Florida fighting for an NCAA tournament bid, expect the Gators to come out with even more intensity on Saturday.
Contain Perimeter Players
The key to this game is to contain the Florida guards, as their top four scorers are all guards.
Senior, Jalen Hudson is coming off a 33 point performance in anovertime loss to LSU on Wednesday. Hudson is averaging 17.8 points over the last five games, and will be a challenge to defend in Rupp.
Florida’s, KeVaughn Allen was expected to have an All-SEC type season but has had a pretty mediocre year. Over the last three games Allen is averaging 5 points on 16% shooting. However, Allen is capable of going off at any time.
The Cats need to tighten up their perimeter defense and intensity on Saturday as they have given up 46 points to the Tennessee guards and 56 points to the Ole Miss guards. If not, the Cats could give up another big performance and allow this game to be closer than it should be.
Speed the Game Up or Be Efficient
Florida is a very slow team, averaging 67.9 possessions per game which ranks 313th in the nation and the Gators don’t turn the ball over at a high rate. The Cats will need to pressure the Gators and assert themselves early on the defensive end to lead to some offensive opportunities.
Its no secret that slowing a game down is much easier than speeding a game up. I expect this game to be played at a slower pace than the Wildcats are used to. With a limited number of offensive opportunities, the Wildcats need to be efficient and execute.
Dominate the Boards
Kentucky allowed an inferior rebounding Ole Miss team to out-rebound them by eight earlier this week. Florida is the worst rebounding team in the SEC, while Kentucky is the second best rebounding team in the SEC and one of the best in the country. Its pretty simple, the Cats just need to stay aggressive on the glass and don’t give up extra opportunities to the Gators.
Prediction
I expect the Wildcats to come out focused and ready and focused against the Gators in the regular season finale. However, this rivalry always seems to be a battle. Florida ranks 13th in the country in defensive efficiency and without Reid Travis this came will be a defensive battle. I ultimately see Kentucky going on a run and pulling away from the Gators.
Kentucky: 64
Florida: 53
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