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KY Insider Preview: Kentucky vs. Missouri

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Coming off a monster statement win against Tennessee, the Cats head to Columbus, MO to face the Missouri Tigers.

Missouri is currently sitting in 12th place in the SEC with a 12-12 record including a 3-9 record in the SEC. Before the season began, Missouri lost their star player and projected first-round draft pick, Jontay Porter to a torn ACL.

The Tigers are a far inferior opponent, but Missouri coach Cuonzo Martin comes prepared when playing the Cats, with a 2-2 record. Let’s take a look at the keys to the game.

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Keys to the Game

1.Show Up

As I stated, the Tigers are a far inferior opponent but the Cats need to come prepared after a huge win. As the 153rd most offensively efficient team in the NCAA, Missouri only averages 68.0 points per game and have only reached 80 twice this season. With the #7 defense coming to town, don’t anticipate for Missouri to reach their season average.

The Tigers are also not so great on the boards, they rank 174th in total rebounds per game. As great as Kentucky crashes the offensive glass, Kentucky should control the boards.

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2. Guard the Three

Missouri doesn’t do a lot of great things on offense but they can shoot the three and could make it a game if they catch fire from deep. The Tigers are currently shooting 37% from three and that is the source of 37.5% of their points.

The perimeter scoring for the Tigers will come mostly from Mark Smith (47.1%) and Jordan Geist (36.1%), both of which have over 100 attempts from deep so far this year.

3. Keep feeding PJ Washington

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PJ Washington has been playing like the SEC player of the year and his play the last 8 games has firmly placed him firmly in that conversation. PJ might be the most improved player in all of college basketball and should break the stigma that if a player at Kentucky doesn’t enter the draft as a freshman, they are a failure.

PJ is currently averaging 14.8 points and 8 rebounds on the season, but what is more amazing is his team-best 43.4% 3P which is second in the SEC. In fact, Washington is 7th all-time in Kentucky basketball history in three-point percentage (min. 50 shots).

Players to Watch

1.Jordan Geist

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Geist is the Tiger’s primary scoring option and is coming off a 23 point performance against Mississippi with an efficient 56.3% FG. Geist has scored 17 or more points in nine games this season. Ashton Hagans will most likely cover him and with his defensive ability should slow him down.

2. Javon Pickett

The freshman guard has attempted the second most shots on this team behind Jordan Geist, with 41% of those attempts coming from deep. He doesn’t shoot a great percentage (39.8 %) from the field, but is capable of getting hot and dropping 20+ points.

3. Mark Smith

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Smith attempts 5.8 three-point shots per game and for good reason, as he is shooting an SEC-best 47.1% from three. However, Smith is coming off a 6 game absence after an ankle injury and only recorded 3 points in 14 minutes against Ole Miss on Saturday.


Prediction

The ESPN basketball power index gives Kentucky an 87.3% chance to take care of business against the Tigers. Missouri only has one win over a KenPom top-50 team and is coming off a 75-65 loss to Mississippi in which they matched a season-worst, 25 turnovers. As long as the Cats come mentally prepared and take care of the ball, the Cats should have a pretty easy night.

Kentucky-76 Missouri-59

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Jackson State: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky players encouraging each other at Rupp Arena.
Chet White | UK Athletics

The Kentucky Wildcats are back in action Friday to face the Jackson State Tigers in the second game of the BBN Invitational.

To put it simply, Jackson State is bad, very bad. Sitting at 0-5 and ranked 321st in KenPom, the Tigers will likely be the worst opponent Kentucky will play all season.

Coached by Mo Williams, one of LeBron James’ old teammates with the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Tigers have only finished above .500 twice in the last decade. This season, Jackson State is predicted to finish fourth in the SWAC.

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Mark Pope recently said he wanted to build a standard, regardless of opponent and, and that will be tested on Friday.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

More 3-Point Attempts

Admittedly nitpicking, one of the things that Mark Pope was not happy with in Kentucky’s win over Lipscomb was the amount of three-point attempts. While they shot nearly 50 percent from deep, going 12-25, Pope wants to see the number of attempts closer to 35.

The Tigers have allowed their opponents to shoot 47.8 percent from deep, the second-worst mark in the country. Pope and the staff will certainly generate a game plan to take advantage of this. Expect to see 30+ attempts.

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Ball Movement

Despite beating Lipscomb by 29 points, the Wildcats had a season-low in assists with just ten. For context, Kentucky had averaged more than 23 assists per game entering the matchup.

“That’s not us. That’s not who we are,” Pope said after the game.

While there wasn’t a lot of selfishness, the ball just wasn’t ‘flying’ as it has been early this season. This is a priority for the staff and this mature group, and they will aim for 25+ assists.

Keep JSU off the Free-Throw Line

Jackson State ranks in the top 100 nationally in one area: Free throws made per game. So, Kentucky, defend without fouling.

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Kentucky’s offense makes headlines, but the defense has played very well to start the season, holding all four opponents to under 73 points. Let’s see if they can get down in a stance and defend well for 40 minutes vs. a team that stresses contact and drawing fouls.

Opposing Players to Watch

C Shannon Grant 6-11, 290 lbs

  • 7.5 PPG
  • 4.8
  • Preseason All-SWAC First Team selection

G Jayme Mitchell Jr 6-5, 190 lbs

  • 15.0 PPG
  • 3.8 RPG
  • 44.4% 3P

F Romelle Mansel 6-9, 220 lbs

  • 10.8 PPG
  • 5.8 RPG
  • 31.7% FG (second most FG attempts on the team)

Kentucky Wildcats Basketball vs. Jackson State Tigers

Time: 7 PM ET on November 22nd
Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY
TV Channel: This game will not be on TV and is streaming only,
Online Stream: SEC Network+, ESPN+, and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | JSU
Stats to Know: UK | JSU
KenPom: UK | JSU
Team Sheet: UK | JSU

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds for the game, so check Thursday afternoon for an official spread. Multiple projections give Kentucky a 99% chance of winning: Bart Torvik (99%), EvanMiya (99.9%), and ESPN (99.0%). The exception is KenPom (92%).

PredictionsKenPom (93-63), Haslametrics (96-63), Bart Torvik (95-61), and EvanMiya (96-59) all are going with a 30+ point victory, Kentucky!

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Kentucky Basketball Players Say They Think About Winning National Championship “Every Second”

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Kentucky basketball players celebrate after their big over Duke.
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The expectations at Kentucky are the highest of any school in the country, and there is good reason why. The winningest college program ever. Eight national titles, under five different coaches. Seventeen Final Four appearances. You get it, a lot of success.

Fans want the players to have those same expectations. Despite not having the elite talent or preseason hype of great Kentucky teams past, this year’s team still has their eyes set on doing something “people will remember forever”, winning a national championship.

Asked on social media, if hanging banner #9 was all the players thought about “every second”, Ansley Almonor had a response.

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“We do.”

It takes a lot to win a national championship, including some luck, but this team is certainly going to be loved for their desire to live out their dream of playing at Kentucky and their unselfishness. Those two things can take them a long way this season .

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Kentucky AD Mitch Barnhart Seemingly Takes Shot at John Calipari, “Anybody Can Recruit”

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Mitch Barnhart sitting next to basketball coach John Calipari.
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John Calipari and Kentucky Athletic Director Mitch Barnhart had their differences over fifteen years, but success can hide a lot of things. Not that they hated each other, but they each had vastly different personalities. As that success weaned towards the end of Calipari’s tenure, those issues started to be noticed publically.

If you need evidence of that, despite their efforts to dispute it, there is the infamous press conference where Barnhart talked about “entitled” coaches, shortly after Calipari publicly called for a new practice facility. Then, there were multiple times when Calipari expressed that the administration was not on the same page and that he was facing “headwinds”.

That said, Calipari is now at Arkansas, but those differences and some disdain remain. During an interview on the Kentucky Football pregame show, Barnhart seemingly took a shot at Calipari when asked about Mark Pope’s recruiting philosophy and prioritizing fit.

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“I tell people all the time, ‘Anybody can recruit, not everybody can evaluate,’” Barnhart said. “You can recruit. You can be phenomenal at bringing people to your program. But if it does not fit you, it’s really not helpful.”

Of course, Calipari is one of the best, if not the best, recruiters in college basketball history. At times, he prioritized talent and athleticism over fit.

Quite the coincidence.

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