Coming off a monster statement win against Tennessee, the Cats head to Columbus, MO to face the Missouri Tigers.
Missouri is currently sitting in 12th place in the SEC with a 12-12 record including a 3-9 record in the SEC. Before the season began, Missouri lost their star player and projected first-round draft pick, Jontay Porter to a torn ACL.
The Tigers are a far inferior opponent, but Missouri coach Cuonzo Martin comes prepared when playing the Cats, with a 2-2 record. Let’s take a look at the keys to the game.
Keys to the Game
1.Show Up
As I stated, the Tigers are a far inferior opponent but the Cats need to come prepared after a huge win. As the 153rd most offensively efficient team in the NCAA, Missouri only averages 68.0 points per game and have only reached 80 twice this season. With the #7 defense coming to town, don’t anticipate for Missouri to reach their season average.
The Tigers are also not so great on the boards, they rank 174th in total rebounds per game. As great as Kentucky crashes the offensive glass, Kentucky should control the boards.
2. Guard the Three
Missouri doesn’t do a lot of great things on offense but they can shoot the three and could make it a game if they catch fire from deep. The Tigers are currently shooting 37% from three and that is the source of 37.5% of their points.
The perimeter scoring for the Tigers will come mostly from Mark Smith (47.1%) and Jordan Geist (36.1%), both of which have over 100 attempts from deep so far this year.
3. Keep feeding PJ Washington
PJ Washington has been playing like the SEC player of the year and his play the last 8 games has firmly placed him firmly in that conversation. PJ might be the most improved player in all of college basketball and should break the stigma that if a player at Kentucky doesn’t enter the draft as a freshman, they are a failure.
PJ is currently averaging 14.8 points and 8 rebounds on the season, but what is more amazing is his team-best 43.4% 3P which is second in the SEC. In fact, Washington is 7th all-time in Kentucky basketball history in three-point percentage (min. 50 shots).
Players to Watch
1.Jordan Geist
Geist is the Tiger’s primary scoring option and is coming off a 23 point performance against Mississippi with an efficient 56.3% FG. Geist has scored 17 or more points in nine games this season. Ashton Hagans will most likely cover him and with his defensive ability should slow him down.
2. Javon Pickett
The freshman guard has attempted the second most shots on this team behind Jordan Geist, with 41% of those attempts coming from deep. He doesn’t shoot a great percentage (39.8 %) from the field, but is capable of getting hot and dropping 20+ points.
3. Mark Smith
Smith attempts 5.8 three-point shots per game and for good reason, as he is shooting an SEC-best 47.1% from three. However, Smith is coming off a 6 game absence after an ankle injury and only recorded 3 points in 14 minutes against Ole Miss on Saturday.
Prediction
The ESPN basketball power index gives Kentucky an 87.3% chance to take care of business against the Tigers. Missouri only has one win over a KenPom top-50 team and is coming off a 75-65 loss to Mississippi in which they matched a season-worst, 25 turnovers. As long as the Cats come mentally prepared and take care of the ball, the Cats should have a pretty easy night.
Kentucky-76 Missouri-59
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