The schedule is about to ramp up for the Kentucky Wildcats, who will travel to South Carolina for their first true road game to take on the Clemson Tigers in the SEC/ACC Challenge.
Clemson is coming off its second Elite Eight appearance in school history and was picked to finish fourth in the ACC this season. However, it lost seven players from last year’s roster, including first-team All-ACC selection and program great PJ Hall to the NBA.
The Tigers enter the week at 7-1 overall. While they slipped up against Boise State, they have won games over Penn State and San Francisco, both of which are in the top 50 in KenPom. That said, Kentucky will be by far the toughest opponent they have played this young season.
Let’s take a look at the matchup.
Dictating Tempo
According to KenPom, Kentucky plays the fastest pace of any power conference team, ranked fifth in adjusted tempo (73.6). On the other hand, Clemson plays at one of the slowest paces in the country, ranked 292nd, and will be the slowest team the Wildcats play all season.
In Kentucky’s last two games, we have seen their opponents play with more physicality and an effort to slow down the game and keep the Wildcats from getting into rhythm. Clemson is better than both of those teams and will attempt to do the same.
Combine that with a true road environment, and the Wildcats’ explosive offense will certainly be tested on Tuesday.
Improvement on Turnovers
One of Clemson’s calling cards on defense is its ability to force turnovers. The Tigers force their opponents to turn the ball over nearly 15 times per game. In addition to their slow pace on offense, this allows them to have the possession advantage. More possession typically leads to more shot attempts and more points.
Kentucky has been good at taking care of the ball for the most part this season, exceeding 10 turnovers just once, against Bucknell.
However, we have seen teams begin to attack Kentucky’s bigs at the top of the key as they initiate the offense, most commonly Amari Williams. Williams has good passing ability, but he will have to make quicker reads against Clemson.
Perimeter Defense
Due to its slower pace, Clemson doesn’t shoot as many 3s as Kentucky, but it attempts the deep shot at nearly the same rate as the Wildcats. Percentage-wise, it is even slightly more efficient, shooting 39.6% from deep, compared to Kentucky’s 38.2%.
The difference is the amount of shooters between the two teams. Kentucky currently has seven players shooting 30% or better from deep, while Clemson has just four, and they often substitute for each other rather than play alongside each other.
The Tigers’ 3-point attack is centered around Chase Hunter and Chauncey Wiggins, who shoot 40% or greater on more than thirty attempts this season. Lamont Butler will likely get Hunter, but Wiggins is a big shooting threat. Andrew Carr defended him at times last season at Wake Forest.
Opposing Players to Watch
G Chase Hunter 6-4, 202 lbs
- 16.4 PPG
- 2.4 APG
- 46.5% 3P
F Ian Schieffelin 6-8, 240 lbs
- 12.5 PPG
- 11.6 RPG
- 3.6 APG
G Jaeden Zackery 6-1, 218 lbs
Time: 9:30 PM ET on December 3rd, 2024
Location: Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Carolina.
TV Channel: ESPN
Announcers: Karl Ravech and Jimmy Dykes
Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings)
Rosters: UK | CLEM
Stats to Know: UK | CLEM
KenPom: UK | CLEM
Team Sheet: UK | CLEM
Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky favored by 1.5 points with an over/under of 155.5. Bart Torvik (54%) and EvanMiya (52.6%) give Kentucky a slight edge in this SEC-ACC battle. However, KenPom (44%) and ESPN (49.4%) favor Clemson.
Predictions: KenPom (78-76) and Haslametrics (77-76) have the Tigers winning by one score. Bart Torvik (76-75) and EvanMiya (77-76) have Kentucky winning by a single point. I’m going with an 82-77 victory, Kentucky!
Also posted on A Sea of Blue.
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