We are now a third of the way into the first season of the Will Stein era. Entering October with a 3-1 record shows some early signs of progress, but Kentucky’s schedule is about to become considerably more difficult, starting on Saturday, as the Wildcats travel to Columbia to take on Shane Beamer and the Gamecocks. The first of a seven-game stretch against SEC opponents.
Coming off a 4-8 season a year ago, South Carolina entered 2026 with expectations of a bounce-back year, returning an SEC-best 68% of total production and 76% of offensive production. However, that has not been the reality thus far.
Sitting at 2-2 on the season, 0-2 in SEC play, the Gamecocks have lost 11 of their last 13 games to Power 4 opponents, including seven straight. Things hit a new low last Saturday in a 49-18 loss to Alabama. Top NFL prospect Dylan Stewart threw a punch and has been penalized and subsequently suspended for this weekend’s game.
It feels their fanbase is at a tipping point with head coach Shane Beamer due to lack of consistency and development. A tale similar to the end of the Mark Stoops era.
That said, Kentucky has lost four straight to South Carolina and are an underdog in this game. For all the optics, Will Stein and the Wildcats still have their own questions to answer, and they have an opportunity to make a statement this weekend and gain more momentum before a matchup with LSU on October 10th.
Let’s take a look at the matchup.
Run Defense
If there has been one consistent strength for South Carolina this season, it has been their run offense. Ranked top 15 in rushing offense efficiency, the Gamecocks prioritize the run game to set up the rest of their offense. Running back Matt Fuller, who is 20th nationally in rushing yards this season, leads the charge, but quarterback LaNorris Sellers is one of the better dual-threat options in the SEC.
Playing against another mobile quarterback and strong running back duo, Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed and Rueben Owens, the Wildcats were able to hold them to 154 yards combined, forcing Reed to make plays through the air.
The Wildcat defense has been a pleasant surprise this season and will need to play big on Saturday.
Third Down Success
Kentucky has scored 31 or more points in three of their first four games, with Will Stein becoming the first head coach in program history to accomplish that feat. However, the offense has struggled mightily to convert on third down.
Of 39 third-down attempts this season, the Wildcats have only converted on nine. 23 percent. That is dead last in the SEC, 9 percent less than the next closest team, Vanderbilt. It is worth noting that Kentucky has only had 39 third-down opportunities, compared to the league average of 52.86. However, the conversion percentage does not lie.
Winning on the road is tough, especially in the SEC, and Kentucky needs to sustain drives, take the crowd out of the game, and limit the time the dynamic South Carolina offense has on the field.
Win the Turnover Battle
Winning on the road in the SEC often starts with one simple principle: don’t beat yourself. In their one road game, Kentucky had some poor moments, including a missed field goal and a dropped touchdown pass, but they took care of the ball. This season, they have a +3 turnover margin. Meanwhile, South Carolina is -4 for the year.
LaNorris Sellers has a strong arm, but his accuracy is inconsistent, and he has struggled with ball security. Throwing four interceptions this year, which is top 30 nationally, Kentucky’ssecondary could play a big part. Defensive coordinator Jay Bateman will want him to feel the pressure. However, Kentucky QB Kenny Minchey must remain poised himself, 8 TDs to 1 INT, and continue to avoid mistakes.
If Kentucky can win the turnover battle, they’ll put themselves in a much better position to leave Columbia with a win.
Key Players
QB LaNorris Sellers, 6-3, 238 lbs
- 833 passing yards
- 244 rushing yards
- 6 TDs – 4 INTs
RB Matt Fuller, 5-11, 221 lbs
- 384 rushing yards
- 6.7 YPC
- 4 TDs
- Game Time: 4:15 PM EST on October 3, 2026
- Location: Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia, South Carolina
- TV Channel: SEC Network will have the coverage for this game.
- Announcers: Taylor Zarzour, Matt Stinchcomb, and Michella Chestere will have the call.
- Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
- Radio: Tom Leach and Jeff Piecoro have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Network.
- Satellite Radio: XM Channel 203, Sirius Channel 98, Internet Channel 966
- Replay: ESPN+ and SEC Network (check local listings).
- Rosters: UK | SC
- Stats to Know: UK | SC
- Advanced Stats
- Weather.com Forecast: Lower 80s, upper 70s with a strong chance of rain at kickoff.
- Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky listed as 2.5-point underdogs, with a point total of 53.5. ESPN gives the Wildcats a 42.1% chance to pull off the road win.
- Predictions: TeamRankings and DRatings.com both pick the Gamecocks to win by a field goal, 28-25. This is a series that South Carolina has dominated since COVID, but this is a Gamecock team that appears dysfunctional. For that reason, I am taking Kentucky 27-20.
Send us your score predictions down in the comments section!
And Go Cats!!
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