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Men's Basketball

How Far Will Kentucky Go in the NCAA Tournament? Here Is What the ‘Experts’ Think

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© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

The NCAA Tournament is here and millions of brackets have been filled out by millions of people, including those that get paid to provide their ‘expert’ opinion. More times than not the expert’s brackets get busted just the same as everyone else’s, but they do often correctly choose a majority of the Final Four or even the National Champion.

With that said, we have rounded up many analysts’ brackets to see what they think of the Kentucky Wildcats. In line with Kentucky’s inconsistent season, there are many different opinions, ranging from a first-round upset to a run to the Elite Eight.

Let’s take a look!

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Analyst Predictions

The Athletic (Seth Davis): First Round loss to Providence.

Note: The Athletic formed a group of Furman math professors to create a statistical model to predict upsets. Providence beating Kentucky is the 10th-most likely first-round upset at 21.3%.

CBS Sports (Matt Norlander): First Round loss to Providence.

ESPN (Jeff Borzello): Sweet 16 loss to Marquette, 72-64.

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ESPN (Jay Bilas): Sweet 16 loss to Marquette.

ESPN (Seth Greenberg): Sweet 16 loss to Marquette.

NCAA.com (Andy Katz): Second Round loss to Kansas State.

SEC Network (Tom Hart): Elite Eight loss to Duke.

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Sports Illustrated (Pat Forde): Second Round loss to Kansas State.

The Sporting News (Mike DeCourcy): Sweet 16 loss to Marquette.

USA Today (Paul Myerberg): First Round loss to Providence.

Celebrity Predictions

Barrack Obama: Sweet 16 loss to Michigan State.

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Snoop Dogg: Sweet 16 loss to USC.


Of course, for Kentucky to make a run like some of the analysts suggest, they must win their first-round game. That will take place against Providence on Friday night at 7:10 p.m. EST. The computer projections and analytics give Kentucky a slight advantage.

First Round Predictions

Bart Torvik: Projects the Wildcats 27th, to win a close one, 75-72 over the Friars, ranked 59th.

ESPN BPI: Gives Kentucky a 62.7% chance of beating Providence.

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KenPom: Kentucky ranked 28th overall, projects a 75-73 win over Providence, ranked 44th overall.

TeamRankings (via ESPN): Projecting a 74-70 victory for Kentucky.

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Men's Basketball

CBS Sports: Kentucky Has “ended pursuits” in Transfer Portal Following Aberdeen Commitment

In the wake of yet another addition to Kentucky’s incoming roster, CBS Sports reports that Coach Pope and staff may have closed the portal.

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Mark Pope and staff may have everything they need from the transfer portal.
Chet White | UK Athletics

Following another flurry of transfer portal additions in his second year at the helm, it appears that Mark Pope and staff are satisfied with their sophomore haul. The portal in Lexington may be officially closed for the 2025-26′ season.

Right after Kentucky received the surprising commitment of Denzel Aberdeen, Matt Norlander, an analyst for CBS Sports, posted the following on X (Twitter):

“Barring any portal defections, Kentucky has ended its pursuits of all other portal targets, sources told CBS Sports. Getting Aberdeen today [April 21] meant they’ve moved off Andrej Stojakovic, Rylan Griffen, etc. Otega Oweh going through pre-draft process-but I expect him back in Lex”.

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With the addition of Aberdeen, the Wildcats’ roster ballooned to near-max capacity for next season. Seeing two of the team’s walk-on players, Grant Darbyshire and Walker Horn, enter the transfer portal seemed to all but confirm this suspicion, too.

Losing One of Our Own

That is, until last night. With less than two hours remaining for players to do so, Travis Perry shocked much of the Big Blue Nation by throwing his name into the hat. This came just weeks after a string of comments from the Kentucky-native point guard seemed to confirm his return for a sophomore season.

Though all the same, given Kentucky’s bulk of back-court additions this offseason, his departure makes sense for the sake of playing time alone. The Lyon King will be sorely missed.

So while the Kentucky staff may still be very much content with their current roster, with hundreds of players remaining in the portal and an unexpected spot on the roster coming open, another grab is far from out of the question.

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Who Coach Pope and company would go after is entirely unclear, as that potential player would likely have to accept a minimized role off the bench for a stretch of his time in Lexington. If anything, the logical replacement would be a direct fill-in at the PG2/PG3 spot in Perry’s absence.

Either way, the ‘Cats are set to come into next season as one of the most exciting teams in college basketball with a ceiling far out of view. Mark Pope continues to prove his prowess in the transfer market, too, easing the worries of Wildcats fans and closing the door on many supposed “insiders” who’ve spent the last month suggesting otherwise.

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Men's Basketball

REPORT: Travis Perry Enters Transfer Portal

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Kentucky basketball Travis Perry talks about growing more comfortable on the court.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

The transfer portal has been kind to Kentucky in the Mark Pope era. Last season, the staff was able to build a Sweet Sixteen roster almost exclusively from the portal, and this offseason have put together a top-five portal class.

While the portal giveth, it also taketh. Just hours before the deadline to enter, Kentucky native and fan favorite Travis Perry has entered the transfer portal, per multiple reports.

Coming to Kentucky as the state’s all-time high-school scoring record holder, fans were excited to see how his career would unfold in Lexington.

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Not expecting to play much freshman, he was called upon due to injuries and played some key minutes for the Wildcats into the postseason. He averaged 2.7 PPG and .6 APG on 32% shooting from three.

Looking at the depth chart, it was difficult to see where Perry would get much playing time next season, leading to his decision to enter the portal.

Perry has yet to release an official statement, but all the best to him in his future.

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Men's Basketball

Top Transfer Guard Denzel Aberdeen Commits to Kentucky

Former Florida guard Denzel Aberdeen commits to Kentucky, likely closing the transfer portal for next year’s roster.

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Denzel Aberdeen commits to Kentucky.
UF Athletics

Another day, another “boom.” Denzel Aberdeen has officially committed to Kentucky for the 2025-26’ season.

A soon-to-be senior guard fresh off his championship win with Florida, Aberdeen spent his first three years of eligibility in Gainesville. Now, following an apparent conflict in the Gators’ rotation, he’s swapped teams in the southeast.

At 6 ‘5”, 190, Aberdeen spent much of this past season beating defenders off the dribble and making them pay at the rim. His speed and size made him a nightmare off the bench for opposing teams, and for the short stretch of play that he started during the year, Florida didn’t miss a beat. 

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In 19 minutes, Aberdeen averaged 8 points, two rebounds and one assist per game. His consistent contribution to the Gators’ title run made him one of the most coveted transfers in the cycle this season, and given his big blue commitment just days after entering the portal, Mark Pope clearly wasted no time in Kentucky’s pursuit.

Aberdeen slots in as yet another addition to what was already one of the strongest portal classes going into next season. His SEC experience and combo-guard intangibles make Aberdeen one of the most exciting portal players to come through Lexington in a long while, reinforcing Kentucky’s back court to what may be the final degree.

Whether or not Mark Pope is officially done for next season, nobody is sure, but this commitment only further cements the fact that he knows exactly what he’s doing. Just like the  fanbase behind him, Coach Pope seems to never sleep.

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