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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Alabama: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats guard Rob Dillingham celebrating against LSU.
Photo by Chet White | UK Athletics

After one of the biggest wins of the season, against Auburn, the Kentucky Wildcats suffered a tough loss on the road to LSU after going up as much as 15 points in the second half. As frustrating of a loss as that was, attention quickly turned toward Alabama who will come into Rupp Arena on Saturday.

In his fifth season at Alabama, head coach Nate Oats has put the Crimson Tide atop the SEC standings and in a position to win their 3rd SEC regular season in that span. Given they have just twelve in program history, that is an impressive feat.

Saturday’s matchup is almost certain to be an offensive showcase, with both teams having two of the best offenses in the country, Alabama 2nd and Kentucky 9th in KenPom offensive efficiency. Looking deeper, this year’s edition of Alabama excels in areas that can really give Kentucky fits with their perimeter shooting, rebounding, and physicality.

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That said, it is an opportunity for the Wildcats to get another quality win and regain some momentum with March just days away. Let’s dive into the matchup.

Defend the Three Point Line

A few weeks ago, John Calipari talked about this Kentucky team’s excellent three-point shooting and needing to guard the three better to have the advantage. “We gotta guard the three-ball better,” he said. “We shoot it so well, that should be our advantage. We can’t be even.”

There will be no bigger test of that than Saturday.

Both teams are top 15 in three-point percentage, Kentucky 1st (40.5%) and Alabama 15th (38%), and both have three players in the top ten of the SEC in three-point percentage, but they differ in how many they shoot. Kentucky averages 23.7 three-point attempts per game, which is above average, but Alabama averages more than 30 attempts, the fourth most in the country.

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With Alabama shooting such a high percentage from three, on a lot of attempts, they are going to make their share. However, Kentucky has to make those shots difficult and key in on top shooters like Mark Sears, Latrell Wrightsell, and Rylan Griffen who shoot 39% on five or more attempts per game.

Be Physical

For much of the season, Auburn was known to be a “bully” team, leaning into their physicality. Against Kentucky last weekend, the Wildcats were the more physical team, with Bruce Pearl going as far as saying he would be turning some plays in the SEC. That is the Kentucky team that needs to come out against Alabama.

The Crimson Tide are physical and one area that shows up prominently is on the boards, as they are a top ten rebounding team in the nation. It’s not just an Oscar Tshiebwe type of player doing most of the work, it is a team effort. Each Wildcat on the floor must box out.

In general, “Do what other teams do to us,” as Adout Thiero has said this season. Get into the guards and make them uncomfortable on the perimeter, don’t allow easy drives to the basket. Be the aggressor.

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Make Your Free Throws

Given Alabama’s physicality, they foul A LOT, amongst the highest rates in the country. That means Kentucky is not likely to get a lot of clean looks at the rim.

Fortunately, this one of Calipari’s best free throw shooting teams, shooting nearly 76 percent from the line, ranked top 50 nationally. In what is expected to be a close game, Kentucky can’t leave points on the board, as they did in losses to Florida, Tennessee, and Texas A&M. Aim to shoot 75% or better from the line.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Mark Sears 6-1, 185 lbs

  • 20.4 PPG (1st in SEC)
  • 4.1 APG (5th in SEC)
  • 43.9% 3P (8th in SEC)

F Grant Nelson 6-11, 230 lbs

  • 12.3 PPG
  • 5.6 RPG
  • 1.7 BPG (4th in SEC)

G Aaron Estrada 6-3, 190 lbs

  • 13.1 PPG
  • 5.0 RPG
  • 4.3 APG (3rd in SEC)

Kentucky Basketball vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

  • Time: 4 PM EST on Feb. 24th
  • Location: Central Bank Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Online Stream: CBS Sports and the CBS Sports app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: CBS Sports app check local listings.
  • Rosters: UK | BAMA
  • Stats to Know: UK | BAMA
  • KenPom: UK | BAMA
  • Team Sheet: UK | BAMA
  • Odds: The odds for the game have yet to be released, but check out SportsBetExpert for your picks. ESPN’s matchup predictor is the harshest on the Cats, giving them just a 38.2% chance at victory. Followed by KenPom at 43%, EvanMiya at 45.4%, and BartTorvik at 49%. DRatings is the one projection that is in favor of Kentucky, at 53.5%.
  • Predictions: All the projections expect a score game. DRatings has Kentucky winning narrowly, 88-86. Bart Torvik picks Kentucky to lose 92-91. Haslametrics and EvanMiya have them losing 89-88 and 90-89. KenPom expects a 90-88 loss for the Cats.
  • Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Shoulders the Blame for Kentucky’s Recent Poor Play, “I’m Doing a Poor Job…”

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Kentucky basketball head coach Mark Pope thinks as he looks to the sideline.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

What a horrible Tuesday night in Oxford.

After Kentucky’s deflating loss to Arkansas on Saturday, that “stink” followed them as they traveled on the road to Ole Miss. What was an opportunity to get back on the right track, quickly turned into another loss and another learning opportunity.

Trailing by as much as 27 points at one point, Kentucky made a run in the second half, making it a somewhat ‘respectable’ 14-point loss.

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While they shot 50 percent from the field and over 47 percent from three, they had no answer for the Rebels on the defensive end. Giving up 98 points and forcing just one turnover is the short synopsis of just how bad Kentucky’s defense was.

Following the game, Mark Pope accepted the blame.

“I didn’t help the guys enough try to find answers,” he said. “We still shoot 50 percent from the field in the game, and are 21 (assists) and 8 (turnovers). Which is what we want. The biggest frustration is on the defensive end. I’m doing a poor job of finding answers to that right now.”

With the SEC and NCAA Tournaments just a over month out, those answers need to be found quickly.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope on Lamont Butler and Kerr Kriisa’s Injury Status: “I Don’t Know”

Mark Pope has no good news regarding Lamont Butler’s injury ahead of Kentucky’s road bout against the Ole Miss Rebels.

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Kentucky guard Lamont Butler falls to the floor.
Chet White | UK Athletics

For the third straight game, Lamont Butler has headlined Kentucky’s injury report as “OUT”. While Kentucky certainly misses him, especially defensively, they will have to adjust and try to get used to winning without him.

Following the loss to Arkansas, Mark Pope was asked about what has been a foggy (to say the least) scenario regarding Butler’s predicament. Unfortunately, his words paint a bleak picture.

“I just don’t know… we’re kind of just trying to navigate the space,” he said. “There’s a lot to it that I’m not going to share, because it’s his stuff, but we’re trying to figure out how to proceed right now.”

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“I would tell you more but we just really, genuinely don’t know yet. We’ll figure out more in the next couple weeks, I assume at some point we’re gonna take another shot at this and see how it goes.”

Butler’s absence has overshadowed Kerr Kriisa’s absence as well, whose energy would be very beneficial. After Kentucky’s loss to Ole Miss, their fourth loss over the last five games, Pope provided an update, but a not-so-optimistic one.

“I don’t know,” Pope said of the status of Butler and Kriisa. “We have to figure this out with the guys we have. That’s what we are focused on. That’s the job.”

The prospect of even a few more weeks of basketball without Butler is daunting to say the least, especially considering the fact that we’re just a little more than a month out from March Madness.

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Buying Time

Even so, with Andrew Carr trending positively and returning to the rotation and guys off the bench getting more comfortable with increased minutes, the Wildcats should have the facilities to put up a fight on a game-to-game basis until Butler can, hopefully, come back,

In spite of their recent struggles, injuries and otherwise, Kentucky is still a ranked team, but they have eight conference games remaining.

Point guard duties will once again fall on Jaxson Robinson and Travis Perry. Kentucky will need significant minutes from both until Butler or Kriisa return at full strength. Saturday’s game against South Carolina becomes a must-win.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope on Trent Noah’s Lack of Minutes: “There’s Definitely Space for Him, and it’s My Job to Find It”

After Kentucky’s disappointing loss to Arkansas, many have called into question Coach Pope’s refusal to play Trent Noah.

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Kentucky Wildcats forward Trent Noah (9) shoots the ball.
Trent Noah - IMAGN

Trent Noah, in addition to being a fan favorite for geographical reasons, has provided a serious spark off the bench for Kentucky in the last two games. Against Tennessee specifically, Noah drilled a three from the mid-court logo during a crucial second-half stretch that helped keep the Volunteers at bay.

In the loss to Arkansas, he watched the entire game from the bench.

Exploring Space

Mark Pope was asked about this seemingly random discrepancy after the game, saying, “With Drew coming back, and Ansley playing so well… I wonder if there’s some space for Trent actually at the 3. I think that’s something we can explore.”

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“As we kind of reconfigure everything we’re doing right now, on the fly, he’s played well and there’s definitely space for him, and it’s my job to find it,” he continued.

With the carousel of injuries that Kentucky has dealt with so far this season, the rotations being non-concrete is no surprise.

But Noah’s absence in a game where the Wildcats are struggling in just about every facet that he specializes in is nothing short of a head-scratcher. The offense had stalled and energy was neutralized early in the second half; why not give Noah the chance to make a play on either end and restore those things, to some extent?

Wishful Thinking

Not to mention the crowd reaction that a Kentucky native elicits when he so much as touches the ball. With the crowd already at legendary levels during that game, Noah’s appearance in the team’s time of need could’ve gone a long way in that aspect alone.

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Alas, retrospective wishful thinking won’t get us anywhere now. With a road match against Ole Miss next on the docket, Noah has an opportunity to continue his strong conference showings away from home in what has become yet another pivotal game for Kentucky.

Let’s just hope Pope finds space for him by then.

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