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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Leave/Stay Predictions As We Enter Player Meeting Week

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© Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

It has now been over a week since Kentucky’s heartbreaking loss to Kansas State, which has given time for each player to meet with their families and camps to think about their future. On Wednesday, John Calipari will sit down with each of them to help them make a decision.

As we enter ‘player meeting week’, decisions will start to be announced. With that said, let’s give the latest update and prediction on each player.

Near-Locks

There are a handful of players that practically had their decisions made before the start of this season. The one outlier is Sahvir Wheeler, who found himself in a smaller role this season before his injuries. He will look to transfer elsewhere, for a system that better fits him.

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For Cason Wallace, the decision is easy, he is going to be a lottery pick in this year’s NBA Draft. As for Toppin and Tshiebwe, there is not much that they can do to improve their stock significantly by returning for another season.

Lance Ware is not the most talented player on the roster, but has flourished in his role at Kentucky and was even named a captain this past season. Last summer, Ware cited his love for Kentucky and Calipari as a reason not to transfer, even having the self-awareness to say, “not everybody can be the star.”

As for Adou Thiero, he came to Kentucky with the understanding that he would not get much playing time, but he actually saw the court in twenty games, playing an average of nearly 10 minutes per game. Based on the current roster construction Adou would likely be behind DJ Wagner and Rob Dillingham (there are rumors he may not make it campus) and share minutes with Reed Sheppard. So there may be a decision to be made there, but I expect him to be back.

  • Cason Wallace: Gone 100%
  • Sahvir Wheeler: Transfer, 100%
  • Oscar Tshiebwe: Gone, 95%
  • Jacob Toppin: Gone, 95%
  • Lance Ware: Stay, 95%
  • Adou Thiero: Stay, 80%

Difficult Decisions

Chris Livingston

Coming to Kentucky, Livingston had a first-round NBA Draft grade and expected himself to be a one-and-done player, as did those around him. This also included LeBron James-owned sports agency, Klutch Sports, which represents Livingston.

Hurt by consistency early, Livingston worked his way into being one of Kentucky’s key players at the end of the season. Over the final 13 games of this past season, Livingston played more than 32 minutes per game, contributing 7.9 points and 6.5 rebounds on 55 percent shooting.

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With an offseason to improve, most importantly his jump shot, he could give himself an opportunity to himself back into the first round with a return. Yet, that may not happen.

As said before, those around Livingston wanted a short trip to the NBA. While currently not projected, given his potential and NBA connections, he would likely be a second-round draft pick. For those reasons, I expect him to put his name in the NBA Draft while retaining his eligibility, but ultimately keep it there.

Prediction: Go through NBA Draft process, Stay in Draft

Confidence Level: Medium, 60%

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Antonio Reeves

Following the Kansas State game, Antonio Reeves told me “I’d love to be back. I love the school. I love the fans. I love everybody here.” That decision will come down to his role and NIL money.

It is reported that Reeves made six figures from NIL this past season in Lexington, so more opportunities should be there next season. As the roster is constructed, shooting is the biggest weakness. Therefore a top 15-shooter in program history (39.8%, 14th in all-time percentage) should be welcomed back with open arms.

Reeves will and should go through the NBA Draft process to receive feedback, but I fully expect him to be back.

Prediction: Go through NBA Draft process, Return to Kentucky.

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Confidence Level: High, 80%

Ugonna Onyenso

After the loss to Kansas State, I was able to interview Ugonna Onyenso, and he immediately talked about stepping in as a leader and accomplishing things that this team couldn’t. Yet, there is a possibility that may not happen.

If this decision was completely up to Oneyenso, he would be back at Kentucky for another season. Unfortunately, that is not the case. Being brought to the United States from Nigeria, this is a different situation than most players.

While this isn’t a Shaedon Sharpe situation where Oneysno could go to the draft as a Top 10 pick, there are people around him that are open to exploring possibilities outside of Kentucky, including some Big East programs. With that said, I don’t see another program that can offer what Kentucky can, which includes a large role and good NIL opportunities.

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Prediction: Return to Kentucky.

Confidence Level: Medium, 65%

Daimion Collins

Daimion Collins’ situation is unlike any other, as it has little to do with basketball. Prior to the season, Daimion’s father, Ben Collins, passed away unexpectedly. This impacted the entire family and hurt Daimion’s progression early this season, so much so, that Calipari said he lost sixteen pounds from his already thin frame.

Damion’s father did want his son to stay the process at Kentucky, even if it took all four seasons. However, it is family over everything for Collins, which is part of the reason why his father lived in Lexington.

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With that said, I expect Daimion to transfer to a school closer to home, with full support from the Kentucky program. Collins did have Texas and Texas Tech as finalists when he committed to Kentucky in 2021, but with the coaching changes since, I don’t expect those schools to be in play. Instead, look at SMU and Houston.

Prediction: Transfer

Confidence Level: Medium, 70%

CJ Fredrick

CJ Fredrick loves the game of basketball, but after enduring five seasons of college basketball, without one full healthy season, he may hang it up. Unlike other players on this list, it is retirement or return for Fredrick, as he will not decide to transfer or play professionally.

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Following the Kansas State game, Fredrick was very emotional when talking about what could be his last game, saying he has “no idea” what he will decide.

Fredrick is someone I have not heard much about, but given that he is getting married this summer and all that he had endured in his career, I don’t expect him to return to Kentucky for another season.

Prediction: Retire

Confidence Level: Low, 35%

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Keeps Win Streak Alive, Holds Off Ole Miss Rebels at Home

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Chet White | UK Athletics

The Wildcats had one 11 a.m. tip last year, a thrilling SEC home-opening win against the now reigning champion Florida Gators. Now, after another convincing win versus the Ole Miss Rebels, in a game pushed earlier due to historically impending weather, it may be time for the Cats to give up the noon tips.

On Saturday, Jan. 24, Kentucky men’s basketball (14-6, 5-2 SEC) defeated Ole Miss (11-9, 3-4 SEC) by a score of 72-63, tying the Wildcats for second place in the conference.

FIRST HALF

In case you slept in, forgetting the game started an earlier, you frankly didn’t miss out on anything too eventful, as both teams would have a quiet start full of missed opportunities and offenses that wouldn’t quite develop. On Kentucky’s end, two fouls given to Otega Oweh within the first 40 seconds played a huge factor. 

Kansas transfer AJ Storr kept the game in check with aggressive post play, leading to shots from the charity stripe. Kentucky had Jasper Johnson turn on the afterburners toward the backend, with two 3-pointer shots and eight points.

SECOND HALF

The second half included a game of basketball that was much higher scoring and much more in line with how coach Chris Beard and Mark Pope like to run their offenses. Oweh, playing a lot more disciplined in the foul game, quickly brought himself to another double-digit game (a streak he hasn’t broken all season) and his highest scoring performance all season (23 points).

WHAT’S NEXT?

Kentucky will go on another rough roadtrip this week, facing No. 15 Vanderbilt (16-3, 3-3 SEC) and No. 20 Arkansas (14-5, 4-2 SEC). If they can win one of those two games, they’ll have more than enough momentum to return to Rupp to start February with a bang.

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If they go two for two, the Cats will be in fantastic shape and will most likely return to the AP Top 25 for the first time since the end of November.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky’s Kam Williams Breaks Foot, Set to “Be Out for a While”

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Chet White | UK Athletics

The injury bug has officially struck the Wildcats once again.

After an awkward shot in the second half, Kam Williams would exit the game and was seen limping back to the locker room, a sight that instantly caused worry for Big Blue Nation.

Unfortunately, after the game, Mark Pope would confirm that Williams’ injury is indeed not minor and that he broke his foot.

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“He’s just a beautiful kid,” Pope said. “We’re going to get him back healthy as soon as we possibly can but he’ll be out for a while.”

Depending on the type of fracture, and what we’ve seen in the past from certain athletes, anything non-displaced will sideline Williams for 6-8 weeks, but anything more major than that will guarantee his absence for the rest of the season.

The Tulane transfer played in 19 games for the Wildcats, started in seven of those and averaged 6.9 points per game on 44.9% shooting from the field.

A short time after the game, his father Greg Williams would send out an encouraging message for fans, stating that the Wildcat is feeling fine.

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“BBN, Kam is disappointed, but in good spirits and he is thankful for the many prayers and well wishes.”

Now, with Williams and Jaland Lowe both out for the foreseeable future and superstar Jayden Quaintance still sidelined with knee swelling, the Wildcats will be limited heading forward. Join KY Insider in wishing all players a speedy recovery.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Wins Fourth Conference Game in a Row, Holds Off Texas at Home

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Sydney Yonker | UK Athletics

Kentucky (13-6, 4-2 SEC) extended its conference win streak to four after closing out Texas (11-8, 2-4 SEC) by a score of 85-80 on Wednesday, Jan. 21.

After the Wildcats’ return to Rupp Arena, fans will likely run back the highlights and maybe even show a friend who isn’t into basketball. From back-and-forth-scoring, flashy dunks and crowd pops, this game had it all.

Notably, for the first time since the start of SEC play, the Wildcats did not head into the second half trailing and won this boxing match straight up in front of Big Blue Nation.

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Breaking the First Half Faults

Let’s just cut to the chase. Kentucky ended the first half tied with Texas 40-40, however, in the past three games, the Wildcats had been down double digits heading into the break.

This was a real treat for fans who have not yet seen their team actually put together a respectable first half. The standout player for the first 20 minutes was none other than Otega Oweh, who finished the half with 10 points and a steal, altogether saving the “heart attacks” from the fans who bleed blue.

But, numbers fade, and what everyone will remembers is the highlights – plays like the “baptism” Oweh created, nearly posterizing Texas center Matas Vokietaitis.

Driving baseline with his head down, Oweh’s dunk was so powerful that it rattled the rim for what felt like an eternity, resulting in loud cheers from every inch of Lexington’s heart.

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Each team took turns going on three-minute scoring runs while the other would fall into a scoring drought, resulting in a back-and-forth up-hill climb for both squads.

Closing the Game

At the midway point of the Tennessee game, the Wildcats were in the middle of their comeback win, but in the midway point of this one, they were thankfully battling to keep the lead.

Maybe it was being back in Rupp Arena or maybe it was because they just didn’t like being called “Cardiac Cats” all the time, but for this one, Kentucky was in the driver’s seat for a majority of the time.

Fans had plenty of reason to get loud, between consistent scoring and the win. The defense however, earning the loudest cheers, was a staple in the victory.

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Kentucky finished the win with eight steals, seven blocks and 36 total rebounds as a team. Both squads used most of the shot clock in the second half, focused on finding good shots in the half-court offense, but the Wildcats continued to fight through the high-powered Longhorns.

One of the players who this benefited the most was Colin Chandler, who joined Oweh as the second largest leading scorer. Chandler finished the night with 18 points and seven rebounds – a new career high in both categories.

Texas only led in the game for just over seven minutes, dealing with Malachi Moreno swatting its shots away – he had five – and the backcourt just flat out dropping buckets.

Up Next

Defensive anchors and control of the final moments is exactly what Kentucky needs with its upcoming schedule.

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Rounding out the month of January, Kentucky faces some of the most high-powered offenses in the SEC, starting first with Ole Miss on Saturday, Jan. 24 and with road games against No. 15 Vanderbilt on Jan. 27 and No. 20 Arkansas on Jan. 31.

The Wildcats will face the Rebels (11-8, 3-3 SEC) this coming Saturday at 12:00 p.m. ET, airing live on ESPN.

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