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Kentucky vs. Gonzaga: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats head coach Mark Pope directs his players.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Coming off their first loss of the season to Clemson on Tuesday, the Kentucky Wildcats have a quick turnaround until their next big challenge. The Wildcats travel to Seattle on Thursday to take on the seventh-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs for a primetime game on Saturday, and what will most likely be their last ranked matchup before conference play.

This will be the third game of the six-year series between the two teams, with the Wildcats still looking for their first win over the Bulldogs. All-time, this will be the fourth meeting between the teams, with Gonzaga holding a 2-1 advantage.

Mark Few, in his 26th season at Gonzaga, returns 68% of a roster that went to a ninth straight Sweet Sixteen last March. That roster continuity is the most of any team in the Top 25.

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While they lean a lot on the backcourt of Ryan Nembhard and Nolan Hickman (once a Kentucky commit), who both play more than 30 minutes per game, they have some depth as well, ranking 19th nationally in bench points per game, the most of any team in the Top 25.

Ranked top 20 in KenPom’s offensive and defensive efficiency metrics, one of just six teams, Gonzaga is one of the most well-rounded teams in the country. Kentucky has already beaten one such team in Duke.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Three Point Shooting

Kentucky’s offense is centered around three-point shooting, with Mark Pope looking to shoot 30-35 per game. That’s great when you’re making them, not so much when you aren’t. After shooting greater than 40 percent from three in four of their first five games, the Wildcats have shot less than 28 percent in three straight contests.

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On the other side, what Gonzaga does best defensively is defending the three. The Bulldogs rank fourth in opponent three-point percentage. In their one loss this season, West Viriginia made 11 threes on 35 attempts.

Can the Cats shake their slump against one of the best 3P defenses in the country?

Make Free Throws

Free throws are free for a reason, but Kentucky hasn’t been taking full advantage of their opportunities.

Despite shooting the three well and having four to five shooters on the court at all times, the Wildcats are only shooting just above 73 percent on the season. That includes a season-low 61 percent (11-18) against Clemson. If the Wildcats had shot 70-75 percent, that’s an extra two points and the end of the game could have played out much differently.

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Gonzaga on the other hand is shooting nearly 83 percent from the charity stripe, the third-best mark in the nation. The worst free throw shooter in the rotation shoots 70 percent.

Tight games can be lost or won at the free-throw line. Kentucky can’t afford to leave points on the board like they have been.

Take Care of the Ball

Kentucky has been fairly good at taking care of the ball thus far this season, averaging just over ten turnovers per game, ranked 53rd nationally. That number is just over Mark Pope’s per-game goal of ten or less.

Against Clemson, the Wildcats turned it over a dozen times, not many of their average, but many of them were unforced, not due to Clemson’s defense.

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Of late, the main culprit has been Amari Williams. While he is a skilled passer, the big man has turned it over 11 times over the past three games and has recorded four or more turnovers in four of Kentucky’s eight games this season.

Gonzaga ranks 13th nationally in turnovers (9.4), but in their sole loss to West Virginia, they had a -4 turnover margin.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Ryan Nembhard, 6-0, 180 lbs

  • 10.6 PPG
  • 10.8 APG (1st nationally, would be 5th best in NCAA history if sustained)
  • 45% 3P

G Nolan Hickman 6-2, 190 lbs

  • 11.5 PPG
  • 46.2% 3P

F Graham Ike 6-9, 250 lbs

  • 13.8 PPG
  • 6.5 RPG
  • 2.4 FPG (four fouls in two straight games)

#4 Kentucky Basketball (7-1) vs. #7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1)

  • Time: 10:00 PM ET on December 7th
    Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA
    TV Channel: ESPN2
    Announcers: Jon Sciambi and Jimmy Dykes will call the action.
    Online Stream: You can stream the game online using ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
    Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
    Replay: WatchESPN and ESPN network of channels (check local listings).
    Rosters: UK | ZAG
    Stats to Know: UK | ZAG
    KenPom: UK | ZAG
    Team Sheet: UK | ZAG
  • Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds, so please check back later for those. Expectedly, the projections all have Kentucky as the underdog, giving them roughly between 30-40 percent chance at victory: ESPN (40.6%), Bart Torvik (38%) and EvanMiya (34.1%) KenPom (29%).
  • PredictionsKenPom and EvanMiya have Kentucky losing by a score of 85-80. Haslametrics and Bart Torvik have the Cats losing by s slightly narrow margin, 84-81. Unfortunately, I think Gonzaga’s depth and three-point defense prevail, and I pick the Bulldogs to win 90-84.

Be sure to send us your Kentucky vs. Gonzaga score predictions! Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Provides Positive Injury Update on Lamont Butler and Jaxson Robinson

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Kentucky guard Jaxon Robinson watching warmups as he sits with an injured wrist.
Tristan Pharis

Kentucky fans received a bit of good news today as Mark Pope previewed the Wildcats’ rematch with Alabama.

Asked about the status of Lamont Butler and Jaxson Robinson, Pope had positive news to share rather than the not-so-good news he is growing accustomed to providing over recent weeks.

“Lamont is going to get a little bit of live action today,’ Pope said. “Jax (Jaxson Robinson) is gonna be in some skill stuff today”

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This is a very promising update for Kentucky as they are doing everything they can to get healthy for a run in March. However, it does sound like we are closer to a return of Lamont Butler than we are seeing Jaxson Robinson return.

Although the update did seem promising, it shouldn’t be expected for either player to suit up against Alabama. That said, an injury report will be released around 7 PM eastern tonight.

At this point in time, the most crucial thing is getting Lamont Butler, and Jaxson Robinson back healthy for a postseason run in March. Although Kentucky has had bright spots without Lamont Butler and Jaxson Robinson, it is clear that they have missed both of these guys. Pope seems more hopeful with each day that we will see these guys back in uniform in the pretty near future.

The Cats will be back in action tomorrow at 6 PM on ESPN against an Alabama team who will be hungry after a road loss to Missouri.

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Men's Basketball

Koby Brea on Making Big Plays At Kentucky: “It’s Stuff You Dream of as a Little Kid”

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Kentucky Wildcats guard Koby Brea (4) reacts to the action from the bench in Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

Among a wave of feel-good storylines in the wake of Kentucky’s ranked home win over Tennessee last week, completing the season sweep, Koby Brea’s playmaking towards the end of the second half was the nail in the Volunteers’ coffin.

On back-to-back possessions, Brea led the charge with a depleted Wildcats offense, following the re-aggravation of Lamont Butler’s shoulder injury and the continued absence of Jaxson Robinson and Kerr Kriisa.

First, “Fuego,” as he’s been lovingly dubbed by the Big Blue Nation, executed a clutch step-back triple to extend Kentucky’s lead to six, 68-62. Then, after a defensive stop, Brea slashed into the lane and threw a no-look-lob to Otega Oweh that essentially sealed the deal.

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Kentucky led 70-62 with just over a minute to go, and would ultimately get out with a double-digit win, 75-64.

Bucket List Buckets

Asked about the deciding stretch after the game, Brea emphasized staying calm, and how the moment is the stuff of childhood dreams.

“I play hard throughout the game on both ends,” he said. “When it’s time for me to shoot, I have to just relax a little bit. That’s the one moment in the game where I’m just going to take my time and breathe a little bit.”

Brea finished the game with 11 points and shot a scorching 50% metric (3/6) from the three-point line. Whatever he’s doing, he’s doing it right.

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“It felt good,” he said regarding his third, and most crucial, triple. “To hit shots like that in such a big moment, in such a big game, it’s stuff that you dream of as a little kid.”

“It made me feel really good, and it just goes to show all the work that I’ve put in, and how confident I am in that moment, and how confident my team is in that moment with me as well… they knew I was going to go to work, and that meant a lot to me as well.”

With both Robinson and Butler likely to remain out against Texas on Saturday, Kentucky will likely rely on Brea to start, and produce, once more. No matter how tough the SEC has proven to be, this Kentucky team has responded every time; the “next man up” mentality in Lexington is like no other.

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Amari Williams With Historic ‘Perfect’ Game as Kentucky Blows Out Vanderbilt at Home

In a must win game at home, Amari Williams didn’t miss a shot, spurring Kentucky to a double-digit victory.

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Kentucky Wildcats center Amari Williams (22) dunks the ball in Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

The “get-back” game, as they call it. After losing to Vanderbilt in Nashville last month, Kentucky evened the season slate between the ‘Cats and Commodores at home in an 82-61 win, including a chasmic 41-21 advantage in the second half.

Picture Perfect

While the Wildcats will take away much positivity from the win, the most glaring highlight is Amari Williams’ perfection from both the field and the free throw line; he tallied 17 points on 6/6 and 5/5 splits. For perspective, Williams is the first basketball player in college or the NBA to have such a stat line since Hall of Famer Pau Gasol in 2010.

Williams’ strong performance is only the latest in a long line of memorable games for the senior transfer. In January, he became only the fourth Wildcat in program history to log a triple-double, doing so on the road in the loss to Ole Miss.

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In addition to that flawless performance, Collin Chandler rose to new heights in what was undoubtedly his best performance of the season thus far, too.

Chandler entered the game early as the first substitution off the bench, sinking a three on his first possession and not once looking back. In 15 minutes, Chandler scored seven points, grabbed six boards, and added two assists and steals, to boot.

It Takes A Team

Despite standout individual performances, Kentucky’s pivotal victory took the entire team, battling through their persistent injury issues (which cost them three players tonight) ahead of an ominous, ever-brutal SEC schedule.

“Kentucky was on a high level today,” admitted Commodores’ head coach Mark Byington following the game.

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“I thought Pope put them in a great spot to be successful, and those guys executed… I thought Kentucky was great tonight.”

As far as what Coach Pope himself had to say, he made sure to give his guys flowers.

“I thought Collin gave us a massive boost tonight, energy-wise… the plays he made today, he’s been making in practice, and he is going to help us in a huge way down the stretch. I was really proud of him tonight,” he said.

And Amari? “Amari decided he wasn’t passing the ball tonight,” Pope joked.

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“Amari right now is top 5 all-time in the SEC in terms of PAR (points plus assists plus rebounds)… that’s insane what we’re witnessing him do. I thought he was brilliant tonight.”

“He’s grown so much, and he’s taken on so much, and he’s just like “Give me more.””

With their backs against the wall, Kentucky continues to battle until the bell rings. Now 18-8 (7-6) on the year, the ‘Cats have five more games before the madness begins. Their next test comes in the form of fourth-ranked Alabama in Tuscaloosa this Saturday.

But for the time being, Vanderbilt was a must-win, and win Kentucky did.

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