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Kentucky vs. Gonzaga: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats head coach Mark Pope directs his players.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Coming off their first loss of the season to Clemson on Tuesday, the Kentucky Wildcats have a quick turnaround until their next big challenge. The Wildcats travel to Seattle on Thursday to take on the seventh-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs for a primetime game on Saturday, and what will most likely be their last ranked matchup before conference play.

This will be the third game of the six-year series between the two teams, with the Wildcats still looking for their first win over the Bulldogs. All-time, this will be the fourth meeting between the teams, with Gonzaga holding a 2-1 advantage.

Mark Few, in his 26th season at Gonzaga, returns 68% of a roster that went to a ninth straight Sweet Sixteen last March. That roster continuity is the most of any team in the Top 25.

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While they lean a lot on the backcourt of Ryan Nembhard and Nolan Hickman (once a Kentucky commit), who both play more than 30 minutes per game, they have some depth as well, ranking 19th nationally in bench points per game, the most of any team in the Top 25.

Ranked top 20 in KenPom’s offensive and defensive efficiency metrics, one of just six teams, Gonzaga is one of the most well-rounded teams in the country. Kentucky has already beaten one such team in Duke.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Three Point Shooting

Kentucky’s offense is centered around three-point shooting, with Mark Pope looking to shoot 30-35 per game. That’s great when you’re making them, not so much when you aren’t. After shooting greater than 40 percent from three in four of their first five games, the Wildcats have shot less than 28 percent in three straight contests.

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On the other side, what Gonzaga does best defensively is defending the three. The Bulldogs rank fourth in opponent three-point percentage. In their one loss this season, West Viriginia made 11 threes on 35 attempts.

Can the Cats shake their slump against one of the best 3P defenses in the country?

Make Free Throws

Free throws are free for a reason, but Kentucky hasn’t been taking full advantage of their opportunities.

Despite shooting the three well and having four to five shooters on the court at all times, the Wildcats are only shooting just above 73 percent on the season. That includes a season-low 61 percent (11-18) against Clemson. If the Wildcats had shot 70-75 percent, that’s an extra two points and the end of the game could have played out much differently.

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Gonzaga on the other hand is shooting nearly 83 percent from the charity stripe, the third-best mark in the nation. The worst free throw shooter in the rotation shoots 70 percent.

Tight games can be lost or won at the free-throw line. Kentucky can’t afford to leave points on the board like they have been.

Take Care of the Ball

Kentucky has been fairly good at taking care of the ball thus far this season, averaging just over ten turnovers per game, ranked 53rd nationally. That number is just over Mark Pope’s per-game goal of ten or less.

Against Clemson, the Wildcats turned it over a dozen times, not many of their average, but many of them were unforced, not due to Clemson’s defense.

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Of late, the main culprit has been Amari Williams. While he is a skilled passer, the big man has turned it over 11 times over the past three games and has recorded four or more turnovers in four of Kentucky’s eight games this season.

Gonzaga ranks 13th nationally in turnovers (9.4), but in their sole loss to West Virginia, they had a -4 turnover margin.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Ryan Nembhard, 6-0, 180 lbs

  • 10.6 PPG
  • 10.8 APG (1st nationally, would be 5th best in NCAA history if sustained)
  • 45% 3P

G Nolan Hickman 6-2, 190 lbs

  • 11.5 PPG
  • 46.2% 3P

F Graham Ike 6-9, 250 lbs

  • 13.8 PPG
  • 6.5 RPG
  • 2.4 FPG (four fouls in two straight games)

#4 Kentucky Basketball (7-1) vs. #7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1)

  • Time: 10:00 PM ET on December 7th
    Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA
    TV Channel: ESPN2
    Announcers: Jon Sciambi and Jimmy Dykes will call the action.
    Online Stream: You can stream the game online using ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
    Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
    Replay: WatchESPN and ESPN network of channels (check local listings).
    Rosters: UK | ZAG
    Stats to Know: UK | ZAG
    KenPom: UK | ZAG
    Team Sheet: UK | ZAG
  • Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds, so please check back later for those. Expectedly, the projections all have Kentucky as the underdog, giving them roughly between 30-40 percent chance at victory: ESPN (40.6%), Bart Torvik (38%) and EvanMiya (34.1%) KenPom (29%).
  • PredictionsKenPom and EvanMiya have Kentucky losing by a score of 85-80. Haslametrics and Bart Torvik have the Cats losing by s slightly narrow margin, 84-81. Unfortunately, I think Gonzaga’s depth and three-point defense prevail, and I pick the Bulldogs to win 90-84.

Be sure to send us your Kentucky vs. Gonzaga score predictions! Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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BB Recruiting

James Madison Transfer Justin McBride to Visit Kentucky on Tuesday

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Kentucky will host James Madison transfer James McBride for a visit on Tuesday, after communicating with Mark Pope and the staff via Zoom video call.
James Madison Athletics

While much of the attention in the transfer portal goes to the top targets, you need to build a full roster. Still with starting spots to be claimed, Kentucky also looking at depth pieces. The most recent, James Madison transfer Justin McBride.

After talking to the staff this week via Zoom video call, McBride is scheduled to take a visit to Lexington on Tuesday.

A three-star transfer, ranked 201st overall according to 247Sports, McBride is being recruited by multiple power conference teams including Baylor and Cal, as well as SEC foes Mississippi State and Ole Miss.

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Out of high school, McBride was a four-star recruit, ranked in the top 150 nationally.

“He is a versatile player who has that IT factor about him. You can tell by the passion he plays with that there is a huge chip on his shoulder,” 247Sports asked program director Vonzell Thomas said as he evaluated McBride out of high school. “What I like about his game is his will to win. He does whatever it takes to win and not every kid has that mentality.”

From Texas, McBride committed to Oklahoma State over the likes of Kansas and Arkansas, where he played alongside former Wildcat Bandon Garrison. There, he appeared in just 24 games, averaging just over five minutes per game.

Seeking a larger role, McBride entered the transfer portal and dropped to the mid-major level, committing to Nevada. With the Wolfpack he nearly tripled both his minutes and production, averaging 7.8 points and 4.2 rebounds in just under 20 minutes per game. His most recent stop, James Madison this past season, McBride had a breakout year, averaging 15.3 points and 5.6 rebounds on 40 percent shooting from deep.

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Entering his senior season, the 6-7, 240 pound McBride is eyeing a jump back to the power conference level, prioritizing fit at his next stop.

Will that be Kentucky?

McBride has good size and athleticism, and has an inside-out style of game. Meaning he can work his away around the paint, but can also space the floor with his shooting, grading fairly well as a catch and shoot guy. Overall, he ranks in the 97th percentile in scoring volume. That said, there is come consistency to be lacked on the defensive side.

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BB Recruiting

Multiple Transfers Meet With Kentucky on Wednesday

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The transfer portal is active, and Zoom stock is going up as college coaches are video chatting around the clock to build their rosters, including Kentucky.

On Wednesday, Mark Pope and the Kentucky staff added three more names to the Zoom list.

Alex Wilkins (Guard, Furman), 4⭐️, 46th-ranked transfer

Class: Sophomore
Physicals: 6-5, 175 lbs
Last season averages: 17.8 PPG, 4.7 APG, 46% FG, 32.8% 3P

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An underrated prospect coming out of high school, Wilkins splashed on the scene this year at Furman. As a freshman, he led his team to the NCAA Tournament, averaging 17.8 points and 4.7 assists and earning second team All-SoCon honors.

There were few players as critical to their team’s success as Wilkins, leading the SoCon in possession usage (34.4%) and shot usage (31.7%). That does lend some explanation to his poor shooting splits and turnover concerns (3.8 turnovers per game).

A quick, wirey guard, Wilkins is a capable scorer at all three levels, and can create for his teammates. However, he needs to add some muscle for power conference competition, and needs to have more consistent effort on the defensive end.

A freshman, those are both correctable things.

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Isaac Celiscar (Forward, Yale), 4⭐️, 84th-ranked transfer

Class: Junior
Physicals: 6-6, 210 lbs
Last season averages: 13.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 57.3% FG, 40.7% 3P

Isaac Celiscar is one of the most efficient, versatile players in the transfer portal.

The first takeaway, averaging 13.2 point per game with 57.3 percent shooting, he is extremely efficient on limited opportunities. Shooting nearly 41 percent from deep, he is a threat from deep as well. That efficiency carries over to his passing, as he averages more than three assists per game, on just 1.3 turnovers per game.

Celiscar grades out as a glue-guy with great offensive skills and good feel for the game, but he does have limitations in terms of his athleticism and shot creation.

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Jalen Cox (Guard, Colgate), 3⭐️ , 149th-ranked transfer

Class: Senior
Physicals: 6-3, 180 lbs
Last season averages: 17.9 PPG, 5.3 APG, 5.0 RPG, 52.1% FG, 36.5% 3P

Jalen Cox is the lowest ranked player Kentucky has reached out to, but the Wildcats need depth and Cox is a experienced guard with proven production.

Averaging 17.9 points and 5.3 assists (2.0+ assist-to-turnover ratio) per game on 52 percent shooting from the field, Cox is a versatile and efficient offensive player. He has also multiple conference All-Defense selections too, making him a two way player.

The biggest concern with Cox is his athletic ceiling and how that translates to power conference competition. However an experienced two way player is a great rotation piece.

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Top Five Transfer Paulius Murauskas Moves Up Call, Talks With Kentucky on Wednesday

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Kentucky met with Saint Mary's transfer Paulius Muruaskas, one of the top forwards in the transfer portal, on Wednesday and is looking to schedule a visit for him to come to Lexington.
Saint Mary's Athletics

Mark Pope and the Kentucky Wildcats are as busy as anyone in the transfer portal. On Wednesday, they met with their biggest fish of this transfer portal cycle so far, Paulius Murauskas.

Originally scheduled for Thursday, the Wildcats met with Murauskas via Zoom video call on Wednesday, per source.

Currently ranked 4th overall in 247Sports transfer rankings, the top-ranked forward, Murauskas is the prototypical modern basketball player. Good size at 6-foot-8, 235 pounds, with the ability to create for himself and others, has a good handle, and overall good feel for the game.

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Murauskas started his collegiate career at Arizona after some professional experience in Lithuania. Playing just five minutes per game with the Wildcats as a freshman, Murauskas transferred to Saint Mary’s, where he has flourished and earned All-Conference honors the last two seasons.

This past season, Murauskas averaged 18.4 points and 7.6 rebounds, on 48.2 percent shooting from the field and 33.3 percent from deep. As for his weaknesses, he is not super athletic, and he does need to be more consistent with his shot.

Originally thought to follow former Saint Mary’s head coach Randy Bennett to Arizona State, Murauskas is exploring all options. Following the Zoom, Kentucky is trying to get him on campus for a visit in the near future.

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