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Kentucky vs. Gonzaga: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats head coach Mark Pope directs his players.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Coming off their first loss of the season to Clemson on Tuesday, the Kentucky Wildcats have a quick turnaround until their next big challenge. The Wildcats travel to Seattle on Thursday to take on the seventh-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs for a primetime game on Saturday, and what will most likely be their last ranked matchup before conference play.

This will be the third game of the six-year series between the two teams, with the Wildcats still looking for their first win over the Bulldogs. All-time, this will be the fourth meeting between the teams, with Gonzaga holding a 2-1 advantage.

Mark Few, in his 26th season at Gonzaga, returns 68% of a roster that went to a ninth straight Sweet Sixteen last March. That roster continuity is the most of any team in the Top 25.

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While they lean a lot on the backcourt of Ryan Nembhard and Nolan Hickman (once a Kentucky commit), who both play more than 30 minutes per game, they have some depth as well, ranking 19th nationally in bench points per game, the most of any team in the Top 25.

Ranked top 20 in KenPom’s offensive and defensive efficiency metrics, one of just six teams, Gonzaga is one of the most well-rounded teams in the country. Kentucky has already beaten one such team in Duke.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Three Point Shooting

Kentucky’s offense is centered around three-point shooting, with Mark Pope looking to shoot 30-35 per game. That’s great when you’re making them, not so much when you aren’t. After shooting greater than 40 percent from three in four of their first five games, the Wildcats have shot less than 28 percent in three straight contests.

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On the other side, what Gonzaga does best defensively is defending the three. The Bulldogs rank fourth in opponent three-point percentage. In their one loss this season, West Viriginia made 11 threes on 35 attempts.

Can the Cats shake their slump against one of the best 3P defenses in the country?

Make Free Throws

Free throws are free for a reason, but Kentucky hasn’t been taking full advantage of their opportunities.

Despite shooting the three well and having four to five shooters on the court at all times, the Wildcats are only shooting just above 73 percent on the season. That includes a season-low 61 percent (11-18) against Clemson. If the Wildcats had shot 70-75 percent, that’s an extra two points and the end of the game could have played out much differently.

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Gonzaga on the other hand is shooting nearly 83 percent from the charity stripe, the third-best mark in the nation. The worst free throw shooter in the rotation shoots 70 percent.

Tight games can be lost or won at the free-throw line. Kentucky can’t afford to leave points on the board like they have been.

Take Care of the Ball

Kentucky has been fairly good at taking care of the ball thus far this season, averaging just over ten turnovers per game, ranked 53rd nationally. That number is just over Mark Pope’s per-game goal of ten or less.

Against Clemson, the Wildcats turned it over a dozen times, not many of their average, but many of them were unforced, not due to Clemson’s defense.

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Of late, the main culprit has been Amari Williams. While he is a skilled passer, the big man has turned it over 11 times over the past three games and has recorded four or more turnovers in four of Kentucky’s eight games this season.

Gonzaga ranks 13th nationally in turnovers (9.4), but in their sole loss to West Virginia, they had a -4 turnover margin.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Ryan Nembhard, 6-0, 180 lbs

  • 10.6 PPG
  • 10.8 APG (1st nationally, would be 5th best in NCAA history if sustained)
  • 45% 3P

G Nolan Hickman 6-2, 190 lbs

  • 11.5 PPG
  • 46.2% 3P

F Graham Ike 6-9, 250 lbs

  • 13.8 PPG
  • 6.5 RPG
  • 2.4 FPG (four fouls in two straight games)

#4 Kentucky Basketball (7-1) vs. #7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1)

  • Time: 10:00 PM ET on December 7th
    Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA
    TV Channel: ESPN2
    Announcers: Jon Sciambi and Jimmy Dykes will call the action.
    Online Stream: You can stream the game online using ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
    Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
    Replay: WatchESPN and ESPN network of channels (check local listings).
    Rosters: UK | ZAG
    Stats to Know: UK | ZAG
    KenPom: UK | ZAG
    Team Sheet: UK | ZAG
  • Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds, so please check back later for those. Expectedly, the projections all have Kentucky as the underdog, giving them roughly between 30-40 percent chance at victory: ESPN (40.6%), Bart Torvik (38%) and EvanMiya (34.1%) KenPom (29%).
  • PredictionsKenPom and EvanMiya have Kentucky losing by a score of 85-80. Haslametrics and Bart Torvik have the Cats losing by s slightly narrow margin, 84-81. Unfortunately, I think Gonzaga’s depth and three-point defense prevail, and I pick the Bulldogs to win 90-84.

Be sure to send us your Kentucky vs. Gonzaga score predictions! Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope “hopeful” for NCAA to allow summer trips in the United States

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Kentucky basketball coach Mark Pope is hopeful that the NCAA changes the rules and allows teams to take summer trips within the United States, not just internationally.
UK Athletics

This spring, the NCAA passed a rule that allows men’s and women’s college basketball programs to participate in an international summer trip every year, rather than just one every four years.

These trips are important as they most importantly allow teams to have extra practice time, but they also allow teams to face true competition and aid in team bonding. For the fans, the trips allow the unique experience to travel with the team or watch them on TV, building excitement for the upcoming season.

In his first press conference of the summer, Mark Pope talked about his hope for an additional rule change to summer trips, allowing them to be done in the states.

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“There is one of the things that we’re excited about, potentially coming down the pipeline that we’ve been pushing for, is now we’re allowed to take international trips every single year. We’d like to actually make that something that could be done domestically,” Pope said on Friday

Pope argues that this is a way to bring more attention to college basketball in the summer.

“We’re always trying to take up windows of time with college basketball, in terms of the way we are in the public sphere, and I hope that that change goes through,” he said. “The opportunities that we’re exploring right now with that would be game-changing. I’m hopeful.”

There is also a financial aspect to this.

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Foreign trips cost money for the program and the fans. Typically, a program works with the resort or tour operator at a discounted rate, as they aim to make more money from fans’ travel. Yet, there is still a cost, and in a college landscape where money is at a premium and needed to be competitive, every dollar counts. Cost was even something mentioned when Mark Pope was asked about why Kentucky did not take a summer trip this offseason.

Whereas, if a summer trip can be done domestically, that first reduces the cost for the program, and second, eases the barrier of entry for fans.

Let’s say Kentucky is able to organize or join a multi-team event in Indianapolis. This is close enough for many Kentucky fans to travel at a lower cost than, let’s say, the Bahamas, increasing ticket sales. There is also potential for TV deals. In short, increased revenue and reduced costs.

At the end of the day, Pope is just asking for more freedom for summer trips. In turn, that would mean more accessible summer college basketball.

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“If you talk to the guys on our team, they would like more time on the court together and with us. They like more opportunities to play more games,” Pope said. “Our staff feels the same way. I think that’s probably a common theme throughout college basketball. So the more freedom we have to actually get work done, I think the better.”

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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La Familia Blown Out in Road Matchup Against The Ville

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Photo via UK Athletics

On Monday, July 20, La Familia traveled to Louisville, KY to take on The Ville in the historic Freedom Hall. With a 1-0 series lead, the Kentucky alumni had a game to give before returning home. Unfortunately for them, they fell by a score of 82-62 in a dominant showing from the Cardinals.

Heading into this matchup, there was yet again some drama with the injury report, as Willie Cauley-Stein was listed as questionable, Marcus Lee was listed as out and Archie Goodwin was marked to make his debut on Monday for the Wildcats.

However, as the day went on, TBT officially announced that Cauley-Stein will play but that Goodwin will not, sending Big Blue Nation into another frenzy of question marks. Nonetheless, no matter if it’s a Marquette alum balling out for you or if it’s the Wildcats’ own, the show must go on.

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The majority of the first quarter showed a competitive ballgame, with La Familia holding an 11-9 lead at the media break. James Mainor-Bell banged in two threes to start the game, with Andrew Harrison joining in on the three party after an ankle breaker. The Ville was doing their best to play bully ball with Montrezl Harrell, but the Wildcats held him to only two points in his first quarter of action.

Harrell scored five straight for the Cardinals to start the second quarter, giving them their first lead of the game at the seven-minute mark. From then on, it would be complete and utter domination from the star forward, dropping 16 points in the quarter alone on perfect shooting.

Harrison, Chris Coffey and others did their best to stop the bleeding, but words cannot describe how quickly The Ville took control and did whatever they wanted on the court. La Familia only shot 8/30 from the field in the first half and nothing could go their way.

At the break, the alumni from the bluegrass trailed 36-22.

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From poster dunks, lobs and threes, there was no idea of a comeback in any Kentucky fans’ heart, with The Ville having fun while they could in front of their fanbase.

Harrison and Coffey would combined for 34 points, but in response, Harrell finished the night with 35 points and eight rebounds to tie up the three-game series.

Up next, La Familia will host The Ville on Wednesday, July 22 for the third and final game of the series. The winner will take home the bragging rights and send their in-state rival on a one-way exit out of the TBT tournament. Tip is set for 6:00 p.m. ET and will air live on FS1.

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Injury Report Update: La Familia Prepares For Game Two

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*UPDATE (1:10 p.m. ET): Willie Cauley-Stein is ACTIVE but Archie Goodwin has been downgraded to UNACTIVE per TBT Stats & Info. A reason has not been revealed publicly.

There’s nothing like some evening basketball in the middle of the summer, and that’s exactly what we’re getting later tonight with La Familia’s matchup with The Ville. Tipoff for game two is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET inside of Freedom Hall, with the Kentucky alumni looking to take care of business on the road.

Doing so, will be difficult. We all saw what playing in enemy territory can do to a team – Louisville experienced it on Saturday and went down by as much as 15 points in the third quarter. Given the away atmosphere, the desperation from the Cardinals and unfortunately, some injury news, we’re in for an interesting one.

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Game two’s official injury report has Marcus Lee, who missed game one with the team, listed as OUT for tonight’s matchup. He was originally believed to make his debut on Monday, but it seems it may be the next series where Lee will make an appearance. Willie Cauley-Stein, after tweaking his ankle in La Familia’s first game, is listed as questionable, making Kentucky’s size a thing to question.

Don’t worry though Big Blue Nation, because KY Insider brings good news with the bad. Archie Goodwin, who was a major part of the team’s scoring last summer, will be making his debut on July 20. Sources confirmed that he was attending a wedding on Saturday and couldn’t make the season opener.

The Ville will also be without two key players who missed game one, Ray Spalding and Angel Nunez. The full injury report can be seen below.

La Familia

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  • Archie Goodwin – AVAILABLE
  • Willie Cauley-Stein – QUESTIONABLE
  • Marcus Lee – OUT

The Ville

  • Ray Spalding – OUT
  • Angel Nunez – OUT

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