Following a dominating “get right” victory over the Vanderbilt Commodores, the Kentucky Wildcats return to Rupp Arena for their next challenge against the Gonzaga Bulldogs this Saturday.
In 2022, the two programs agreed to a six-year series which include two games at Rupp, two games in Spokane, and two neutral site games. After losing the first game of the series last season in Spokane, Kentucky will look to even it out this season. While it is still a quad one opportunity for Kentucky, just barely by four NET ranking spots, it is not the ranked battle that many thought it would be.
Over the last decade, Gonzaga has been one of the winningest programs in college basketball. A lot of that has to do with playing in the WCC, but they are not even leading their league this season, two games back from Saint Mary’s. Over the season, the Bulldogs have just three top 100 NET wins and no quad one wins.
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Gonzaga has put themselves as a bubble team, currently on the outside looking in. For Kentucky, this is the type of team that they will play in the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. With March just on the horizon, it is a good test.
Let’s dive into the matchup.
Get Back in Transition
Gonzaga likes to play fast and excels in transition, averaging almost 21 points per game in that area. Most of the Bulldog’s transition opportunities don’t come off of turnovers, but off of defensive rebounds and hitting the outlet pass.
While playing fast plays in Kentucky’s favor on offense, they will need to get a few stops on the defensive end. This week Kentucky’s staff and players have talked about the effort needing to be better on the defensive end. Fortunately, sprinting back on defense is pure effort.
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Rebounding Battle
Gonzaga is one of the best rebounding teams that Kentucky will face the season, ranked 15th in the country in rebounds per game with nearly 40 per game. Their rebounding helps fuel their offense. As mentioned, they are really good and hitting the outlet pass off of defensive rebounds, but they also crash the offensive glass, grabbing a third of their misses.
Kentucky’s just outrebounded Vanderbilt 44-25, with a team effort. Let’s see if that can carry over to a more talented opponent.
Frontcourt
Kentucky’s frontcourt will be a big factor on both sides of the ball on Saturday. On offense, they will have some looks with Gonzaga’s three-quarter top coverage to deny entry. On defense, they will need to contain Anton Watson and Graham Ike, who combine for more than half of their offensive production.
With three seven-footers and Tre Mitchell, Kentucky has the versatility to throw multiple looks at Gonzaga. You could pull the bigs out with Zvonimir Ivisic or Aaron Bradshaw to create more space on offense, or put in Ugonna Onyenso to anchor the defense and provide a post presence.
Odds: No DraftKings spread just yet, so check back Friday evening. ESPN’s matchup predictor is confident in the Cats, giving them a 70.3% chance of victory. The rest of the projections give Kentucky the edge, but are not as confident. EvanMiya is at 56%, while BartTorvik is at 64%. KenPom sits at 60%
Predictions: The projections are anticipating a close game. Bart Torvik is picking the Cats to win 87-83. Haslametrics and EvanMiya both have Kentucky winning by just two points, 85-83. KenPom projects an 85-82 victory for Kentucky.
Kentucky held its annual Pro Day on Tuesday, Oct. 6, where NBA scouts were able to watch the team go through individual drills and a live game-like scrimmage. There are plenty of takeaways that stood out during the two hour practice. Let’s dive into it:
1.) Franck Kepnang Shows Off in the Paint
The first thing that stood out was transfer big man Franck Kepnang, with the seven-foot big from Washington dominating in the paint. Starting with the individual drills, he showed his size and ability to get downhill off of a pick-and-roll.
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The bigs went through a finishing through contact drill, and the new Wildcat seemed unfazed by the pads being pounded against him. With Moreno and Kepnang running the paint together, it will make it very difficult for opposing teams to stop both of them.
2.) Ousmane N’Diaye Has High-Scoring Performance
Overseas big Ousmane N’Diaye was another standout in front of the NBA scouts. In the first six-minute “quarter”, N’Diaye led all scorers with eight points.
He showed off his ability to score at all three levels, hitting multiple threes and also demonstrating his ability to score in the paint. N’Diaye wasn’t playing the five spot, which really allowed his team to stretch the floor and help with spacing.
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With Moreno, Kepnang, N’Diaye and Reece Potter all standing at seven-feet tall, Mark Pope has the opportunity to run a four-big lineup all while each player hones a different skillset. Having this much size will pay dividends come time for conference play.
3. The Forwards Do a Little Bit of Everything
A few other players who performed well were Milan Momcilovic and Braydon Hawthorne. Momcilovic played very unselfish during the inter-squad scrimmage, looking to first get his teammates involved and not forcing his game whatsoever.
He did hit a nice step-back 3-pointer at the buzzer in the second “quarter”, highlighting his 10-point performance. Hawthorne had some great looks from beyond the arc and did a phenomenal job getting his teammates open, driving and distributing the rock.
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He finished with six points and one assist.
Overall, the whole team appeared molded together and played as a unit rather than just isolation ball, which is a great sign in early October. There is no shortage of individual talent on this roster, and that was evident on Tuesday, with leaders and experience at every position.
The wait is almost over BBN. Kentucky will take the court in its first exhibition game on Friday, Oct. 16, when Little Rock comes into town. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET and will air live on SEC Network+.
Kentucky still has room to add to both its roster and coaching staff, but Mark Pope appears comfortable with where things currently stand.
At Kentucky’s 2026 Media Day, Pope was asked whether the Wildcats plan to move forward with their current 14-man roster and if there was any update on a potential addition to his coaching staff.
His answer on both fronts was similar: Kentucky likes the group it has.
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“Our roster right now is what we’re expecting to go to battle with,” said Pope. “We’ll always be open to opportunities if they arise. Everything changes so fast, it’s pretty incredible, but I like our group.”
That leaves Kentucky with some flexibility as the season approaches, but no indication that another addition has to be made.
Mark Pope on the 15th roster spot and assistant coach vacancy:
"Our roster right now is what we are expecting to go to battle with, but we will be open to opportunities."
"I like our staff so much right now. There is a real synergy. There is the potential to grow the staff……— Tristan Pharis (@TristanUda) September 28, 2026
The Wildcats still have an open roster spot, but Pope’s comments suggest that the focus is less on filling it, and more on continuing to develop and build the group that is already in Lexington.
“Everything we’re doing right now is focused on growing this group the way we have and trying to build the best we can,” Pope added.
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He expressed similar confidence when discussing the coaching staff. While another addition remains possible, he emphasized how well the current staff has come together as a whole.
“I like our staff so much right now. There’s a real synergy with what we’re doing.”
Praising several additions to the program, specifically pointing out Mo Williams, Keegan Brown and Stephanie Campbell when discussing additions Kentucky has already made.
“It’s actually by far the best I’ve felt with how our staff is functioning together.”
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So, is Kentucky finished making moves? Not necessarily.
Pope made it clear that things can change quickly in the sport of college basketball, and that all operations will remain open if the right opportunity becomes available. For now, the Wildcats appear focused on continuing to build with the roster and staff already in place.
Through Mark Pope’s first two seasons with Kentucky, injuries haven’t just been here and there, they have cost both teams a deeper run in the postseason.
Now entering year three, the Wildcats once again have championship-level expectations and a deep roster, but the injury bug has already started to show itself.
BREAKING: Kentucky guard Jerone Morton has suffered a minor knee injury in practice.
Kentucky is yet to play an exhibition game, but Pope is already facing a familiar opponent, with a new injury suffered by guard Jerone Morton.
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After last season, Kentucky had its complete roster for only 14% of his games through Pope’s first two seasons, and only 9% against power-four opponents. Sure, the reports this summer confirm that the Wildcats will be healthy for the regular season, but knowing the statistics, members of the Big Blue Nation still worry when any sort of injury is announced.
Pope’s first Kentucky team was still able to make it to the Sweet 16, but rarely did he have the chance to coach the roster exactly the way it was constructed.
Injuries to Lamont Butler, Jaxson Robinson, Andrew Carr and Kerr Kriisa made it nearly impossible to see the team that Pope and staff had envisioned. However, when that squad was fully healthy, they were something special.
In the 2024 Champions Classic, Pope led his team to take down No. 6 Duke, who hosted No.1 overall pick and basketball phenom Cooper Flagg. The Wildcats were able to go deep into their rotation, play with pace, and rely on different players throughout the night.
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As the season progressed, however, Pope rarely had that luxury. BBN will likely speculate for years to come on how far in the tournament that 2024 team could’ve made it had they stayed healthy.
Year two brought even worse injury luck. Jaland Lowe suffered a shoulder injury during the Blue-White scrimmage that lingered throughout the season and eventually required season-ending surgery for one. Jayden Quaintance entered the year still recovering from a torn ACL, missing Kentucky’s first 11 games and playing just four times before swelling in the knee shut him down again.
Just as the Cats were starting to find some stability in their roster, Kam Williams would go down, suffering a broken foot during the Jan. 21 win over Texas. He underwent surgery shortly after, with the injury costing him the final 12 games of the season.
Williams’s absence was especially damaging because Kentucky was already without Lowe and Quaintance, leaving Pope without three players who had been expected to play major roles.
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For a roster that had been constructed around depth and versatility, Pope spent much of the season trying to replace pieces that were never supposed to be missing in the first place.
Kentucky is already dealing with several bumps in the road: Morton is recovering from a knee injury, while Trent Noah, Milan Momcilovic, Franck Kepnang and Williams have all dealt with health concerns during the offseason.
The good news for fans is that, unlike last season, Pope expects the roster to be close to full strength by the start of regular-season play.
With another talented roster in place, staying healthy could be just as important as anything that the Wildcats can do on the court. If Kentucky can finally shake the injury bug, Pope may finally get the chance to see just how far one of his teams can go when it matters most.