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Kentucky vs. Ole Miss: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Reed Sheppard and Justin Edwards celebrating with each other at Rupp Arena.
Clare Grant/Courier Journal/USA TODAY NETWORK

For the first time in more than fifty years, the Kentucky Wildcats lost their third straight home game on Saturday, falling to Gonzaga 89-85, and it is safe to say that morale is low in Lexington. Despite that, the Wildcats will play Ole Miss on Tuesday, in hopes of not dropping a fourth in a row.

Coached by former National Coach of the Year, Chris Beard, the Rebels sit at 8th in the SEC, falling back to reality after a 13-0 start in the non-conference. While they are just 3-2 over their last five games, Ole Miss is playing some of their best basketball of the season. Of those five games, three have been quad-one contests, beating Texas A&M on the road and nearly upsetting South Carolina last week.

The Rebels are firmly on the bubble and in need of some resume-building wins. With that, they will likely come into Rupp Arena similar to Gonzaga, playing with nothing to lose, against a young Kentucky team and tense fanbase.

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Let’s look at the matchup.

Perimeter Defense

Unlike the traditional Chris Beard team, who are stout defensively, this Ole Miss team is the opposite, having one of the best offenses in the SEC. They don’t play at a fast pace, but they don’t turn the ball over and shoot the three at a high clip, 11th in the country.

Last week, John Calipari talked about the perimeter defense being an area that Kentucky needed to focus on. “We gotta guard the three-ball better,” he said. “We shoot it so well, that should be our advantage. We can’t be even.”

This will be a good contest to see where Kentucky stands. If the three-point battle is even, that will suggest a closer game than Kentucky wants.

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Take Care of the Ball

While this Ole Miss team is just 132nd in KenPom defensive efficiency, they are one of the best in steals and blocks. Their backcourt is pesky and will look to pressure guards and be aggressive in looking to steal some extra possessions.

Fortunately, Kentucky has been great at taking care of the ball this season. However, in two of their losses, South Carolina and Gonzaga, there have been key stretches where a handful of self-inflicted mistakes and turnovers have come back to bite them at the end of a close game.

That said, Kentucky should be able to take advantage of Ole Miss’ aggressiveness on off-ball cuts and screens going toward the basket and on the perimeter.

Will the Frontcourt Step Up?

With Tre Mitchell out with injury, there has been heightened criticism of Kentucky’s three seven-footers. Playing more minutes with Mitchell out, they haven’t rebounded or defended at the level Kentucky needs them to. In their last game against Gonzaga, the trio combined for just seven rebounds and Gonzaga scored 50 points in the paint.

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Ole Miss does not rebound at the level that some of the teams that Kentucky has stuggled against, but they do have a seven-footer of their own, Western Kentucky transfer and Hopkinsville native, Jamarion Sharp, who flirted with a triple-double against Kentucky back in 2021.

Kentucky needs more production from the “seven-footers”. If not, they will have to look at committing to the small ball approach they were so successful with at the beginning of the season, playing the seven-footers in spot minutes.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Matthew Murrell 6-4, 200 lbs

  • 16.8 PPG (6th in SEC)
  • 3.7 RPG
  • 1.8 SPG (6th in SEC)
  • 54 3PM (T-6th in SEC, 39.4% 3P)

G Jaylen Murray 5-11, 170 lbs

  • 14.3 PPG
  • 4.0 APG (7th in SEC)
  • 54 3PM (T-6th in SEC, 42.5% 3P)

G Allen Flanigan 6-6, 215 lbs

  • 15.7 PPG (9th in SEC)
  • 6.7 RPG
  • 1.7 SPG (8th in SEC)

Kentucky Basketball vs. Ole Miss Rebels

  • Time: 9:00 PM EST
  • Date: February 12th, 2024
  • Location: Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center in Lexington, Kentucky.
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Online Stream: WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | MISS
  • Stats to Know: UK | MISS
  • KenPom: UK | MISS
  • Team Sheet: UK | MISS
  • Odds: The odds for the game have yet to be released, but check out SportsBetExpert for your picks. ESPN’s matchup predictor really likes Kentucky, giving them an 83.3% chance of victory. EvanMiya is at 72.5%, while BartTorvik is at 73%. KenPom is at 74%, and DRatings has it at 75.6% in favor of the Cats.
  • Predictions: Bart Torvik is picking Kentucky to win 88-80. Haslametrics is going with a similar 89-79 projection. DRatings is going with an 86-81 victory for the Cats. EvanMiya and KenPom project an 85-79 and 86-79 victory, respectively.

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

National Analysts Continue to Dub Mark Pope as Frontrunner for Coach of the Year, “Nobody Is Doing More Than Mark Pope at Kentucky”

Among a bevy of popular options, Gary Parrish picks Mark Pope has his current coach of the year frontrunner.

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Kentucky Wildcats head coach Mark Pope talks to his players from the sideline.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

With the college basketball year well past the midseason point and many teams starting to take their ultimate shape, awards conversations are heating up for players and coaches alike.

Kentucky fans have long clamored for Mark Pope’s name to be in the coach of the year conversation, and thanks to CBS’ Gary Parrish, they aren’t alone.

In a segment called “3&D”, Parrish named his top three candidates for the honor. Third was Jon Scheyer, head coach of the Duke Blue Devils. In second place, Auburn’s Bruce Pearl.

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First: Mark Pope.

A Perfect Choice

Parrish cited a multitude of reasons for his first-place choice, including the narrative effectivity of it all: “I just love the story at Kentucky. He was not their first choice to replace John Calipari, but he’s been a perfect choice..”

“14-4 this season, he’s re-engaged that fanbase, he’s got a legitimate final four contender…” he continued.

Parrish makes a moving point. Given Kentucky’s recent success, the widespread expectation via the national media that they’d be an SEC bottom feeder has been swept under the rug. Pope’s case for NCOTY becomes far more prevalent considering just about everybody had counted him out across the board.

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“There are other first-year coaches around the country doing great work… but nobody is doing more than Mark Pope at Kentucky.”

Parrish was quick to mention Louisville’s Pat Kelsey, who’s led the Cards to an 15-5 (8-1) record, as well as second place in the ACC. He also noted Darian Devries at WVU, who has mounted one of the most compelling resumes in the country for the 23-rd ranked Mountaineers. Both coaches are certainly worthy candidates…

“Nobody is Doing More”

But again, in the words of Parrish, “nobody is doing more” than Pope, who’s taken a team of last-minute transfers and made them legitimate championship contenders, as well as awoken a fanbase who’d been long asleep.

It’s more than the product on the floor, but at 14-4, he’s done well there too. Kentucky will have to keep winning for Coach Pope to stay in the conversation, but if he and the team retain their momentum, there won’t be a better pick for the award than the rightful heir of Camelot himself.

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Gary Parrish isn’t alone in his opinion, as multiple other analysts, including ESPN’s Jay Williams, have Pope has their choice for Coach of the Year as well.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Provides Injury Updates on Kerr Kriisa and Andrew Carr

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Kentucky forward Andrew Carr runs onto the court at Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Many Kentucky fans have been waiting eagerly hoping for an injury update on Kerr Kriisa, and on Monday evening Coach Pope gave us an update.

During his weekly radio show Mark Pope had this to say on Kerr Kriisa’s injury, “Kerr is getting to that point where his recovery has been completely predictable and scripted,” Pope said. “We’re going to know more in the next few weeks about whether this is going to kind of turn the corner and be really quick on the quicker side, or if this is going to be a more complicated recovery.

Kriisa suffered a broken foot in the game vs Gonzaga on December 7th. The original timeline for Kriisa’s injury was 3-6 weeks, we are currently already at the 6-week mark for his injury.

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Although this update doesn’t lead us to believe that Kerr will be returning in the very near future, he has made some strides in his recovery. Kriisa has been spending small segments where he is moving around without his walking boot which is a positive.

From the sounds of the update, don’t expect Kriisa to return in the next couple of weeks. We are most likely looking at a timeline that is very late in the regular season or possibly even during the SEC Tournament play.

However, if Kriisa isn’t able to return this season he will have a great argument to earn a medical redshirt and return to Kentucky for another season.

Andrew Carr

Another key injury that Kentucky has been dealing with lately is the injury with Andrew Carr. Carr has been playing through a lower back injury for weeks now. You can clearly see the injury affecting him during game time as he does not look 100%

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Carr was only able to contribute 18 minutes in Saturday’s game against Alabama although that was partly due to foul trouble as well.

“[He’s] undergoing every treatment under the sun,” Pope said Monday. “He was with a specialist today and got a new treatment that we’re hopeful about. He’s working hard. We have the best performance team there is.” Pope said Monday via his Radio Show.

“When you go back and watch film of the game Saturday, there are times when you can see the pain just plastered all over his face as he’s trying to run back and transition defense,” Pope said on Andrew Carr.

Pope also added how difficult lower back injuries can be for players and more specifically for big men.

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Coach Pope is hopeful that this bye week can help get Andrew Carr back to full strength.

Kentucky will be back in action Saturday when they travel to Nashville for a face-off with Vanderbilt.

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Alabama’s Nate Oats Believes Kentucky’s Defense Can Turn Around, “They’ve Got the Personnel”

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Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nate Oats looks on during the first half against the Kentucky Wildcats.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

Kentucky came into the matchup versus the Tide as a slight favorite after a big win over No. 11 Texas A&M. Kentucky was playing host to a top-five team nationally and one of the best guards in the nation Mark Sears.

Kentucky fought and battled with the Crimson Tide till the last buzzer but fell short of their sixth straight win over a top-15 opponent Alabama’s Mark Sears and Grant Nelson were a major factor in Alabama’s win combining for 49 points and 11 assists which propelled the tide over the Cats, who scored 102 points.

Giving up that many points is not a recipe for success, but it has been a trend as the Wildcats have given up 80 or more points in seven of their last eight games against power opponents.

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Nate Oats knows a little bit about that as Alabama made a Final Four last season, with a late-season defensive turnaround. He believes Kentucky is capable of doing that this year.

“I’m sure (Mark Pope) is going to try to get them to be a little better than we were last year, because we weren’t very good,” Oats said, referencing his Final Four team from last season “I think we weren’t even in the top 100 there to close the year out. If your offense is good enough, you can get yourself enough wins. Again, I think they’ve got the personnel to be a pretty good defensive team.”

Oats went on to highlight Lamont Butler and Amari Williams who both won Defensive Player of the Year awards before their time at Kentucky, and even Andrew Carr who he complimented on his toughness and intelligence.

Kentucky’s next game is Saturday against the Vanderbilt Commodores in Nashville at 2:30 EST and the game can be found on ESPN as the Cats take on the Upset mined Commodores who look to take down their second straight top 10 team last being Tennessee.

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