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Kentucky vs Louisville: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats guard Ashton Hagans throws up L's down after beating the Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum Center.
© Matt Stone/Courier Journal

Coming off a win in another instant classic game against North Carolina, the Kentucky Wildcats will have a much easier contest on Thursday as they travel 80 miles west and play the in-state rival Louisville Cardinals, in the KFC Yum Center.

Just 5-6 on the season, the Cardinals have already surpassed their win total from last season (4-28), but the outlook is not hopeful. With just a 9-34 record overall over the last season and a half, Louisville has been one of the worst Power Five teams in the country under the direction of former Kentucky assistant Kenny Payne.

While the on-court product has been bad, even losing two exhibition games to D-II programs, the “extras” have compounded the frustration with things such as:

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  • Being “tricked” by Indiana’s zone defense.
  • A player refusing to play before giving the correct compression tights.
  • Lying about a player’s transfer/dismissal.

All this put together displays why all signs point to Payne being fired soon, but as of this article, he is still employed and is still set to coach against Kentucky.

That said, let’s take a look at the matchup.

Keep Them Off the Free Throw Line

Louisville is bad at a lot of things, but there is one thing they are good at and that is drawing fouls and making their free throws. Drawing more than 20 fouls per game and shooting nearly 74 percent on their free throws, the Cardinals score more than 25 percent of their points from the line, the second most of any Power Five team.

Their reliance on free throws makes sense when you consider that they are below 300th in the country in three-pointers attempted and three-point percentage.

Aaron Bradshaw and Ugonna Onyenso will play big parts in the game plan, providing rim protection. However, Louisville will be looking to draw contact and put them in foul trouble. Kentucky’s guards will have to play better on-ball defense as the front line and they must improve their high-screen defense which North Carolina picked apart at the end of the game.

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Paint Yum Blue

Following Rupp Arena’s renovations in 2022, which lowered capacity from 23,000 down to 20,500, the Yum Center became the largest arena in the United States by seating capacity designed primarily for basketball at 22,090. However, it has been years since a sell-out and this season attendance has hit a new low.

If you look at tickets sold, you will see numbers between 10,000-12,000, suggesting that the Yum Center is at half attendance. However, in actual tickets scanned, there were just a little over 4,000 against Arkansas State last Tuesday.

With plenty of tickets available, the #PaintYumBlue movement has started on social media. With Big Blue Nation looking to make Thursday’s game a road environment, Louisville season ticket holders are doing their best to capitalize on the interest, selling lower-level tickets for as much as $1,100 dollars. That breaks down to $220 per win.

Louisville is trying to rally their own fans and make it a red-out, but it doesn’t look like that will end well…

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Cal Taking it Easy?

During his time at Kentucky, John Calipari is 12-1 against his former assistant coaches with an average margin of victory of 24.6 points, the lone loss coming against Josh Pastner in 2020. While yes, Calipari will want to keep a level of respect, he has never shied away from beating his former assistants handily.

Given that the players understand what this rivalry means to Kentucky fans, i.e. Bradshaw wearing a “Louisville Doesn’t Exist” t-shirt, I expect they will want to win by a big margin too.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals

  • Time: 6:00 pm ET on Thursday, December 21st
  • Location: KFC Yum Center in Louisville, Kentucky
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Announcers: Wes Durham and Jimmy Dykes will call the action.
  • Online Stream: WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | UofL
  • Stats to Know: UK | UofL
  • KenPom: UK | UofL

Odds: ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Kentucky an overwhelming chance at victory, at 86.4 percent. Bart Torvik and EvanMiya favor the Cats as well, but slightly lower at 84% and 79%.

PredictionsBart Torvik picks Kentucky to win by double digits, 86-74, but EvanMiya interestingly projects just a 9-point win over one of the worst Power Five teams in the country. Haslametrics projects the largest margin of victory for the Cats, 87-72.

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Clemson: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats guard Koby Brea (4) celebrates after making a three point basket.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

The schedule is about to ramp up for the Kentucky Wildcats, who will travel to South Carolina for their first true road game to take on the Clemson Tigers in the SEC/ACC Challenge.

Clemson is coming off its second Elite Eight appearance in school history and was picked to finish fourth in the ACC this season. However, it lost seven players from last year’s roster, including first-team All-ACC selection and program great PJ Hall to the NBA.

The Tigers enter the week at 7-1 overall. While they slipped up against Boise State, they have won games over Penn State and San Francisco, both of which are in the top 50 in KenPom. That said, Kentucky will be by far the toughest opponent they have played this young season.

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Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Dictating Tempo

According to KenPom, Kentucky plays the fastest pace of any power conference team, ranked fifth in adjusted tempo (73.6). On the other hand, Clemson plays at one of the slowest paces in the country, ranked 292nd, and will be the slowest team the Wildcats play all season.

In Kentucky’s last two games, we have seen their opponents play with more physicality and an effort to slow down the game and keep the Wildcats from getting into rhythm. Clemson is better than both of those teams and will attempt to do the same.

Combine that with a true road environment, and the Wildcats’ explosive offense will certainly be tested on Tuesday.

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Improvement on Turnovers

One of Clemson’s calling cards on defense is its ability to force turnovers. The Tigers force their opponents to turn the ball over nearly 15 times per game. In addition to their slow pace on offense, this allows them to have the possession advantage. More possession typically leads to more shot attempts and more points.

Kentucky has been good at taking care of the ball for the most part this season, exceeding 10 turnovers just once, against Bucknell.

However, we have seen teams begin to attack Kentucky’s bigs at the top of the key as they initiate the offense, most commonly Amari Williams. Williams has good passing ability, but he will have to make quicker reads against Clemson.

Perimeter Defense

Due to its slower pace, Clemson doesn’t shoot as many 3s as Kentucky, but it attempts the deep shot at nearly the same rate as the Wildcats. Percentage-wise, it is even slightly more efficient, shooting 39.6% from deep, compared to Kentucky’s 38.2%.

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The difference is the amount of shooters between the two teams. Kentucky currently has seven players shooting 30% or better from deep, while Clemson has just four, and they often substitute for each other rather than play alongside each other.

The Tigers’ 3-point attack is centered around Chase Hunter and Chauncey Wiggins, who shoot 40% or greater on more than thirty attempts this season. Lamont Butler will likely get Hunter, but Wiggins is a big shooting threat. Andrew Carr defended him at times last season at Wake Forest.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Chase Hunter 6-4, 202 lbs

  • 16.4 PPG
  • 2.4 APG
  • 46.5% 3P

F Ian Schieffelin 6-8, 240 lbs

  • 12.5 PPG
  • 11.6 RPG
  • 3.6 APG

G Jaeden Zackery 6-1, 218 lbs

  • 8.0 PPG
  • 2.9 APG
  • 1.9 SPG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Clemson Tigers

Time: 9:30 PM ET on December 3rd, 2024
Location: Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Carolina.
TV Channel: ESPN
Announcers: Karl Ravech and Jimmy Dykes
Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings)
Rosters: UK | CLEM
Stats to Know: UK | CLEM
KenPom: UK | CLEM
Team Sheet: UK | CLEM

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky favored by 1.5 points with an over/under of 155.5. Bart Torvik (54%) and EvanMiya (52.6%) give Kentucky a slight edge in this SEC-ACC battle. However, KenPom (44%) and ESPN (49.4%) favor Clemson.

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PredictionsKenPom (78-76) and Haslametrics (77-76) have the Tigers winning by one score. Bart Torvik (76-75) and EvanMiya (77-76) have Kentucky winning by a single point. I’m going with an 82-77 victory, Kentucky!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Georgia State: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky guard Jaxson Robinson celebrating after a play.
Jordan Prather | Imagn

The Kentucky Wildcats will be back in Rupp Arena Friday night to take on the Georgia State Panthers.

The Panthers, sitting at .500 on the season, are led by third-year head coach Jonas Hayes. Ranked 224th in KenPom, Georgia State will be the second-worst opponent Kentucky has played thus far.

In their one Power Four game vs. Mississippi State, the Panthers lost 101-66. They were also picked to finish 12th of 14 Sun Belt Conference teams.

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Let’s take a look at the matchup in what should be a high-scoring night for the Cats.

Push the Tempo

The Wildcats have gotten into some teams’ legs with their fast pace. Just look at the end of the Western Kentucky game, where their depth and persistence extended a six-point lead to an 18-point win over the final 12 minutes.

That said, Georgia State may be most susceptible to that of anyone Kentucky has played, playing the second-fewest bench minutes in the nation. Of their starters, four play more than thirty minutes per game, with the fifth playing 26.2 minutes per game.

Look for the Cats to really push the pace. With 10-11 capable players to keep fresh legs on the court, Kentucky should handily be in control for the majority of the game.

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Rebounding Battle

The Panther’s biggest strength is undoubtedly rebounding. Ranked top 100 in rebounds per game, Georgia State does have good size for a mid-major.

On the other side, Kentucky has won the rebounding battle by more than 10 boards per game over the last three since losing that battle to Duke. While Amari Williams is putting up Oscar Tshiebwe-esque rebounding numbers analytically, there is still room for improvement as a team.

Final ‘Tune-Up’

This will be Kentucky’s final ‘tune-up’ game before they hit the road to take on Clemson and Gonzaga next week, both ranked in the top 25 in KenPom.

Coming off a mediocre performance against Western Kentucky, a big win should inspire more confidence in fans and the players as they enter a tough two-game stretch. The game should also be an opportunity to potentially experiment with things to prepare for the contests.

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One area Kentucky must clean up is turnovers, as they committed 11 vs. the Hilltoppers, four coming in the opening minutes.

Opposing Players to Watch

F Zarique Nutter 6-7, 210 lbs

  • 16.2 PPG
  • 3.2 APG
  • 39.7% FG

G Toneari Lane 6-5, 205 lbs

  • 16.2 PPG
  • 40.8% 3P

F Nick McMullen 6-8, 235 lbs

  • 9.5 PPG
  • 10.7 RPG
  • 54.8% FG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Georgia State Panthers

Time: 7:00 PM ET on November 29th, 2024
Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
TV Channel: SEC Network
Announcers: John Schriffen and Richard Hendrix
Online Stream: ESPN+ and the ESPN app.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens call the action on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings).
Rosters: UK | GSU
Stats to Know: UK | GSU
KenPom: UK | GSU
Team Sheet: UK | GSU

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to release the odds for the game, so check back later for an official spread. Bart Torvik (97%), EvanMiya (99.4%), KenPom (99%), and ESPN (98.1%) all give Kentucky at least a 97% chance of winning.

PredictionsKenPom (90-66), Haslametrics (94-70), Bart Torvik (93-66), and EvanMiya (95-64) all have Kentucky winning by 24+ points. I’m going with a 91-65 victory, Kentucky!

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Be sure to send us your Kentucky vs. Georgia score predictions! And Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Former Kentucky Assistant Gets Last Laugh In Battle Against John Calipari

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Former Kentucky assistant coach Orlando Antigua smiles as he beats his mentor John Calipari.
X | bookishliv

What a week it has been in College Basketball! More than a dozen teams in the Top 25 have suffered a loss, including ten teams to an unranked opponent. One of those being John Calipari and the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Taking on his former assistant at Kentucky, Orlando Antigua, who is now back at Illinois, Antigua was the one who got the last laugh. Literally.

As halftime neared, the Fighting Illini entered halftime with a 15-point lead over 19th-ranked Razorbacks Antigua looked to a family member on the bench with a smile.

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The Illini retained control through the second half to get their first-ranked win of the season.

The loss will likely push Arkansas out of the rankings, while Kentucky is expected to move into the top five when the new rankings are released on Monday.

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