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Kentucky vs Louisville: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats guard Ashton Hagans throws up L's down after beating the Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum Center.
© Matt Stone/Courier Journal

Coming off a win in another instant classic game against North Carolina, the Kentucky Wildcats will have a much easier contest on Thursday as they travel 80 miles west and play the in-state rival Louisville Cardinals, in the KFC Yum Center.

Just 5-6 on the season, the Cardinals have already surpassed their win total from last season (4-28), but the outlook is not hopeful. With just a 9-34 record overall over the last season and a half, Louisville has been one of the worst Power Five teams in the country under the direction of former Kentucky assistant Kenny Payne.

While the on-court product has been bad, even losing two exhibition games to D-II programs, the “extras” have compounded the frustration with things such as:

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  • Being “tricked” by Indiana’s zone defense.
  • A player refusing to play before giving the correct compression tights.
  • Lying about a player’s transfer/dismissal.

All this put together displays why all signs point to Payne being fired soon, but as of this article, he is still employed and is still set to coach against Kentucky.

That said, let’s take a look at the matchup.

Keep Them Off the Free Throw Line

Louisville is bad at a lot of things, but there is one thing they are good at and that is drawing fouls and making their free throws. Drawing more than 20 fouls per game and shooting nearly 74 percent on their free throws, the Cardinals score more than 25 percent of their points from the line, the second most of any Power Five team.

Their reliance on free throws makes sense when you consider that they are below 300th in the country in three-pointers attempted and three-point percentage.

Aaron Bradshaw and Ugonna Onyenso will play big parts in the game plan, providing rim protection. However, Louisville will be looking to draw contact and put them in foul trouble. Kentucky’s guards will have to play better on-ball defense as the front line and they must improve their high-screen defense which North Carolina picked apart at the end of the game.

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Paint Yum Blue

Following Rupp Arena’s renovations in 2022, which lowered capacity from 23,000 down to 20,500, the Yum Center became the largest arena in the United States by seating capacity designed primarily for basketball at 22,090. However, it has been years since a sell-out and this season attendance has hit a new low.

If you look at tickets sold, you will see numbers between 10,000-12,000, suggesting that the Yum Center is at half attendance. However, in actual tickets scanned, there were just a little over 4,000 against Arkansas State last Tuesday.

With plenty of tickets available, the #PaintYumBlue movement has started on social media. With Big Blue Nation looking to make Thursday’s game a road environment, Louisville season ticket holders are doing their best to capitalize on the interest, selling lower-level tickets for as much as $1,100 dollars. That breaks down to $220 per win.

Louisville is trying to rally their own fans and make it a red-out, but it doesn’t look like that will end well…

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Cal Taking it Easy?

During his time at Kentucky, John Calipari is 12-1 against his former assistant coaches with an average margin of victory of 24.6 points, the lone loss coming against Josh Pastner in 2020. While yes, Calipari will want to keep a level of respect, he has never shied away from beating his former assistants handily.

Given that the players understand what this rivalry means to Kentucky fans, i.e. Bradshaw wearing a “Louisville Doesn’t Exist” t-shirt, I expect they will want to win by a big margin too.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals

  • Time: 6:00 pm ET on Thursday, December 21st
  • Location: KFC Yum Center in Louisville, Kentucky
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Announcers: Wes Durham and Jimmy Dykes will call the action.
  • Online Stream: WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | UofL
  • Stats to Know: UK | UofL
  • KenPom: UK | UofL

Odds: ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Kentucky an overwhelming chance at victory, at 86.4 percent. Bart Torvik and EvanMiya favor the Cats as well, but slightly lower at 84% and 79%.

PredictionsBart Torvik picks Kentucky to win by double digits, 86-74, but EvanMiya interestingly projects just a 9-point win over one of the worst Power Five teams in the country. Haslametrics projects the largest margin of victory for the Cats, 87-72.

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Lands at No. 18 in Evan Miya’s Preseason Top 25

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Photo via Chet White | UK Athletics

As the college basketball season inches closer, another preseason ranking has Kentucky just inside the top 25.

Evan Miyakawa, of EvanMiya.com, released his official preseason rankings for the 2026-2027 season, placing Mark Pope and the Kentucky Wildcats at No. 18 in the country as anticipation continues to build about the season ahead.

Miyakawa runs one of college basketball’s most prominent advanced analytics sites, with his research featured by ESPN, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated and the Associated Press. His preseason rankings are worth keeping an eye on because his model is designed to project future performance rather than to simply evaluate past results.

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For Kentucky, several players stand out individually in his projections. Returning sophomore center, Malachi Moreno, ranks No. 12 in Miyakawa’s preseason player ratings, giving the Wildcats one of the highest-rated returning players in the country.

Moreno is coming off a freshman season in which he earned SEC All-Freshman honors after averaging 8.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. With another year of experience under his belt, the Kentucky big man will once again be an important part of Pope’s frontcourt.

Milan Momcilovic is another major piece of Kentucky’s depth after transferring from Iowa State and arriving as one of the top additions during the offseason. The forward previously ranked as the No. 6 overall transfer in Miyakawa’s transfer portal rankings, making him one of Kentucky’s most notable additions.

Momcilovic brings another shooting threat to a Kentucky team looking to surround its talent with experienced offensive players, logging as one of the best, if not the, shooters in the country.

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Kentucky will also be counting on international addition Ousmane N’Diaye, who adds even more size and depth to the Wildcats’ frontcourt. N’Diaye was also listed among top international prospects, another highly skilled newcomer to work with this season.

The combination of returning talent and offseason additions gives Kentucky a versatile roster as Pope enters his third season in Lexington. Even at No. 18 nationally, Kentucky sits at sixth among SEC teams in Miya’s rankings, highlighting how difficult the conference is expected to be again this season.

Ten SEC teams appear inside his preseason top 30, setting up another challenging year of conference play. With that being said, the Wildcats will have plenty of opportunities to rise in the rankings as the season unfolds.

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Former Duke Basketball Star Jay Williams Admits to Participating in the “Black Duffle Bags” of Cash Prior to the NIL Era

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ESPN college basketball analyst Jay Williams gives a message to Kentucky fans after the Wildcats win over Duke. "You won't like it."
ESPN

In today’s world of college sports, it’s not unusual for a top-ranked high school or transfer prospect to be offered a sum of money that can span upwards of several million dollars.

Just this offseason, Kentucky transfer Milan Momcilovic is reported to have a NIL deal worth more than six million dollars with the Wildcats.

This is the current stage of college sports; the most talented players are being paid millions of dollars by programs. While people’s opinions vary, those athletes bring value to the university in terms of exposure and brand recognition.

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Make no mistake, college athletes were getting paid decades ago, just not as transparently as it is today. Former athletes have gone on to infer such things.

Earlier this week, former Duke basketball star Jay Williams made a “black duffle bags” comment during a panel discussion at Front Office Sports’ Asset Class event, appearing alongside former NFL veteran Ndamukong Suh.

The panel interviewer noted, “NIL was a thing and a concept before all of this…” Williams responded, “There’s some black duffel bags…It’s alright; we all participated; he’s (Suh) going to claim that he didn’t.”

Suh then pushed back immediately: “Whoa, whoa, I never participated. I don’t know what y’all did at Duke, but don’t bring that over here to Nebraska.”

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Williams comment has sparked considerable discussion across social media platforms. For years now, there’s been debate over whether programs that have effectively admitted to paying players in the pre-NIL era will ever face real consequences.

It seems unlikely that the NCAA will launch investigations into these allegations, given that the skeletons that would likely be found are now legal, and that there are even consequences that have been overturned.

For example, in 2024, Reggie Bush recently had his Heisman Trophy reinstated after it was taken away due to Bush accepting improper benefits during his playing career at USC. According to ABC News, the reversal was driven by sweeping changes in the college football landscape-most notably the arrival of NIL, which now allows college athletes to be compensated with very minimal regulations.

This raises a very debatable question: Should programs that have been found to paid players in the past face consequences, including vacated wins and stripped championships, or should the cheaters who didn’t get caught get to continue as if nothing happened?

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Programs like Louisville and SMU, and even Kentucky, had to face consequences for giving improper benefits at various points, but other programs have walked free simply due to not being caught.

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UK Athletics Reverse Controversial Change to Big Blue Madness Ticket Distribution

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Photo via Ethan Rand | UK Athletics

For years, Big Blue Madness has been one of Lexington’s hottest ticketed events in town. When the number of tickets fans could buy for the event was announced as now cut in half, the immediate social media uproar from fans was palpable.

On Monday, Sept. 14, ticket information for Big Blue Madness was released with a change that took fans by surprise – the household limit for purchasing tickets had been reduced from four to just two. In a change that blindsided fans across Big Blue Nation, many took to social media to express their disappointment with the limit on tickets.

In a quick response by Athletic Director J Batt, BBN’s pleas to reverse the new ticket limit were too loud to ignore; the two-ticket limit had been reversed and was back to the usual four.

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Aside from his timely answer to the less-than-stellar response that Kentucky fans had to this change, Batt has proven that he does not take what fans have to say lightly. This joins an already growing list of measures he has taken to ensure the BBN’s voice is heard loud and clear.

“Inside the athletic department, we’re working morning, noon, and night to make sure the game day experience is excellent,” Batt said on the Paul Finebaum Show on Friday, Sept. 11.

In his short time at Kentucky, Batt has already been gaining the support of UK fans by lowering concession prices at Kroger Field, making numerous appearances at fan events and continuing to preach his desire to make Lexington the place to be on game days.

Since its inception in 1982, Big Blue Madness has always been a marquee preseason event for both students and fans alike. The commotion caused by the initial ticket changes was no surprise, proving just how hungry the fans are to get to their seats in Rupp Arena and witness the dawn of a new season.

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Tickets for the treasured event are set to go on sale on Friday, Sept. 18 at 5 p.m. ET. One of college basketball’s most anticipated preseason celebrations is set a little early this year, scheduled for Friday, Oct. 2, at 7 p.m. ET.

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