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Kentucky Basketball in Mark Pope’s Inaugural Season: Expectations vs. Reality

The weight the Wildcats carry from expectations is both expected and unfair; where should fans, and analysts, draw the line?

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Kentucky head coach Mark Pope coaching from the sidelines at Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

At 15-7 (4-5 in the SEC) Mark Pope’s inaugural Wildcats roster are in chase for a competitive seed come tournament time, despite currently suffering their first serious losing streak of the season. While some fans have voiced frustrations with the team’s sporadic output, others have defended the unit, pointing back at what the program had become in recent years and, from that, drawing hope for the future.

The Assignment

The Kentucky job comes with lofty expectations attached; Pope has admitted that understanding on multiple occasions. He “understands the assignment,” which is to ultimately hang championship banners.

Can this year’s team do just that? While not explicitly dominant, they’re far too dangerous to write off. At best, the 24-25′ ‘Cats are one of the most prolific offensive teams in the country, brandishing the ability to go on lengthy runs and flip the script of any given game in an instant.

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In more Quad 1 wins than not, they’ve overcome double-digit deficits. This is not a team that coasts at any point; the paw stays on the pedal.

Even in their most recent loss to Ole Miss, Kentucky battled back from down 27 at one point to cut the lead to 11. Now, as Mark Pope himself says, there are no “moral victories” at Kentucky; a loss is a loss. But this is a Kentucky team that swings until the bell rings with no exceptions.

Are there areas in which they struggle? Undoubtedly, seven losses say as much. The defensive metrics during their recent cold stretch specifically bear worrying numbers.

But the team has also endured great adversity already; from on-court issues, like multiple pivotal players battling injuries, to off-court dilemmas, such as (primarily) unbalanced expectations flying in from all sides and landing squarely on the guy’s shoulders.

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An Age-Old Standard

It’s easy to apply the “Kentucky Standard,” if you will, to any group that rolls through Rupp Arena. But so many have been quick to forget their mindset going into this year.

Sentiments such as “I’ll take a bad season or two if it means the team is better off in the long run,” or “I don’t care if we lose our recruits, I’d rather have somebody who knows the X’s and O’s,” were common and constant in the period between Calipari’s departure and Pope’s subsequent arrival.

Even after Pope was hired, delivered the immediately infamous press conference and pieced a team together out of the transfer portal, analysts across the board had already counted Kentucky out of higher contention.

Growing Pains

Not to mention the track record of first-year SEC coaches in the past being equivalent to Pope’s current progress, if not measurably worse.

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In Rick Barnes first season at Tennessee, he finished with a 15-19 record. Nate Oats was 16-15 in his first go-around with Alabama, and Bruce Pearl, who currently helms the top-ranked team in the nation, went 15-20 in year one at Auburn.

With 15 wins under his thumb already, not to mention the preseason complications he faced with building a roster in so little time, Mark Pope has certainly exceeded expectations set by bygone examples.

Above the Line

Further, at this point, about two-thirds of the way through their schedule, Kentucky just recently fell out of the AP Top 10 for the first time since week three after earning residence there within the season’s first few games. Working through SEC play, they’re sitting in the middle-to-bottom of the pack with a ton of opportunities still to come, including two straight home games directly ahead.

Coming into the season, Kentucky was projected by many as a bottom-feeding SEC squad, not to mention their barely slotting into the AP Top 25 to open the season.

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While this doesn’t mean that Kentucky will certainly finish above those metrics, it does mean that, to this point, they’re outperforming the general expectations of the college basketball populous.

If anyone had said, going into this season, that Pope would manage wins against Duke and Gonzaga, two programs with highly touted coaches and star-studded classes, they’d have likely been met with a chorus of scoffs and wishful eye-rolls. Not to mention in-conference triumphs over ranked teams like Florida, Mississippi State and Texas A&M.

Yet following that unexpected success, the bar suddenly rose from “win the easy games and compete in the big ones” to “win every game, period.” It’s a disconnect that has cost this team credit that they’ve earned.

Keep the Faith

Now, this conversation may look a little different if Kentucky continues to skid and, in the worst possible world, loses at home to South Carolina this weekend.

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But for now, this is a team with their best days ahead of them and more than a few season-defining wins behind them already. They deserve the chance to regroup, get healthy (that’s the kicker) and take the last stretch of this season to task.

In all truthfulness, I think a lot of folks would be happy to make it out of the first weekend in March. Unless another Oakland-level disaster ensues in a few months, the pitchforks would be better off left alone.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Explains the Science of Arguing With SEC Officials: “It’s Just Kind of Picking and Choosing”

Does the squeaky wheel get the grease when it comes to referees? Mark Pope has an answer when it comes to his experience in the SEC.

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Kentucky head coach Mark Pope questioned a referee during the game
Matt Stone | IMAGN

In his first year in what is unarguably the toughest, most physical conference in college basketball, Mark Pope has become known for cutting SEC officials more slack than most of his coaching counterparts.

Time and time again, in the face of frustration from fans, journalists and even his own players, Pope has, for the most part, kept his cool with the black and white stripes. But his facial expressions tell all, and sometimes, that trademark smile fades fast when a questionable whistle blows.

On Monday’s Mark Pope show, the coach was asked about “squeaky wheels getting the grease,” in reference to coaches who chirp the officials getting a favorable whistle from them. His response should draw a sigh of relief from those who throw their hands up when the opposing team treks to the line once more.

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I’ll be really honest,” he began. “Early on in our SEC run… it was unfortunate that it really did appear, like if you had a tantrum every two seconds that you kind of earned the attention of the referees, and they would actually respond. That’s how I felt.”

The Slightest Whisper

Pope then mentioned his plan coming in, which was to ignore the officials entirely. While he still views that ideal in a positive light, he didn’t deny the success that other coaches were having on the opposite end of the spectrum.

“I can be really productive to do it in a constructive way. Sometimes a whisper can be way more effective and way more moving than a tantrum,” he encouraged. “It’s just kind of picking and choosing.”

Pick your battles, Coach Pope. As long as this philosophy lasts, Kentucky could continue to get a less-than-favorable whistle against juggernaut conference opponents. Though, all the same, after an entire season enduring a controversy that seemed to only impact those watching from home, hearing Coach Pope even so much as acknowledge it is certainly a step in the right direction.

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If you support Mark Pope’s positivity in one instance, you’ll have to deal with the ramifications in every facet: on the floor, off the floor, and everywhere in between. The Cats will have to win the occasional 8v5 until one side gives.

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Rockets Rookie Reed Sheppard to Miss at Least Four Weeks With Thumb Injury

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Houston Rockets guard Reed Sheppard (15) reacts after a play during the game.
Troy Taormina | Imagn

On Thursday, March 6, Reed Sheppard slapped down on the ball while New Orleans Pelicans forward Zion Williamson had the ball in is hands around the halfway mark of the fourth quarter.

The Rockets, who were up a wide margin on the road, subbed in the former Kentucky guard to begin the fourth quarter, however, he would be subbed out soon after fouling Williamson.

Sheppard, drafted No. 3 overall after an illustrious freshman season, was coming off of one of his best professional performances, where he scored a career-high 25 points against the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 3.

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Rockets Head Coach Ime Udoka announced on Saturday, March 8, that Sheppard’s injury is to the top of his thumb and not the lower portion, which is the “better outcome” for the rookie. Regardless, he fractured his thumb.

Udoka added that Sheppard will be in a splint cast for about four weeks as he recovers.

Although the former Wildcat hasn’t particularly been great in the NBA thus far, averaging just 3.9 points, he was starting to see a jump in minutes off of the bench for one of the best in the West.

On Monday, Jan. 6, Sheppard was assigned to the team’s G-league affiliate, the Rio Grande Valley Vipers. The following day, in his debut, he dropped 49 points, going 17-33 from the field and 8-19 from three. He also tacked on six assists, five rebounds and three steals.

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This performance kick started his role for the Rockets, seeing an increase of minutes from 5.3 per game to 11.8 per game as January turned to February.

Now, with an unfortunate setback, Sheppard will be forced to watch as the Houston Rockets look to finish their regular season with 50 or more wins for the first time since the 2018-19 season.

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Kentucky’s NCAA Tournament Fate: The Latest in Bracketology

As the Mark Pope’s inaugural season comes to a close, where do the bracket experts see he and Kentucky landing on Selection Sunday?

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NCAA Tournament March Madness court
Kirby Lee | Imagn

With the dust finally starting to settle on Mark Pope’s first year in the driver’s seat, Kentucky’s outlook for March Madness is beginning to take shape as Selection Sunday (March 16) closes in.

After entering the season ranked #23 in the AP poll, the ‘Cats have been in just about every possible position. From rising as far as #4 in week seven to dropping all the way back down to #19 (where they are currently), the team have been in-and-out of the “championship hopefuls” mix all season.

Big, trademark wins against teams like Duke, Tennessee (x2), Florida and Gonzaga had pundits singing the unit’s praises, while puzzling losses to Ohio State, Georgia, and Texas inspired the exact opposite sort of dialogue.

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Though as confusing as the year has been on the whole, the overall consensus of the “bracketologists” seems see Kentucky between the 3-5 seed lines on that fateful day. Read below, and let us know what you make of Kentucky’s potential road to San Antonio!

Bracket Matrix: (3.21, last 3-seed)

*Combines all bracketology and averages each team’s seed.

24/7 Sports

Projection: East Region, five-seed.

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Matchup: McNeese (12)

Notable teams in region: Duke (1), Alabama (2), Marquette (4), Kansas (6).

CBS Sports

Projection: Midwest Region, four-seed.

Matchup: Yale (13).

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Notable teams in region: Houston (1), Tennessee (2), Wisconsin (3), Michigan (5), UCLA (8).

ESPN

Projection: South Region (Atlanta), three-seed.

Matchup: Troy (14).

Notable teams in region: Auburn (1), Michigan State (2), Clemson (4), UCLA (6).

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NCAA.com

Projection: Midwest Region, four-seed.

Matchup: Akron (13).

Notable teams in region: Houston (1), Alabama (2), Wisconsin (3), Maryland (5).

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