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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Miami: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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The Kentucky Wildcats will take on the No. 10 Miami Hurricanes at Rupp Arena on November 27th.
© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

It’s been a fun weekend for Kentucky fans. The basketball team put up a historic offensive performance on Friday, scoring 118 points. That was followed on Saturday by the football team taking down a 10th-ranked Louisville team with a last-minute touchdown.

Then, in the wee hours of Sunday morning, Mark Stoops announced he would be staying at Kentucky, and the volleyball team earned the 8th overall seed in the NCAA Tournament.

That positive momentum carries into a big-time game at Rupp Arena on Tuesday against a Top 10-ranked Miami Hurricanes team coming off a Final Four appearance. Coached by Jim Larrañaga, the Hurricanes look to have the personnel to make another deep tournament run this season.

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This year’s Miami team, while they haven’t played a difficult schedule, is undefeated and one of the best offensive teams in the country. That said, this Kentucky team has the potential to be John Calipari’s best offensive team at Kentucky.

With two high-powered offensive teams, it’s sure to be an exciting game. Let’s break it down.

Crash the Offensive Glass

Without a true big man, Kentucky has not been great on the boards, as they usually are under John Calipari. That said, they haven’t been terrible either, averaging 38.5 rebounds per game.

That leads to Miami’s biggest weakness, which is rebounding. Averaging 36 rebounds per game, they are not far off from Kentucky’s. However, they give up the second most offensive rebounds of any Power Five team, giving up nine or more offensive rebounds in every game this season, including 12 or more in three games.

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Kentucky hasn’t been great at crashing the offensive glass this season, but the opportunities should be there.

Defend the 3

As good as Kentucky has been at shooting and making the 3 this season, they have also given up plenty of 3-point attempts to their opponents, an average of 28.3 to be exact. A large part of that is the style of play Kentucky’s opponents have played.

That said, Miami doesn’t shoot the 3 at an extremely high rate, but they shoot the best percentage in the nation, at 45.6 percent, which number could be more like fifty with the “Rupp Arena opponent shooting bump.”

That is highlighted by their talented backcourt of Wooga Poplar and Nijel Pack, who shoot more than ten 3s combined.

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DJ Wagner, Rod Dillingham, and Reed Sheppard will have a lot of defensive responsibility on Tuesday night, and they cannot afford to go under the screen and allow threes, as they did with Kansas.

Make Shots

Scoring more than your opponent. It sounds simple and is the basis of nearly every sport, including basketball. With two teams ranked top 10 in KenPom’s offensive efficiency ratings, there is almost certainly going to be a lot of scoring.

In terms of points, Kentucky averages more than 94 points per game, while Miami averages 89 points, both top ten amongst Power Five teams. Both are efficient as well, ranking top 20 in field goal percentage and points per possession. So what’s going to give?

With neither team great defensively, it is going to be a shootout, but Kentucky certainly cannot afford a cold night from the field.

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#16 Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) vs. #10 Miami Hurricanes (5-0)

  • Date: Tuesday, November 28th, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 pm ET
  • Location: Central Bank Center at Rupp Arena.
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Announcers: Mike Morgan and Pat Bradley will call the action.
  • Online Stream: Stream the game online using WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio network call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | UM
  • Stats to Know: UK | UM
  • KenPom: UK | UM
  • Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook has yet to release the odds for the game. ESPN’s matchup predictor has a surprisingly high level of confidence in the Cats at 79%. Bart Torvik is slightly less confident at 74%, while KenPom is at 72%.
  • PredictionsBart Torvik is going with an 83-76 victory for the Cats. EvanMiya and Haslametrics both project Kentucky to win by very similar margins, 83-76 and 83-77. KenPom went with an 85-79 victory, Kentucky!

Men's Basketball

Tre Mitchell’s Stepfather Gives Injury Update, “Ridiculously Painful”

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Kentucky Wildcats forward Tre Mitchell injury is still "ridiculously painful"
© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Tre Mitchell missed his third-straight game on Saturday, suffering a shoulder injury during the Ole Miss game, while also still trying to recover from a lingering back issue that kept him out two games prior.

His stepfather, Tony Bergeron, was on WPBK-FM on Friday, before Kentucky’s game against Alabama, where he gave an update on Mitchell. “I thought he came back a little too early (against Ole Miss), got hit, and sprained that shoulder like it was a football injury. The problem now is that it is ridiculously painful,” Bergeron said.

On a positive note, this may help Mitchell reach 100 percent. “He needs to just wait until his back is 100 percent,” Bergeron said. It’s clear that Mitchell hadn’t been himself while playing through the back pain, shooting just 35 percent (8-23) over the three games prior to his first DNP.

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With compounded injuries, it is best to just rest and recover fully until making a return. Kentucky will need Mitchell at his best for a post-season run.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State, Round 2: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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After a dominant win over Alabama, the Kentucky Wildcats will take on Mississippi State on the road.
© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

What a win on Saturday for the Kentucky Wildcats, who put up one of the best offensive performances in college basketball this season on Saturday in a 117-95 win over Alabama. Now they will go back on the road to take on a Mississippi State team in a quad-one opportunity.

With Kentucky coming out on top in the first matchup, back in January, Mississippi State will look to even the season series and defend their home court on Tuesday. The Bulldogs are playing some of their best basketball of the season, riding a five-game winning streak, including a twenty-point road victory over LSU, whom Kentucky just lost to.

Let’s look at the matchup.

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Interior Defense

Tolu Smith is arguably the best big man in the SEC. In the first matchup between these two teams, he certainly made his presence felt despite the loss, scoring a season-high 26 points on better than 70 percent shooting.

This time around will be a good test to see how an improved Kentucky defense handles a physical interior player. While improving and reportedly back at practice, Tre Mitchell is unlikely to play on Tuesday, so it will be up to the seven-footers.

Ugonna Onyenso is Kentucky’s most physical big, but Zvonimir Ivisic who just scored a season-high 18 points, gives Kentucky a higher offensive ceiling.

Rebounding Battle

Similar to the stereotypical SEC team, Mississippi State is a physical team that does well on the boards, ranking toward the top of the country in total rebounds, offensive rebounds, and rebound margin. In the first matchup, Kentucky outrebounded the Bulldogs 30-29, that effort will need to be there again Tuesday.

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Josh Hubbard

Mississippi State’s equivalent to Rob Dillingham is Josh Hubbard. The sub-six-foot electric guard is a similar microwave-type player who just won his fifth SEC Freshman of the Week honor this season after scoring 32 points against LSU.

Scoring just three points on 1-11 shooting against Kentucky back in January, Hubbard is motivated to have a better performance. The priority in defending Hubbard is chasing him off the three-point line or pushing him back as more than 64 percent of his shots have been taken from deep. Similar to what Kentucky did to Alabama, make him finish at the rim.

Opposing Players to Watch

F Tolu Smith 6-11, 245 lbs

  • 16.8 PPG (9th in SEC)
  • 8.1 RPG (3rd in SEC)
  • 59.7% FG (1st in SEC)

G Josh Hubbard 5-10, 185 lbs

  • 15.3 PPG (10th in SEC)
  • 76 3PM (1st in SEC)
  • 7.9 3PA per game

G Dashawn Davis 6-1, 190 lbs

  • 6.2 PPG
  • 3.0 APG (17th in SEC)

Kentucky Basketball vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

  • Time: 7 PM ET on February 27th
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Announcers: To be announced.
  • Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi.
  • Online Stream: WatchESPN and ESPN app
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | MISS ST
  • Stats to Know: UK | MISS ST
  • KenPom: UK | MISS ST
  • Team Sheets: UK | MISS ST
  • Odds: DraftKings has yet to release the odds for the game, but check back on Monday evening. Despite a convincing win over Alabama, the projections are not in Kentucky’s favor. ESPN’s matchup predictor gives the Cats just a 40.9% chance at victory, with Bart Torvik right in line at 41%. EvanMiya and KenPom give Kentucky a slightly higher chance at the win, at 46% and 45% respectively.
  • Predictions: The projections have the game coming down to the wire. Bart Torvik and KenPom have Mississippi State winning by two points, 80-78 and 79-77. Haslametrics and EvanMiya have the Cats winning by just one point, 77-76.

Also published on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Recap and Takeaways From Kentucky’s Dominating Win Over Alabama

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The Kentucky Wildcats dominated Alabama in a 117-95 win.
© Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Rupp Arena was rocking on Saturday when Kentucky faced no. 13 Alabama, and the Wildcats matched that same energy in a fun one. The Cats absolutely demolished the Crimson Tide by a score of 117-95, one of the best offensive performances ever.

Justin Edwards had his breakout game, finishing with 28 points on a perfect 10-10 shooting, and 4-4 from deep. Antonio Reeves added 24 points, Zvonimir Ivisic had 18, and Rob Dillingham poured in 16 to lead Kentucky in scoring to go along with an impressive 63% from the field and 54% from three-point range.

Let’s take a look at how the domination happened.

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Justin Edwards Has His Breakout Game

Saturday’s game against Alabama will be known as the Justin Edwards Game. After having a rough season so far going through many mental battles, Edwards finally had his breakout game, and BBN and his teammates were so happy for him. Finishing with a career-high and team-high 28 points, he added 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals.

Edwards went a perfect 10-10 from the field, and shot 4-4 from deep. That makes Edwards only one of three players in UK history with at least 10 field goal attempts with no miss.

Kentucky Shows Historic Offensive Performance

The offensive performance on Saturday was one for the ages. Kentucky’s 117 points were the most scored against an AP Top 25 opponent in UK history. Shooting 63% from the field, it was one of the more impressive performances, while also shooting 54% from three-point range.

Kentucky had 5 players in double figures. The assist-to-turnover ratio was top notch, with a 24:10 ratio. It was a performance that will be remembered for a long time

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Three-Point Defense Improves

Kentucky’s defense as a whole wasn’t the best, with allowing 95 points, but the Cats forced 16 turnovers and had 29 points off of them, while also having 7 blocks and 11 steals. The three-point defense was really impressive. Holding a team that attempts nearly 30 three-point attempts per game to just 17 attempts, it was certainly running Alabama off the three-point line. Alabama only made 6 threes on those 17 attempts, shooting 35%.

Making Alabama score in other ways besides three-pointers seemed to be an emphasis for Kentucky. They definitely succeeded at that on Saturday.

Kentucky had their best offensive performance of the season, and one that was against a top-15 opponent, and much needed in the final stretch of the season. Next, Kentucky will head to Mississippi State on Tuesday. Tip-off will be at 7 p.m. and will be televised on ESPN.

Check out the box score and highlight’s from Saturday’s win.

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Box Score

Highlights

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