Connect with us

Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

Published

on

Kentucky Wildcats plays Mississippi State in Rupp Arena on January 17th.
© Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Following a tough defeat in College Station against Texas A&M, the Kentucky Wildcats will return to Lexington to play a tough Mississippi State team. While unranked and suffering some bad losses early this season (Southern, 203rd in KenPom), the Bulldogs are analytically the fifth-best team in the SEC and are a borderline Top 25 team.

The 12-4 Bulldogs recently returned their best player, preseason All-American pick Tolu Smith, and just beat a top-5 Tennessee squad last week. With a full roster, with plenty of experience, they could cause some fits in the SEC. Their defense has been the calling card for this Mississippi State team, ranked 9th in defensive efficiency in KenPom.

Under John Calipari, Mississippi State has only beaten Kentucky once, in the 2021 SEC Tournament. However, of the last four games in the series, two have gone into overtime and the other two have been decided by one possession.

Advertisement

I expect another close one on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the matchup.

Protect the Paint

If you look at the season stats, it would appear that Mississippi State shoots a fair amount of threes, averaging more than 23 per game, but at just a 32 percent clip, the third lowest in the SEC. However, since Tolu Smith has been added back to the lineup, the Bulldogs are averaging just 16 attempts per game. It is a small sample size, but shows a different offensive approach, and for good reason, Smith is one of the most efficient bigs in the SEC in the paint shooting better than 58 percent from the field.

Aaron Bradshaw and Ugonna Onyenso’s length could prove bothersome to Smith, but they must be smart and stay out of trouble. Even outside of Smith, the duo has shown improved rim protection, specifically Onyenso who had five blocks against Texas A&M, and who is also daring opponents to bring it into the paint. “If you think you can make a basket, if you think you can go get a layup on us, good luck with that,” he said last week.

Let’s also see if the guards have started to embrace the “desperate” mentality Calipari is trying to instill in them and stay in front of the ball.

Advertisement

Take Advantage of Turnovers

The biggest weakness of this Mississippi State team is their inability to take care of the ball. In fact, averaging more than 13 per game, they are third third-worst team in the SEC in turnovers. These turnovers primarily come from poor entry passes, poor drives, or pressure in the paint. If Kentucky can force the same turnovers the Bulldogs have committed all season, this will allow Kentucky to get some easy transition opportunities and push the pace a bit.

Rebound

It is no coincidence that since Smith has returned, Mississippi State has reached double-digit offensive rebounds in three of the four games, something they had only done in three of the previous twelve games. This is an area that Kentucky has struggled against.

The Wildcats are coming off allowing 25 offensive rebounds to Texas A&M, the most of the John Calipari era. Last Saturday’s performance didn’t fall on any one player, as everyone got outworked for rebounds, but it’s disappointing given this team’s athleticism. Has Onyenso said previewing the matchup, it is an effort thing and the effort must be better.

Opposing Players to Watch

F Tolu Smith, 6-11, 245 lbs

Advertisement
  • 16.8 PPG (8th in SEC)
  • 6.8 RPG (T-10th in SEC)
  • 58.3% FG (Doesn’t qualify, but would be 2nd in SEC)

G Josh Hubbard, 5-10, 185 lbs

  • 15.1 PPG (15th in SEC)
  • 38.8% 3P
  • WATCH ON/OFF BALL SCREENS!

G Shakeel Moore, 6-1, 190 lbs

  • 8.0 PPG
  • Best perimeter defender, Top 15 in steals in SEC back-to-back seasons.
  • 3rd time playing Kentucky

Kentucky Basketball vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

  • Date: January 17th, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Announcers: To be announced.
  • Location: Central Bank Center in Lexington, KY.
  • Online Stream: Stream the game online with WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | MISS ST
  • Stats to Know: UK | MISS ST
  • KenPom: UK | MISS ST
  • Team Sheets: UK | MISS ST
  • Odds: DraftKings has yet to release the odds of this game. ESPN’s matchup predictor basically gives the Cats a 3 in 4 chance to win at 73.7%. Both Bart Torvik and EvanMiya are less confident in Kentucky, still projecting them to win at 63% and 65.2% respectively.
  • Predictions: Bart Torvik and Haslametrics are nearly identical in their projections, picking Kentucky to win 80-77 and 81-77. EvanMiya is still picking the Cats but in a slightly less scoring game, 77-73.

Men's Basketball

Vanderbilt Pays Kentucky $500K after Storming the Court in Upset Victory

Published

on

Vanderbilt had to pay Kentucky a $500,000 fine after their third rushing offense in the past six months.
Denny Simmons | IMAGN

There wasn’t a lot of positive to come from Kentucky’s performance against Vanderbilt. However, if you like to look at the light in all situations, there is one.

The SEC has fined institutions for rushing fields/courts since the early 2000s due to safety concerns. However, the amounts did little to deter that. Over the years the fines have grown larger. In 2023 the policy was updated to what it is today and teams were given a new slate: For the first offense the fine is $100,000, a second is $250,000, and it maxes out at $500,000 for a third or subsequent offense, with the fine being paid to the opposing school.

After storming the field in an upset win over Alabama last fall, and storming the court after upsetting Tennessee last week, Vanderbilt had committed their first two offenses and paid out $350,000.

Advertisement

On the verge of upsetting Kentucky inside the Historic Memorial Gymnasium, Vanderbilt Athletic Director Candace Lee was seen begging fans not to rush the court in an effort to save $500,000. “Let us use the money for NIL to make a great team next year,” she said.

https://twitter.com/Grace_M_Hall/status/1883267322821091684

However, it was to avail as the students proceeded to rush the court for their third offense after defeating Kentucky resulting in a $500,000 fine for “violation of the league’s access to competition area policy.”

The recipient. The Kentucky Wildcats, who can use that for their NIL fund.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Men's Basketball

John Calipari Previews His Return to Lexington, “There Will Be Some Emotion Walking Into That Building”

Published

on

Arkansas head coach John Calipari talks about his upcoming return to Kentucky.
Nelson Chenault | Imagn

Returns are one of the greatest stories in sports. LeBron James made a triumphant return to Cleveland, delivering his hometown team a long-awaited championship. Tiger Woods stunned the world by winning The Masters in 2019 after overcoming injuries and personal struggles. And recently, Kentucky witnessed a high-profile return when former coach Rick Pitino rejoined Big Blue Nation after his hiatus from the program.

But this season, Coach Pitino won’t be the only former coach making his return to Rupp Arena. On Saturday, February 1st, at 9:00 PM, John Calipari will step onto the floor, sporting a red suit coat with “Cal University” AKA Arkansas behind him. As game day approaches, Calipari is beginning to field questions about his highly anticipated return to Lexington.

Following his team’s loss to Oklahoma last Saturday, Calipari was asked about the upcoming game and reflected on the emotional significance, saying, “There will be some emotion walking into that building, and really just being in town. I’ll probably get together with some of my friends. They’re playing well. We’ve got our hands full. Let’s see what happens. They’re a good team. Mark’s doing a good job with them.” He also spoke about his Arkansas squad: “We just have to keep going, keep fighting, and keep figuring this out. What does this team look like? What do we need to play like?”

Advertisement

To be honest, Calipari’s first season at Arkansas hasn’t gone as anyone expected. His team started SEC play 0-5 but finally picked up a win against a tough Georgia team, one that Kentucky struggled with when conference play began.

The Razorbacks appeared to be on the ropes after losing star freshman Boogie Fland for the season. However, they had the opportunity to enter Rupp Arena on a two-game winning streak. Despite a standout performance from Johnell Davis, who scored 18 points—his best game since transferring from FAU—it wasn’t enough to secure a win, as Arkansas fell 65-62 to Oklahoma.

Both fanbases have had Saturday, February 1st, circled on their calendars since early April. No one could have predicted the twists and turns that have led to this point, adding even more drama and emotion to what promises to be a high-profile, thrilling matchup.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Gives Injury Update on Andrew Carr After Absence in Vanderbilt Loss, Could Miss “A Few Weeks”

Coach Pope detailed the latest on Andrew Carr’s lingering back injury after he sat in the loss to Vanderbilt.

Published

on

Kentucky forward Andrew Carr runs onto the court at Rupp Arena.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

In the post-game following Kentucky’s second straight loss, this one coming on the road at Vanderbilt with a final score of 74-69, Mark Pope provided an injury update on the absent Andrew Carr.

“There’s just so much he can’t do with his back,” he said. “He wants to play so bad.”

Carr sitting the Vanderbilt game came after weeks of up-and-down performance, playtime and speculation. His injury seemed to come out of nowhere, and has evolved quickly from a quiet concern to something that could hold him out for “weeks.”

Advertisement

“What we’re hoping is that we can get to a space sometime in the next few weeks, next few days, somewhere where we have enough confidence… he hasn’t practiced in a couple weeks,” Pope revealed.

“Every game, it’s kind of like he just gets beat up so bad it’s back to square one where it’s hard for him to walk essentially. We’re hoping that, with more time, we can get him to some sustainable place where he can endure a practice, and endure a game, and not be back to zero…”

“But we’ll see if that actually happens.”

Rocky Roads

The revelation that Carr hasn’t practiced in weeks is certainly a sobering one. That, combined with the apparently restrictive nature of the injury itself, explains his inability to stay on, let alone produce on, the court.

Advertisement

This news couldn’t come at a worse time for the Wildcats, who have only two days to recover from the loss to the Commodores before they find themselves center stage in Thompson-Boling Arena taking on the Tennessee Volunteers.

The Volunteers are also on a two-game losing streak and, in front of their home crowd, will be chomping at the bit to turn things around.

With Kerr Kriisa still out indefinitely, Lamont Butler dealing with a shoulder/off-hand ailment (something Pope has briefly alluded to,) and Andrew Carr joining the former off the court, Kentucky will have to rely on reserves to stay afloat in the SEC. It’s a long road to rocky top, to say the least.

Get well soon, #7. All of Big Blue Nation is behind you.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Trending