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Men's Basketball

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: TV/Streaming Info, Keys to the Game, and Predictions

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Kentucky Wildcats plays Mississippi State in Rupp Arena on January 17th.
© Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Following a tough defeat in College Station against Texas A&M, the Kentucky Wildcats will return to Lexington to play a tough Mississippi State team. While unranked and suffering some bad losses early this season (Southern, 203rd in KenPom), the Bulldogs are analytically the fifth-best team in the SEC and are a borderline Top 25 team.

The 12-4 Bulldogs recently returned their best player, preseason All-American pick Tolu Smith, and just beat a top-5 Tennessee squad last week. With a full roster, with plenty of experience, they could cause some fits in the SEC. Their defense has been the calling card for this Mississippi State team, ranked 9th in defensive efficiency in KenPom.

Under John Calipari, Mississippi State has only beaten Kentucky once, in the 2021 SEC Tournament. However, of the last four games in the series, two have gone into overtime and the other two have been decided by one possession.

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I expect another close one on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the matchup.

Protect the Paint

If you look at the season stats, it would appear that Mississippi State shoots a fair amount of threes, averaging more than 23 per game, but at just a 32 percent clip, the third lowest in the SEC. However, since Tolu Smith has been added back to the lineup, the Bulldogs are averaging just 16 attempts per game. It is a small sample size, but shows a different offensive approach, and for good reason, Smith is one of the most efficient bigs in the SEC in the paint shooting better than 58 percent from the field.

Aaron Bradshaw and Ugonna Onyenso’s length could prove bothersome to Smith, but they must be smart and stay out of trouble. Even outside of Smith, the duo has shown improved rim protection, specifically Onyenso who had five blocks against Texas A&M, and who is also daring opponents to bring it into the paint. “If you think you can make a basket, if you think you can go get a layup on us, good luck with that,” he said last week.

Let’s also see if the guards have started to embrace the “desperate” mentality Calipari is trying to instill in them and stay in front of the ball.

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Take Advantage of Turnovers

The biggest weakness of this Mississippi State team is their inability to take care of the ball. In fact, averaging more than 13 per game, they are third third-worst team in the SEC in turnovers. These turnovers primarily come from poor entry passes, poor drives, or pressure in the paint. If Kentucky can force the same turnovers the Bulldogs have committed all season, this will allow Kentucky to get some easy transition opportunities and push the pace a bit.

Rebound

It is no coincidence that since Smith has returned, Mississippi State has reached double-digit offensive rebounds in three of the four games, something they had only done in three of the previous twelve games. This is an area that Kentucky has struggled against.

The Wildcats are coming off allowing 25 offensive rebounds to Texas A&M, the most of the John Calipari era. Last Saturday’s performance didn’t fall on any one player, as everyone got outworked for rebounds, but it’s disappointing given this team’s athleticism. Has Onyenso said previewing the matchup, it is an effort thing and the effort must be better.

Opposing Players to Watch

F Tolu Smith, 6-11, 245 lbs

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  • 16.8 PPG (8th in SEC)
  • 6.8 RPG (T-10th in SEC)
  • 58.3% FG (Doesn’t qualify, but would be 2nd in SEC)

G Josh Hubbard, 5-10, 185 lbs

  • 15.1 PPG (15th in SEC)
  • 38.8% 3P
  • WATCH ON/OFF BALL SCREENS!

G Shakeel Moore, 6-1, 190 lbs

  • 8.0 PPG
  • Best perimeter defender, Top 15 in steals in SEC back-to-back seasons.
  • 3rd time playing Kentucky

Kentucky Basketball vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

  • Date: January 17th, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Announcers: To be announced.
  • Location: Central Bank Center in Lexington, KY.
  • Online Stream: Stream the game online with WatchESPN and the ESPN app.
  • Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens have the UK radio call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
  • Replay: WatchESPN and the SEC Network (check local listings).
  • Rosters: UK | MISS ST
  • Stats to Know: UK | MISS ST
  • KenPom: UK | MISS ST
  • Team Sheets: UK | MISS ST
  • Odds: DraftKings has yet to release the odds of this game. ESPN’s matchup predictor basically gives the Cats a 3 in 4 chance to win at 73.7%. Both Bart Torvik and EvanMiya are less confident in Kentucky, still projecting them to win at 63% and 65.2% respectively.
  • Predictions: Bart Torvik and Haslametrics are nearly identical in their projections, picking Kentucky to win 80-77 and 81-77. EvanMiya is still picking the Cats but in a slightly less scoring game, 77-73.

Men's Basketball

Kentucky Lands at No. 18 in Evan Miya’s Preseason Top 25

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Photo via Chet White | UK Athletics

As the college basketball season inches closer, another preseason ranking has Kentucky just inside the top 25.

Evan Miyakawa, of EvanMiya.com, released his official preseason rankings for the 2026-2027 season, placing Mark Pope and the Kentucky Wildcats at No. 18 in the country as anticipation continues to build about the season ahead.

Miyakawa runs one of college basketball’s most prominent advanced analytics sites, with his research featured by ESPN, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated and the Associated Press. His preseason rankings are worth keeping an eye on because his model is designed to project future performance rather than to simply evaluate past results.

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For Kentucky, several players stand out individually in his projections. Returning sophomore center, Malachi Moreno, ranks No. 12 in Miyakawa’s preseason player ratings, giving the Wildcats one of the highest-rated returning players in the country.

Moreno is coming off a freshman season in which he earned SEC All-Freshman honors after averaging 8.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. With another year of experience under his belt, the Kentucky big man will once again be an important part of Pope’s frontcourt.

Milan Momcilovic is another major piece of Kentucky’s depth after transferring from Iowa State and arriving as one of the top additions during the offseason. The forward previously ranked as the No. 6 overall transfer in Miyakawa’s transfer portal rankings, making him one of Kentucky’s most notable additions.

Momcilovic brings another shooting threat to a Kentucky team looking to surround its talent with experienced offensive players, logging as one of the best, if not the, shooters in the country.

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Kentucky will also be counting on international addition Ousmane N’Diaye, who adds even more size and depth to the Wildcats’ frontcourt. N’Diaye was also listed among top international prospects, another highly skilled newcomer to work with this season.

The combination of returning talent and offseason additions gives Kentucky a versatile roster as Pope enters his third season in Lexington. Even at No. 18 nationally, Kentucky sits at sixth among SEC teams in Miya’s rankings, highlighting how difficult the conference is expected to be again this season.

Ten SEC teams appear inside his preseason top 30, setting up another challenging year of conference play. With that being said, the Wildcats will have plenty of opportunities to rise in the rankings as the season unfolds.

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Men's Basketball

Former Duke Basketball Star Jay Williams Admits to Participating in the “Black Duffle Bags” of Cash Prior to the NIL Era

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ESPN college basketball analyst Jay Williams gives a message to Kentucky fans after the Wildcats win over Duke. "You won't like it."
ESPN

In today’s world of college sports, it’s not unusual for a top-ranked high school or transfer prospect to be offered a sum of money that can span upwards of several million dollars.

Just this offseason, Kentucky transfer Milan Momcilovic is reported to have a NIL deal worth more than six million dollars with the Wildcats.

This is the current stage of college sports; the most talented players are being paid millions of dollars by programs. While people’s opinions vary, those athletes bring value to the university in terms of exposure and brand recognition.

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Make no mistake, college athletes were getting paid decades ago, just not as transparently as it is today. Former athletes have gone on to infer such things.

Earlier this week, former Duke basketball star Jay Williams made a “black duffle bags” comment during a panel discussion at Front Office Sports’ Asset Class event, appearing alongside former NFL veteran Ndamukong Suh.

The panel interviewer noted, “NIL was a thing and a concept before all of this…” Williams responded, “There’s some black duffel bags…It’s alright; we all participated; he’s (Suh) going to claim that he didn’t.”

Suh then pushed back immediately: “Whoa, whoa, I never participated. I don’t know what y’all did at Duke, but don’t bring that over here to Nebraska.”

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Williams comment has sparked considerable discussion across social media platforms. For years now, there’s been debate over whether programs that have effectively admitted to paying players in the pre-NIL era will ever face real consequences.

It seems unlikely that the NCAA will launch investigations into these allegations, given that the skeletons that would likely be found are now legal, and that there are even consequences that have been overturned.

For example, in 2024, Reggie Bush recently had his Heisman Trophy reinstated after it was taken away due to Bush accepting improper benefits during his playing career at USC. According to ABC News, the reversal was driven by sweeping changes in the college football landscape-most notably the arrival of NIL, which now allows college athletes to be compensated with very minimal regulations.

This raises a very debatable question: Should programs that have been found to paid players in the past face consequences, including vacated wins and stripped championships, or should the cheaters who didn’t get caught get to continue as if nothing happened?

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Programs like Louisville and SMU, and even Kentucky, had to face consequences for giving improper benefits at various points, but other programs have walked free simply due to not being caught.

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Men's Basketball

UK Athletics Reverse Controversial Change to Big Blue Madness Ticket Distribution

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Photo via Ethan Rand | UK Athletics

For years, Big Blue Madness has been one of Lexington’s hottest ticketed events in town. When the number of tickets fans could buy for the event was announced as now cut in half, the immediate social media uproar from fans was palpable.

On Monday, Sept. 14, ticket information for Big Blue Madness was released with a change that took fans by surprise – the household limit for purchasing tickets had been reduced from four to just two. In a change that blindsided fans across Big Blue Nation, many took to social media to express their disappointment with the limit on tickets.

In a quick response by Athletic Director J Batt, BBN’s pleas to reverse the new ticket limit were too loud to ignore; the two-ticket limit had been reversed and was back to the usual four.

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Aside from his timely answer to the less-than-stellar response that Kentucky fans had to this change, Batt has proven that he does not take what fans have to say lightly. This joins an already growing list of measures he has taken to ensure the BBN’s voice is heard loud and clear.

“Inside the athletic department, we’re working morning, noon, and night to make sure the game day experience is excellent,” Batt said on the Paul Finebaum Show on Friday, Sept. 11.

In his short time at Kentucky, Batt has already been gaining the support of UK fans by lowering concession prices at Kroger Field, making numerous appearances at fan events and continuing to preach his desire to make Lexington the place to be on game days.

Since its inception in 1982, Big Blue Madness has always been a marquee preseason event for both students and fans alike. The commotion caused by the initial ticket changes was no surprise, proving just how hungry the fans are to get to their seats in Rupp Arena and witness the dawn of a new season.

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Tickets for the treasured event are set to go on sale on Friday, Sept. 18 at 5 p.m. ET. One of college basketball’s most anticipated preseason celebrations is set a little early this year, scheduled for Friday, Oct. 2, at 7 p.m. ET.

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