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How One Statistic Could Determine Kentucky’s Success in the SEC

Following the blowout win against Brown, Coach Pope stressed the importance of one statistic in particular for Kentucky going forward.

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Chet White | UK Athletics

Following the Wildcats’ 88-54 home win over the Brown Bears on Tuesday, Dec. 31, we had the chance to ask Coach Pope about the team’s particularly impressive 18:5 assist-to-turnover ratio in the matchup.

His answer outlines a path to success as the Cats move forward into conference play, saying, “Those numbers are really big… they’re just a manifestation of if we’re playing right on the offensive end.”

That night in particular, the positive ratio in that regard led to Kentucky shooting a striking 50% from the field, as well as 36% from downtown. But offense isn’t the only facet of the game to see an uptick.

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“The turnover number is an indication of if we’re giving ourselves a chance, a real chance, to guard on the defensive end,” he continued.

Not only did Kentucky force a season-high 23 turnovers against the Bears, but their total 54 points was the lowest of any Kentucky opponent this season. Add five blocks into that mix and you’ve got a real recipe for success on defense.

“Those two numbers loom large for us, they’re really important, and if we can stay above a 3:1 as a team I’ll be elated. We’ll have a chance to win a lot of games.”

Looking back at the 13 games Kentucky has played thus far, that aforementioned 3:1 benchmark becomes especially prevalent.

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In their lone two losses, against Clemson and Ohio State, Kentucky tallied only 11 assists in either against 12 and 10 turnovers, respectively. With a ratio that tight, the Cats struggle on both sides of the ball.

Now, what about when Kentucky does the opposite?

In equivalent, if not more treacherous matchups in comparison to their losses, Kentucky posted a 17:7 ratio in their crucial win over Gonzaga, 17:11 against Duke, and 23:11 versus Louisville.

While those aren’t quite 3:1, they do paint a positive outlook given the negative alternative when dishes and dumps are within only a few notches of one another on the stat sheet.

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In the season-opener against Wright State, the Wildcats achieved a staggering 30:7 ratio in a 41-point win. In their 49-point rout over Jackson State just a few weeks later, they’d chart a 29:10 ratio. 2.9:1 is close enough for domination, it seems.

On the year as a whole, the team averages about 19 assists to nine turnovers.

In just about every game in the season so far, the assist-to-turnover ratio has been a solid indicator of the final results that follow. The statistic represents how well the team is responding to physicality on offense, as well as how effectively they apply it on defense.

The more extreme the chasm between the two, the better, but even if Kentucky doesn’t hit that golden 3:1 benchmark, they can still garner a demonstrable advantage over their opponent by taking care of the ball on one end, and sharing it on the other.

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As the Wildcats begin play in what is arguably the grittiest conference in the country, keep an eye on that metric; it may very well determine where Kentucky ends up when the dust ultimately settles in the SEC.

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Men's Basketball

National Reporter Matt Norlander Chooses Kentucky as Landing Spot for Star Forward Milan Momcilovic

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Photo via Imagn Images

The Milan Momcilovic sweepstakes is underway, with multiple teams involved in the No. 2 overall transfer player’s recruitment. It is believed that Kentucky and Louisville are the top candidates after his decision to pull out from the 2026 NBA Draft on Wednesday, May 27.

Along with the in-state rivals, Arizona and St. John’s are both very well still in the mix, but the Red Storm are slowly falling out of contention after landing Baylor’s Tounde Yessoufou.

On May 28, national reporter Matt Norlander cleared the air on CBS Sports’ Eye On College Basketball podcast, stating that he believes Kentucky will land Momcilovic by the end of the weekend or Monday.

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“My prediction right now is that Milan Momcilovic will go to Kentucky,” Norlander said. “My understanding is that decision is going to come in the next one, two, three days, four days max.”

He would go on to talk about the other top programs involved, stating why he thinks they will be working in an uphill battle in this bidding war.

“My forecast is that it’s Kentucky, but you know, we’ll see if Louisville can get in there,” he continued. “Arizona I don’t think has the money to contend, like I think Kentucky and Louisville just have more money to play with.”

For the worried members of the Big Blue Nation, this is certainly good news to be put out by one of the most trusted college basketball reporters at the national level.

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Going by this report and Adam Zagoria’s from NYT Sports, it shouldn’t be long until a commitment decision for Momcilovic is announced publicly.

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BREAKING: No. 2 Ranked Transfer Milan Momcilovic Removes Name From 2026 NBA Draft

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Kamil Krzaczynski | Imagn Images

Milan Momcilovic has officially removed his named from the 2026 NBA Draft and will return to college for his senior season.

Kentucky leads in his recruitment, followed closely by St. John’s, Louisville and Arizona. A backdoor to Iowa State is also still open.

The No. 2 ranked transfer would be a huge addition to Kentucky’s 2026-27 roster if he committed, averaging 16.9 points per game on 50.6/48.7/87.8 shooting splits last year. Funny enough, in the current world of college athletics that we live in, Momcilovic was responsible for eliminating the Wildcats from the NCAA Tournament, dropping 20 points in the Round of 32.

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He would go on to lose to Tennessee in the Sweet 16 with Iowa State, so at least we know that there’s some inner-hatred for a long-standing rival if he ends up a Wildcat.

He made the most three-point shots in Division I basketball and is a versatile 6-foot-8 wing, which would fit perfectly into Mark Pope’s offensive system. He completed workouts with the Chicago Bulls and Minnesota Timberwolves during the draft process.

Now, the bidding war for the top dog begins, with some of the most prestigious programs in the sport placing their bets on the star forward.

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BREAKING: Malachi Moreno Set to Return to Kentucky for Sophomore Season

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Tristan Pharis | KY Insider

One of the biggest pieces of the 2026-27 roster has officially made a decision. Malachi Moreno, the Georgetown, Kentucky native, will forgo the 2026 NBA Draft and return to the Wildcats for his sophomore season!

As time went on, Moreno proved through personal workouts and in-gym drills that he could play the game of basketball at the next level, eventually drawing interest from teams slated with the first 20 picks of the draft. The 7-foot big had eyes on him from teams such as the Atlanta Hawks, New York Knicks, Los Angeles Lakers and the Boston Celtics.

Ultimately, the former state champion and his camp felt that the deal offered from Mark Pope and his staff was just too sweet, with the idea of developing even further and potentially becoming a lottery pick in next year’s draft making logical sense for both sides.

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In his freshman season, Moreno averaged 7.8 points per game, 6.3 rebounds per game and 1.5 blocks per game, all on 58.2% shooting. As many assume, this was just a trial for what he can become on the court.

Videos circulated on social media of Moreno hitting jump shots from deep range, visibly looking stronger and more confident in his decision making. Although he decided to not participate in the NBA Combine, a strong indicator for his return to college, it would’ve certainly been interesting to see what type of statline he could’ve produced against the league’s future stars.

Nonetheless, Moreno is back in the blue and white for one more go at No. 9 with Pope and his new teammates. This time, he won’t be predicted as the third best center on team, or plagued with the freshman tendencies – he’ll be ready to start at the five from the moment he arrives in Lexington.

No. 24 is back.

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