Following the Wildcats’ 88-54 home win over the Brown Bears on Tuesday, Dec. 31, we had the chance to ask Coach Pope about the team’s particularly impressive 18:5 assist-to-turnover ratio in the matchup.
His answer outlines a path to success as the Cats move forward into conference play, saying, “Those numbers are really big… they’re just a manifestation of if we’re playing right on the offensive end.”
That night in particular, the positive ratio in that regard led to Kentucky shooting a striking 50% from the field, as well as 36% from downtown. But offense isn’t the only facet of the game to see an uptick.
“The turnover number is an indication of if we’re giving ourselves a chance, a real chance, to guard on the defensive end,” he continued.
Not only did Kentucky force a season-high 23 turnovers against the Bears, but their total 54 points was the lowest of any Kentucky opponent this season. Add five blocks into that mix and you’ve got a real recipe for success on defense.
“Those two numbers loom large for us, they’re really important, and if we can stay above a 3:1 as a team I’ll be elated. We’ll have a chance to win a lot of games.”
Looking back at the 13 games Kentucky has played thus far, that aforementioned 3:1 benchmark becomes especially prevalent.
In their lone two losses, against Clemson and Ohio State, Kentucky tallied only 11 assists in either against 12 and 10 turnovers, respectively. With a ratio that tight, the Cats struggle on both sides of the ball.
Now, what about when Kentucky does the opposite?
In equivalent, if not more treacherous matchups in comparison to their losses, Kentucky posted a 17:7 ratio in their crucial win over Gonzaga, 17:11 against Duke, and 23:11 versus Louisville.
While those aren’t quite 3:1, they do paint a positive outlook given the negative alternative when dishes and dumps are within only a few notches of one another on the stat sheet.
In the season-opener against Wright State, the Wildcats achieved a staggering 30:7 ratio in a 41-point win. In their 49-point rout over Jackson State just a few weeks later, they’d chart a 29:10 ratio. 2.9:1 is close enough for domination, it seems.
On the year as a whole, the team averages about 19 assists to nine turnovers.
In just about every game in the season so far, the assist-to-turnover ratio has been a solid indicator of the final results that follow. The statistic represents how well the team is responding to physicality on offense, as well as how effectively they apply it on defense.
The more extreme the chasm between the two, the better, but even if Kentucky doesn’t hit that golden 3:1 benchmark, they can still garner a demonstrable advantage over their opponent by taking care of the ball on one end, and sharing it on the other.
As the Wildcats begin play in what is arguably the grittiest conference in the country, keep an eye on that metric; it may very well determine where Kentucky ends up when the dust ultimately settles in the SEC.
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