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Kentucky vs. Troy: TV/Streaming Info, Preview, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky guard Otega Oweh dunks the ball in warmups.
Chet White | UK Athletics

March Madness has arrived, my friends!

Just 11 months after taking the Kentucky basketball head coaching job, Mark Pope has not only led the Wildcats to the NCAA Tournament but to a 3-seed. However, Kentucky has fallen in the first round as a 3-seed or better in two of the last three seasons, while the program hasn’t been to the second weekend since 2019.

Will Pope earn his first NCAA Tournament win and make a run?

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The first challenger will be the 14-seeded Troy Trojans. Led by sixth-year head coach Scott Cross, Troy is making their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2017 and their third ever.

Described as a mid-major version of Texas A&M, the Trojans are a tough-nosed group with some strong defensive and rebounding metrics. They’re exactly the kind of team that can muddy things up and make this an ugly NCAA Tournament game that sees neither team build a big lead while they scratch and claw to the finish.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Win the Rebounding Battle

The Trojans’ strongest straight is their offensive rebounding, ranked fourth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (37.7%) and eleventh nationally in offensive rebounds per game (11.8).

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Fortunately for the Wildcats, they have seen and beaten several teams that excel in offensive rebounding categories, including Texas A&M (1st), Florida (8th), and Duke (25th).

Kentucky will have a size advantage as Troy’s tallest starter is 6-foot-8. However, they attack the boards as a team. The Wildcats have to be the team that wants it more.

Dictate the Pace

Troy is a team that wants to play at a slow pace and “muck it up,” which has been the recipe for NCAA Tournament upsets in the past. While you’d like to think Kentucky can dominate a 14-seed, this Trojans team will likely keep that from happening.

Troy is a sneaky athletic team, but Kentucky has the size advantage and the talent advantage. Impose your will on an inferior team.

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Or, as Mark Fox tells the team, “Be the hammer, not the nail.”

Win the Turnover Battle

Troy’s second-biggest strength is their ability to generate turnovers, forcing their opponents to turn the ball over more than 13 times per game, with an average of nine steals per game.

However, they also struggle to take care of the ball, coughing the ball up more than 13 times per game on average. Expect this game to be high on the turnover count.

What was once a strength for Kentucky, taking care of the ball has been a challenge as guard injuries have grown over the season. Over the last nine games, Kentucky has turned the ball over an average of 12.5 times per game, including 16 vs. Alabama in the SEC Tournament.

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As powerful as the Wildcat offense is, they cannot afford to give up possessions nor allow a below-average Troy team to get easy looks off turnovers.

Kentucky Wildcats Basketball’s Path to a Final Four

If you look at Kentucky’s bracket, there should not be many complaints.

Of the 1-seeds, Houston is the worst offensively. Of the 2-seeds, Kentucky gets one they know well and have beaten twice in Tennessee. The Vols are still a very dangerous team, but this is still more favorable than having…say, Alabama as the 2-seed.

There are some dangerous double-digit seeds in McNeese and Utah State. However, there are no obvious ‘matchup nightmares’ for Kentucky. Even without Jaxson Robinson, everyone in Kentucky’s region appears to be beatable, which didn’t seem like something we could say if teams like Alabama, Florida, or Auburn were in it.

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Another key advantage is travel. From a geographical standpoint, Milwaukee and Indianapolis are the best sites for fans to travel to and well within manageable drives for Kentucky fans, especially with Coach Pope willing to help with gas money.

Is Kentucky favored to make the Final Four from this region? No. In fact, FanDuel gives Kentucky the fourth-best odds to win it at +1000. Houston (+120) and Tennessee (+370) are obviously ahead, but you may be surprised to see 8-seed Gonzaga with better odds at +800.

Have injuries hurt the ceiling of this roster? Yes. In March, it’s all about giving yourself a chance. Pope and the Cats have a chance to make some noise. And you never know when upsets will open up a region much more than it looks ahead of the Big Dance.

All told, if Kentucky is going to make the Final Four, the path would likely be Troy, Illinois in the Orlando Antigua Bowl, Tennessee Round 3, and a Houston team that’s the likeliest 1-seed to come up short of making the Final Four.

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Daunting, but not impossible.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Tayton Conerway, 6-3, 186 lbs

  • 14.3 PPG
  • 4.8 APG
  • 4.6 RPG
  • Sun Belt Player of the Year

F Myles Rigsby, 6-6, 190 lbs

  • 12.0 PPG
  • 4.0 RPG
  • 45.4% FG

F Thomas Dowd, 6-8, 225 lbs

  • 9.8 PPG
  • 6.8 RPG
  • 1.0 SPG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Troy Trojans

Time: 7:10 PM ET on March 21st
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV Channel: CBS
Announcers: Kevin Harlan, Dan Bonner, Stan Van Gundy and Lauren Shehadi will call the action.
Live Online Stream: March Madness Live, but accessing that requires a valid login with a cable service. There is a one-hour free trial, however.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: Check local listings on CBS Sports Network and March Madness Live
Rosters: UK | TROY
Stats to Know: UK | TROY
KenPom: UK | TROY
Team Sheet: UK | TROY

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky listed as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 152.5. ESPN gives the Cats an 89% chance to advance. BartTorvik (87%) and KenPom (86%) are close behind, while EvanMiya gives Kentucky a 79.5% chance of getting the W.

Predictions: BartTorvik and Haslametrics both go with an 82-69 win for Kentucky. KenPom has it at 82-70, while EvanMiya has it at 79-70. I believe that the team comes prepared and focused. Mark Pope gets his first NCAA Tournament win, so I’m going with an 84-70 victory, Kentucky!

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Send us your Kentucky vs. Troy predictions in the comments!

And Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Commits Post About Their Official Visits: “Can’t wait to get to work”

Two of Kentucky’s transfer commitments took to X over the weekend to share their excitement over the upcoming basketball season.

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Kentucky combo guard Denzel Aberdeen
UF Athletics

Over the weekend, four of Kentucky’s transfer portal commitments met in Lexington, with Coach Mark Pope, for their officials visits to campus and the surrounding area.

After a series of pictures from the players were posted from the team’s practice facility, the Joe Craft Center, the squad took to Kentucky Proud Park to watch the Bat ‘Cats take on the visiting South Carolina Gamecocks. The new team and Coach Pope made sure to pose for pictures with fans, which made their way onto social media later that afternoon to a chorus of praise from the Big Blue Nation.

But the fans weren’t the only ones with excitement to share about this visit.

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“MAN I LOVE KENTUCKY!”

All four of Denzel Aberdeen, Kam Williams, Mouhamed Dioubate and Jaland Lowe took to X, expressing their gratitude for the opportunity to play in Kentucky blue, as well the fans and culture that come with that.

“The culture and love that Kentucky has for their players is very special and something that I will never take for granted,” said Williams. “I was blessed to have my official visit today and honestly can’t wait to suit up and play for all the fans. Can’t wait to get to work!”

Aberdeen shared a similar sentiment, stating, “MAN I LOVE KENTUCKY! Had a great official visit today in Lexington, cannot wait to represent the University and its culture. #BBN” Dioubate said that the “love and respect” on the visit was “surreal.”

Lowe called the trip to campus a “dream come true,” adding, ” All eyes on number 9.”

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The four posts share nearly 350,000 views, 9,000+ likes, and more than 450 replies on the platform, full of fans echoing the players’ excitement and sharing encouragement for this upcoming season.

Already, Mark Pope’s newest team is making a positive impression on the fanbase, in more ways than one. It may mean more in the SEC, but in Lexington, it means something different entirely. The 2025-26′ team is built to prove that.

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Men's Basketball

Four of Kentucky’s Newest Transfers Take First Official Visits to Campus

Three of Kentucky’s newest batch of transfer commitments have found their way to Lexington for their first official visit as signees.

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Kentucky point guard Jaland Lowe.
Pitt Athletics

Mark Pope’s recently revealed vision for the 2025-26′ men’s basketball roster is starting to come to life, as a batch of commitments came together to take their first official visits to Lexington.

Jaland Lowe, Mouhamed Dioubate, Kam Williams, and Denzel Aberdeen appear to have visited Kentucky together over the weekend, with each of the former three signees posting photos of the team’s practice facility in tandem with one another on Instagram. Aberdeen, while not posting a photo himself, was spotted alongside his new teammates over the weekend at a Kentucky Baseball game taking pictures with fans.

Four of Pope’s ‘Cats have found their new home.

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Familiar Territory

For Williams and Lowe, this would mark the first time they’ve been in the commonwealth as an athlete, given each of their respective origins in different conferences, on either side of the country. Dioubate and Aberdeen, however, have been to Lexington on multiple occasions, playing against the Wildcats as a former member of the Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida Gators, respectively.

Their change of loyalty marks the move of two of the SEC’s most notable transfers a little further north, and when they’re paired with the other two visitors on the court come season-time, Kentucky will pose an athletic, high-energy nightmare for opposing teams every night out.

The commits’ quadruple visit comes just days after a video was posted on the Kentucky Men’s Basketball X (Twitter) account, featuring returning talent Trent Noah and Brandon Garrison already putting in work for the upcoming season, in the same gym that Lowe and company were touring, the Joe Craft Center.

As the pieces start to click together and more members of next year’s full roster make their way to campus, barring any additional, surprising additions, Kentucky fans will soon get a look at Mark Pope’s sophomore team in action.

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Summer runs are on the horizon, and Rupp is practically buzzing already. November can’t come soon enough.

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Men's Basketball

CBS Sports: Kentucky Has “ended pursuits” in Transfer Portal Following Aberdeen Commitment

In the wake of yet another addition to Kentucky’s incoming roster, CBS Sports reports that Coach Pope and staff may have closed the portal.

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Mark Pope and staff may have everything they need from the transfer portal.
Chet White | UK Athletics

Following another flurry of transfer portal additions in his second year at the helm, it appears that Mark Pope and staff are satisfied with their sophomore haul. The portal in Lexington may be officially closed for the 2025-26′ season.

Right after Kentucky received the surprising commitment of Denzel Aberdeen, Matt Norlander, an analyst for CBS Sports, posted the following on X (Twitter):

“Barring any portal defections, Kentucky has ended its pursuits of all other portal targets, sources told CBS Sports. Getting Aberdeen today [April 21] meant they’ve moved off Andrej Stojakovic, Rylan Griffen, etc. Otega Oweh going through pre-draft process-but I expect him back in Lex”.

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With the addition of Aberdeen, the Wildcats’ roster ballooned to near-max capacity for next season. Seeing two of the team’s walk-on players, Grant Darbyshire and Walker Horn, enter the transfer portal seemed to all but confirm this suspicion, too.

Losing One of Our Own

That is, until last night. With less than two hours remaining for players to do so, Travis Perry shocked much of the Big Blue Nation by throwing his name into the hat. This came just weeks after a string of comments from the Kentucky-native point guard seemed to confirm his return for a sophomore season.

Though all the same, given Kentucky’s bulk of back-court additions this offseason, his departure makes sense for the sake of playing time alone. The Lyon King will be sorely missed.

So while the Kentucky staff may still be very much content with their current roster, with hundreds of players remaining in the portal and an unexpected spot on the roster coming open, another grab is far from out of the question.

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Who Coach Pope and company would go after is entirely unclear, as that potential player would likely have to accept a minimized role off the bench for a stretch of his time in Lexington. If anything, the logical replacement would be a direct fill-in at the PG2/PG3 spot in Perry’s absence.

Either way, the ‘Cats are set to come into next season as one of the most exciting teams in college basketball with a ceiling far out of view. Mark Pope continues to prove his prowess in the transfer market, too, easing the worries of Wildcats fans and closing the door on many supposed “insiders” who’ve spent the last month suggesting otherwise.

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