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Kentucky vs. Troy: TV/Streaming Info, Preview, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky guard Otega Oweh dunks the ball in warmups.
Chet White | UK Athletics

March Madness has arrived, my friends!

Just 11 months after taking the Kentucky basketball head coaching job, Mark Pope has not only led the Wildcats to the NCAA Tournament but to a 3-seed. However, Kentucky has fallen in the first round as a 3-seed or better in two of the last three seasons, while the program hasn’t been to the second weekend since 2019.

Will Pope earn his first NCAA Tournament win and make a run?

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The first challenger will be the 14-seeded Troy Trojans. Led by sixth-year head coach Scott Cross, Troy is making their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2017 and their third ever.

Described as a mid-major version of Texas A&M, the Trojans are a tough-nosed group with some strong defensive and rebounding metrics. They’re exactly the kind of team that can muddy things up and make this an ugly NCAA Tournament game that sees neither team build a big lead while they scratch and claw to the finish.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Win the Rebounding Battle

The Trojans’ strongest straight is their offensive rebounding, ranked fourth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (37.7%) and eleventh nationally in offensive rebounds per game (11.8).

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Fortunately for the Wildcats, they have seen and beaten several teams that excel in offensive rebounding categories, including Texas A&M (1st), Florida (8th), and Duke (25th).

Kentucky will have a size advantage as Troy’s tallest starter is 6-foot-8. However, they attack the boards as a team. The Wildcats have to be the team that wants it more.

Dictate the Pace

Troy is a team that wants to play at a slow pace and “muck it up,” which has been the recipe for NCAA Tournament upsets in the past. While you’d like to think Kentucky can dominate a 14-seed, this Trojans team will likely keep that from happening.

Troy is a sneaky athletic team, but Kentucky has the size advantage and the talent advantage. Impose your will on an inferior team.

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Or, as Mark Fox tells the team, “Be the hammer, not the nail.”

Win the Turnover Battle

Troy’s second-biggest strength is their ability to generate turnovers, forcing their opponents to turn the ball over more than 13 times per game, with an average of nine steals per game.

However, they also struggle to take care of the ball, coughing the ball up more than 13 times per game on average. Expect this game to be high on the turnover count.

What was once a strength for Kentucky, taking care of the ball has been a challenge as guard injuries have grown over the season. Over the last nine games, Kentucky has turned the ball over an average of 12.5 times per game, including 16 vs. Alabama in the SEC Tournament.

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As powerful as the Wildcat offense is, they cannot afford to give up possessions nor allow a below-average Troy team to get easy looks off turnovers.

Kentucky Wildcats Basketball’s Path to a Final Four

If you look at Kentucky’s bracket, there should not be many complaints.

Of the 1-seeds, Houston is the worst offensively. Of the 2-seeds, Kentucky gets one they know well and have beaten twice in Tennessee. The Vols are still a very dangerous team, but this is still more favorable than having…say, Alabama as the 2-seed.

There are some dangerous double-digit seeds in McNeese and Utah State. However, there are no obvious ‘matchup nightmares’ for Kentucky. Even without Jaxson Robinson, everyone in Kentucky’s region appears to be beatable, which didn’t seem like something we could say if teams like Alabama, Florida, or Auburn were in it.

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Another key advantage is travel. From a geographical standpoint, Milwaukee and Indianapolis are the best sites for fans to travel to and well within manageable drives for Kentucky fans, especially with Coach Pope willing to help with gas money.

Is Kentucky favored to make the Final Four from this region? No. In fact, FanDuel gives Kentucky the fourth-best odds to win it at +1000. Houston (+120) and Tennessee (+370) are obviously ahead, but you may be surprised to see 8-seed Gonzaga with better odds at +800.

Have injuries hurt the ceiling of this roster? Yes. In March, it’s all about giving yourself a chance. Pope and the Cats have a chance to make some noise. And you never know when upsets will open up a region much more than it looks ahead of the Big Dance.

All told, if Kentucky is going to make the Final Four, the path would likely be Troy, Illinois in the Orlando Antigua Bowl, Tennessee Round 3, and a Houston team that’s the likeliest 1-seed to come up short of making the Final Four.

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Daunting, but not impossible.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Tayton Conerway, 6-3, 186 lbs

  • 14.3 PPG
  • 4.8 APG
  • 4.6 RPG
  • Sun Belt Player of the Year

F Myles Rigsby, 6-6, 190 lbs

  • 12.0 PPG
  • 4.0 RPG
  • 45.4% FG

F Thomas Dowd, 6-8, 225 lbs

  • 9.8 PPG
  • 6.8 RPG
  • 1.0 SPG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Troy Trojans

Time: 7:10 PM ET on March 21st
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV Channel: CBS
Announcers: Kevin Harlan, Dan Bonner, Stan Van Gundy and Lauren Shehadi will call the action.
Live Online Stream: March Madness Live, but accessing that requires a valid login with a cable service. There is a one-hour free trial, however.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: Check local listings on CBS Sports Network and March Madness Live
Rosters: UK | TROY
Stats to Know: UK | TROY
KenPom: UK | TROY
Team Sheet: UK | TROY

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky listed as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 152.5. ESPN gives the Cats an 89% chance to advance. BartTorvik (87%) and KenPom (86%) are close behind, while EvanMiya gives Kentucky a 79.5% chance of getting the W.

Predictions: BartTorvik and Haslametrics both go with an 82-69 win for Kentucky. KenPom has it at 82-70, while EvanMiya has it at 79-70. I believe that the team comes prepared and focused. Mark Pope gets his first NCAA Tournament win, so I’m going with an 84-70 victory, Kentucky!

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Send us your Kentucky vs. Troy predictions in the comments!

And Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Kentucky Competes at Annual Pro Day Inside of Rupp Arena

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Photo via Marissa Gilchrist | UK Athletics

Kentucky held its annual Pro Day on Tuesday, Oct. 6, where NBA scouts were able to watch the team go through individual drills and a live game-like scrimmage. There are plenty of takeaways that stood out during the two hour practice. Let’s dive into it:

1.) Franck Kepnang Shows Off in the Paint

The first thing that stood out was transfer big man Franck Kepnang, with the seven-foot big from Washington dominating in the paint. Starting with the individual drills, he showed his size and ability to get downhill off of a pick-and-roll.

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The bigs went through a finishing through contact drill, and the new Wildcat seemed unfazed by the pads being pounded against him. With Moreno and Kepnang running the paint together, it will make it very difficult for opposing teams to stop both of them.

2.) Ousmane N’Diaye Has High-Scoring Performance

Overseas big Ousmane N’Diaye was another standout in front of the NBA scouts. In the first six-minute “quarter”, N’Diaye led all scorers with eight points.

He showed off his ability to score at all three levels, hitting multiple threes and also demonstrating his ability to score in the paint. N’Diaye wasn’t playing the five spot, which really allowed his team to stretch the floor and help with spacing.

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With Moreno, Kepnang, N’Diaye and Reece Potter all standing at seven-feet tall, Mark Pope has the opportunity to run a four-big lineup all while each player hones a different skillset. Having this much size will pay dividends come time for conference play.

3. The Forwards Do a Little Bit of Everything

A few other players who performed well were Milan Momcilovic and Braydon Hawthorne. Momcilovic played very unselfish during the inter-squad scrimmage, looking to first get his teammates involved and not forcing his game whatsoever.

He did hit a nice step-back 3-pointer at the buzzer in the second “quarter”, highlighting his 10-point performance. Hawthorne had some great looks from beyond the arc and did a phenomenal job getting his teammates open, driving and distributing the rock.

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He finished with six points and one assist.

Overall, the whole team appeared molded together and played as a unit rather than just isolation ball, which is a great sign in early October. There is no shortage of individual talent on this roster, and that was evident on Tuesday, with leaders and experience at every position.

The wait is almost over BBN. Kentucky will take the court in its first exhibition game on Friday, Oct. 16, when Little Rock comes into town. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET and will air live on SEC Network+.

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Men's Basketball

Mark Pope Gives Update on Vacant Roster Spot, Potential Coaching Addition

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Photo by Chet White | UK Athletics

Kentucky still has room to add to both its roster and coaching staff, but Mark Pope appears comfortable with where things currently stand.

At Kentucky’s 2026 Media Day, Pope was asked whether the Wildcats plan to move forward with their current 14-man roster and if there was any update on a potential addition to his coaching staff.

His answer on both fronts was similar: Kentucky likes the group it has.

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“Our roster right now is what we’re expecting to go to battle with,” said Pope. “We’ll always be open to opportunities if they arise. Everything changes so fast, it’s pretty incredible, but I like our group.”

That leaves Kentucky with some flexibility as the season approaches, but no indication that another addition has to be made.

The Wildcats still have an open roster spot, but Pope’s comments suggest that the focus is less on filling it, and more on continuing to develop and build the group that is already in Lexington.

“Everything we’re doing right now is focused on growing this group the way we have and trying to build the best we can,” Pope added.

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He expressed similar confidence when discussing the coaching staff. While another addition remains possible, he emphasized how well the current staff has come together as a whole.

“I like our staff so much right now. There’s a real synergy with what we’re doing.”

Praising several additions to the program, specifically pointing out Mo Williams, Keegan Brown and Stephanie Campbell when discussing additions Kentucky has already made.

“It’s actually by far the best I’ve felt with how our staff is functioning together.”

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So, is Kentucky finished making moves? Not necessarily.

Pope made it clear that things can change quickly in the sport of college basketball, and that all operations will remain open if the right opportunity becomes available. For now, the Wildcats appear focused on continuing to build with the roster and staff already in place.

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Men's Basketball

Can Mark Pope and Kentucky Finally Shake the Injury Bug?

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Photo via Chet White | UK Athletics

Through Mark Pope’s first two seasons with Kentucky, injuries haven’t just been here and there, they have cost both teams a deeper run in the postseason.

Now entering year three, the Wildcats once again have championship-level expectations and a deep roster, but the injury bug has already started to show itself.

Kentucky is yet to play an exhibition game, but Pope is already facing a familiar opponent, with a new injury suffered by guard Jerone Morton.

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After last season, Kentucky had its complete roster for only 14% of his games through Pope’s first two seasons, and only 9% against power-four opponents. Sure, the reports this summer confirm that the Wildcats will be healthy for the regular season, but knowing the statistics, members of the Big Blue Nation still worry when any sort of injury is announced.

Pope’s first Kentucky team was still able to make it to the Sweet 16, but rarely did he have the chance to coach the roster exactly the way it was constructed.

Injuries to Lamont Butler, Jaxson Robinson, Andrew Carr and Kerr Kriisa made it nearly impossible to see the team that Pope and staff had envisioned. However, when that squad was fully healthy, they were something special.

In the 2024 Champions Classic, Pope led his team to take down No. 6 Duke, who hosted No.1 overall pick and basketball phenom Cooper Flagg. The Wildcats were able to go deep into their rotation, play with pace, and rely on different players throughout the night.

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As the season progressed, however, Pope rarely had that luxury. BBN will likely speculate for years to come on how far in the tournament that 2024 team could’ve made it had they stayed healthy.

Year two brought even worse injury luck. Jaland Lowe suffered a shoulder injury during the Blue-White scrimmage that lingered throughout the season and eventually required season-ending surgery for one. Jayden Quaintance entered the year still recovering from a torn ACL, missing Kentucky’s first 11 games and playing just four times before swelling in the knee shut him down again.

Just as the Cats were starting to find some stability in their roster, Kam Williams would go down, suffering a broken foot during the Jan. 21 win over Texas. He underwent surgery shortly after, with the injury costing him the final 12 games of the season.

Williams’s absence was especially damaging because Kentucky was already without Lowe and Quaintance, leaving Pope without three players who had been expected to play major roles.

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For a roster that had been constructed around depth and versatility, Pope spent much of the season trying to replace pieces that were never supposed to be missing in the first place.

Kentucky is already dealing with several bumps in the road: Morton is recovering from a knee injury, while Trent Noah, Milan Momcilovic, Franck Kepnang and Williams have all dealt with health concerns during the offseason.

The good news for fans is that, unlike last season, Pope expects the roster to be close to full strength by the start of regular-season play.

With another talented roster in place, staying healthy could be just as important as anything that the Wildcats can do on the court. If Kentucky can finally shake the injury bug, Pope may finally get the chance to see just how far one of his teams can go when it matters most.

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