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Kentucky vs. Troy: TV/Streaming Info, Preview, and Betting Odds/Predictions

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Kentucky guard Otega Oweh dunks the ball in warmups.
Chet White | UK Athletics

March Madness has arrived, my friends!

Just 11 months after taking the Kentucky basketball head coaching job, Mark Pope has not only led the Wildcats to the NCAA Tournament but to a 3-seed. However, Kentucky has fallen in the first round as a 3-seed or better in two of the last three seasons, while the program hasn’t been to the second weekend since 2019.

Will Pope earn his first NCAA Tournament win and make a run?

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The first challenger will be the 14-seeded Troy Trojans. Led by sixth-year head coach Scott Cross, Troy is making their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2017 and their third ever.

Described as a mid-major version of Texas A&M, the Trojans are a tough-nosed group with some strong defensive and rebounding metrics. They’re exactly the kind of team that can muddy things up and make this an ugly NCAA Tournament game that sees neither team build a big lead while they scratch and claw to the finish.

Let’s take a look at the matchup.

Win the Rebounding Battle

The Trojans’ strongest straight is their offensive rebounding, ranked fourth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (37.7%) and eleventh nationally in offensive rebounds per game (11.8).

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Fortunately for the Wildcats, they have seen and beaten several teams that excel in offensive rebounding categories, including Texas A&M (1st), Florida (8th), and Duke (25th).

Kentucky will have a size advantage as Troy’s tallest starter is 6-foot-8. However, they attack the boards as a team. The Wildcats have to be the team that wants it more.

Dictate the Pace

Troy is a team that wants to play at a slow pace and “muck it up,” which has been the recipe for NCAA Tournament upsets in the past. While you’d like to think Kentucky can dominate a 14-seed, this Trojans team will likely keep that from happening.

Troy is a sneaky athletic team, but Kentucky has the size advantage and the talent advantage. Impose your will on an inferior team.

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Or, as Mark Fox tells the team, “Be the hammer, not the nail.”

Win the Turnover Battle

Troy’s second-biggest strength is their ability to generate turnovers, forcing their opponents to turn the ball over more than 13 times per game, with an average of nine steals per game.

However, they also struggle to take care of the ball, coughing the ball up more than 13 times per game on average. Expect this game to be high on the turnover count.

What was once a strength for Kentucky, taking care of the ball has been a challenge as guard injuries have grown over the season. Over the last nine games, Kentucky has turned the ball over an average of 12.5 times per game, including 16 vs. Alabama in the SEC Tournament.

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As powerful as the Wildcat offense is, they cannot afford to give up possessions nor allow a below-average Troy team to get easy looks off turnovers.

Kentucky Wildcats Basketball’s Path to a Final Four

If you look at Kentucky’s bracket, there should not be many complaints.

Of the 1-seeds, Houston is the worst offensively. Of the 2-seeds, Kentucky gets one they know well and have beaten twice in Tennessee. The Vols are still a very dangerous team, but this is still more favorable than having…say, Alabama as the 2-seed.

There are some dangerous double-digit seeds in McNeese and Utah State. However, there are no obvious ‘matchup nightmares’ for Kentucky. Even without Jaxson Robinson, everyone in Kentucky’s region appears to be beatable, which didn’t seem like something we could say if teams like Alabama, Florida, or Auburn were in it.

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Another key advantage is travel. From a geographical standpoint, Milwaukee and Indianapolis are the best sites for fans to travel to and well within manageable drives for Kentucky fans, especially with Coach Pope willing to help with gas money.

Is Kentucky favored to make the Final Four from this region? No. In fact, FanDuel gives Kentucky the fourth-best odds to win it at +1000. Houston (+120) and Tennessee (+370) are obviously ahead, but you may be surprised to see 8-seed Gonzaga with better odds at +800.

Have injuries hurt the ceiling of this roster? Yes. In March, it’s all about giving yourself a chance. Pope and the Cats have a chance to make some noise. And you never know when upsets will open up a region much more than it looks ahead of the Big Dance.

All told, if Kentucky is going to make the Final Four, the path would likely be Troy, Illinois in the Orlando Antigua Bowl, Tennessee Round 3, and a Houston team that’s the likeliest 1-seed to come up short of making the Final Four.

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Daunting, but not impossible.

Opposing Players to Watch

G Tayton Conerway, 6-3, 186 lbs

  • 14.3 PPG
  • 4.8 APG
  • 4.6 RPG
  • Sun Belt Player of the Year

F Myles Rigsby, 6-6, 190 lbs

  • 12.0 PPG
  • 4.0 RPG
  • 45.4% FG

F Thomas Dowd, 6-8, 225 lbs

  • 9.8 PPG
  • 6.8 RPG
  • 1.0 SPG

Kentucky Basketball vs. Troy Trojans

Time: 7:10 PM ET on March 21st
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV Channel: CBS
Announcers: Kevin Harlan, Dan Bonner, Stan Van Gundy and Lauren Shehadi will call the action.
Live Online Stream: March Madness Live, but accessing that requires a valid login with a cable service. There is a one-hour free trial, however.
Radio: Tom Leach and Jack Givens will have the call on the UK Sports Radio Network.
Replay: Check local listings on CBS Sports Network and March Madness Live
Rosters: UK | TROY
Stats to Know: UK | TROY
KenPom: UK | TROY
Team Sheet: UK | TROY

Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Kentucky listed as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 152.5. ESPN gives the Cats an 89% chance to advance. BartTorvik (87%) and KenPom (86%) are close behind, while EvanMiya gives Kentucky a 79.5% chance of getting the W.

Predictions: BartTorvik and Haslametrics both go with an 82-69 win for Kentucky. KenPom has it at 82-70, while EvanMiya has it at 79-70. I believe that the team comes prepared and focused. Mark Pope gets his first NCAA Tournament win, so I’m going with an 84-70 victory, Kentucky!

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Send us your Kentucky vs. Troy predictions in the comments!

And Go CATS!!

Also posted on A Sea of Blue.

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Men's Basketball

Assistant Mo Williams Discusses Potential of a Zoom Diallo and Alex Wilkins Backcourt, “You can’t find a better fit.”

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Photo via Imagn Images

The offseason has been fun so far, no? Kentucky’s team is several spots away from completion, we’ve been entertained with the NBA Draft drama and even Mark Pope has answered questions from the Big Blue Nation in a series of social media videos.

To add on to the fresh vibe of next year’s gameplan, UK Sports Network Host Michelle Knezovic spoke with assistant head coach Mo Williams, answering questions for the first time in sit-down fashion as a member of the Wildcats.

Williams discussed several topics during the interview, from his years in the NBA and how his experience translated to coaching, to his role and adjustment as a newly-hired staff member. However, one key talking point stuck out like a sore thumb: the new backcourt.

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Let’s face it, the Mark Pope era guards have been nothing short of fantastic, playmaking and hitting highlight shots when it mattered most. Nobody will forget the determination from Lamont Butler, or the pure clutchness from Collin Chandler, but that doesn’t mean it has always been sunshine and rainbows.

Jaxson Robinson and Jaland Lowe were sidelined for extensive time due to injury, with Butler and even Koby Brea missing games for Kentucky – a healthy duo of guards was a focal point for Pope and his staff this offseason.

Knock on wood, but you cannot help injuries on the court, it’s simply part of the game, so the goal was to find the best talent available. Luckily, the 2026-27 roster certainly features two of the most talented prospects in the country with Zoom Diallo and Alex Wilkins.

Williams had nothing but nice things to say about the transfer guards, opening up about Diallo first, ironically the first addition of the offseason.

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“Veteran kid, obviously been on this level, played on this level, ready for this moment,” said Williams. “I expect him to be really, really good for us. I expect him to be in a position where they’re talking about him at the end of the season on one of these three All-SEC teams.”

High praise for sure, but to his point, Diallo has proved himself already in his two years at Washington, averaging 15.7 points per game and 4.5 assists per game in his sophomore season.

Committing just three days after Diallo, Wilkins immediately sparked conversations as being one of those “hidden games” from low places, looking to show off a very different skill set at the two spot; one that can benefit the flow of Kentucky’s offense. He averaged 17.8 points per game for Furman in his freshman year, scoring quick and often.

“I think they mirror each other,” said Williams. “I mean, you can’t find a better fit. Two different guys. Zoom is more what we call bully ball…Alex is more shifty…more length.”

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To round off his compliments, Williams confirmed that the pressure will be on these two guards in the upcoming season.

“We’re going to ask those guys to do a lot for us this year, so we’re excited about our vision for how they can play together.”

Pope, Williams and eager fans are certainly hungry for a dynamic duo to shine at Rupp Arena and in the trenches of SEC play. All hope is now instilled in Diallo and Wilkins to thrive under the bright lights and prove that they are the new recipe for success.

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2012 National Champion Kyle Wiltjer speaks on Kentucky Basketball’s recent struggles, “BBN you have every right to be critical”

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2012 champion Kyle Wiltjer weighs in on Kentucky's recruiting struggles, the need for a GM, NIL cap management, and why Big Blue Nation should stay the course under Mark Pope.
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Over the last week, Kentucky head coach Mark Pope has broken his offseason silence and has been taking questions on social media to address issues that have been concerning Big Blue Nation for months.

One of those topics that’s been lingering during the below-par recruiting season (by Kentucky standards) has been the presence of a general manager… or, in this case for UK, a lack of.

This was discussed on Tuesday on The Leach Report, where Kentucky sports broadcaster Tom Leach briefly discussed the ever-changing financial environment with 2012 National Champion and 2013 SEC Sixth Man of the Year Kyle Wiltjer.

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Wiltjer is currently playing in the Italian Lega Basket Serie A (the same league as recent signee Ousmane N’Diaye), but he keeps tabs on his Wildcats in his free time and resonates with the current frustrations of one of the loudest fanbases in college sports.

“From a fan’s perspective, you have every right to be critical and challenge your program to be great,” Wiltjer said. “That’s why I am in Italy wearing a Kentucky sweatshirt. It is one of my proudest moments. Even if it was just for two years, I wear that with pride. [Big Blue Nation] is so incredible to a fault; if you’re losing, you’re going to feel it. That’s what makes Kentucky special.”

Wiltjer also spoke about his future basketball plans when speaking about how NIL has affected college basketball operations and expectations.

He is hopeful for one of two jobs: a job with Nike, which is headquartered in his hometown of Portland, or a front office position.

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“I’m either going to be working for Nike or a front office,” he said. “I have actually done some internships and learned from NBA front offices.”

While he learned from NBA personnel, the college basketball landscape has essentially come a Jr. NBA, with many programs hiring for front office positions. Something Wiltjer is in support of. “With all of this money being thrown out, these colleges need to look at it like a front office.”

“When you have a cap space of [$25M], you’ve got to use it wisely because not all money is good money. You still have to build a roster smartly and spend the money on the right type of players and positions. It all has to fit.”

He is also confident Kentucky will climb back atop the mountain; it’s just a matter of when and how to get there.

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“I think with time and just patience, I think you guys will be right on top again sooner than later,” he said. “It’s just a matter of time before Kentucky gets another championship. It’s just how you get there. As fans, they [BBN] just want to win. If I were recruiting a player, that’s what I would say, ‘You’re going to have this for life.’ It’s an awesome, awesome culture.”

Take a listen to Wiltjer’s full interview.

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2012 Champion Kyle Wiltjer Has Played Against Kentucky Signee Ousmane N’Diaye, and Says Fans Should Be Very Excited

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2012 champion Kyle Wiltjer faced incoming Kentucky signee Ousmane N'Diaye twice in Italy's top pro league — and says Kentucky fans should be fired up about their new frontcourt addition.
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As basketball has become increasingly global, international recruiting has become a big component of roster construction in college basketball.

Illinois just made a Final Four with a roster made up of mostly international players. While not using international talent to that extent, Kentucky has added at least one international prospect in three of the last four seasons, with at least one more coming this upcoming season.

Former Kentucky Wildcat Kyle Wiltjer, a member of the 2012 national championship team, recently spoke with Tom Leach on The Leach Report about new Wildcat Ousmane N’Diaye, a 6-foot-11 forward from Senegal, who will join the program after playing professionally in Europe.

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N’Diaye most recently played in Italy’s top league, Liga Basket Serie A, the same league Wiltjer currently plays in, and the two played against each other twice this past season.

His first-hand experience?

“He can shoot really well,” Wiltjer said of N’Diaye. “He’s super athletic defensively, and finishes strong at the rim. So I think Kentucky fans should be excited because he’s playing at a high level — there’s a lot of grown men and players who have played at a high level over here. He’s not playing against kids. He’s playing against men… I think he’s going to do great at the NCAA level.”

The 10-year professional veteran also called N’Diaye an explosive athlete who can knock down the three with consistency and plays with a lot of self-confidence, “an exciting player.” Factor in Mark Pope’s offense, where versatile bigs have strived, and there is a lot of potential.

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“When you go to a college campus and you work with player development coaches, he’s only going to improve. His athleticism alone is something to be excited about as a fan of Kentucky hoops,” Wiltjer added.

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