After back-to-back losses, in embarrassing fashion as well, the bye week came at a favorable time for the Kentucky Wildcats. That said, the Wildcats will pick back up in the toughest stretch of their schedule and return to action against a No. 21 ranked Tennessee Volunteer team.
Looking at both teams, they are having somewhat similar seasons. In terms of record, both teams hold 5-2 overall records and 2-2 records in the conference. Big picture, both teams have fallen short of expectations. This Saturday, one team will become bowl-eligible and re-enter the top half of the SEC East.
Let’s take a closer look at the cross-border rivalry matchup and the keys of the game for Kentucky.
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Run Defense
One of the more disappointing things about this year’s Kentucky team has been the defense, especially the pass defense. After five straight seasons of top-5 SEC defenses, Kentucky is currently sitting 9th in the conference in team defense.
Giving up an average of 347 yards on the season, the Wildcats give up an average of 251 yards through the air, ranking only ahead of South Carolina and Vanderbilt. As bad as the pass defense has been, the run defense has been great. In fact, the Wildcats are one of just two teams in the SEC, joining Georgia, giving up under rushing 100 yards per game.
Tennessee’s offense may play into Kentucky’s hands. After getting more than sixty percent of their yards through the air last season, the Volunteer offense is much more focused on the run game. In fact, they run the ball 54 percent of the time, only behind Alabama and Ole Miss in the SEC. In each of their losses, the Vols have been held to under 140 rushing yards.
Will the Passing Game Start to Click after the Bye Week?
In 2013, Mark Stoops inherited one of the worst rosters in all of college football. Now, ten years later, he has raised the program to its highest point of the modern era. That said, there is still more room to grow, and according to Mark Stoops, that starts with the passing game.
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“We want to grow as a program,” Stoops said in his weekly press conference on Monday. “We can sit there and second guess ourselves and look at that last time we took the field and say, ‘Hey, we could sit there and run the ball maybe twenty more times and have a better chance to win the game, but are we really growing as an organization? Are we really winning and becoming that team that we want to become?’”
After investing heavily into the passing game last offseason – bringing back Liam Coen as offensive coordinator and a substantial NIL investment in bringing in Devin Leary and returning the receivers – it is beyond asking when there will be a return. With that said, a bye week could help refocus things, and there is no better time to get things than against your biggest conference rival.
Discipline
It is hard to win games in the SEC, but it is even harder to win games when you are constantly shooting yourself in the foot with penalties. On the season, Kentucky has 54 penalties for 479 yards. Interestingly, that is the second most in the SEC, behind only Tennesse who has 56 penalties for 470 yards.
Over the season, discipline has been an area that the staff has taken accountability for with the media. However, Kentucky’s most recent performance against Missouri was their most undisciplined of the season, with 14 penalties for 122 yards.
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Entering the bye week, the staff and players said multiple times that discipline was an area that “must improve.” Given that this is an intense rivalry, between the two most penalized teams in the SEC, this will be a good test to see if that improvement has taken place.
Time/Date: 7:00 pm ET on Saturday, October 28th, 2023 Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY TV Channel: ESPN Announcers: TBA Online Stream:WatchESPN, ESPN+, SEC Network+, or the ESPN app. Radio: Tom Leach and Jeff Piecoro have the UK radio network call on the UK Sports Radio Network. Satellite Radio: XM Channel 203, Sirius Channel 98, Internet Channel 966 Replay:WatchESPN and SEC Network (check local listings). Rosters:UK | UT Stats To Know: UK | UT
Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook has Kentucky listed as a 3.5-point underdog. ESPN’smatchup predictor puts Kentucky as a moderate underdog, giving the Wildcats just a 29.1% chance to win.
Predictions: TeamRankings has Tennessee coming away with a 27-24 win, with DRatings.com also picking the Volunteers in a 28-24 victory. Looking at history, the Wildcats have only beaten Tennessee three times since 1984. While on paper, it is possible, I am not one to pick Kentucky to beat Tennessee until it becomes more consistent. That said, I predict Tennessee to win 31-21.
Now two days after the the transfer portal has opened, the Kentucky Wildcats have had a dozen players enter. Two of those players are the Wade twins, Destin and Keaten, who committed to Kentucky as a three-star quarterback and 4-star edge in the 2022 class.
As for why? “They (Kentucky) didn’t keep their promises up there. We’re not going to go for that,” Steve said. “I’m mainly talking about Destin, not Keaten.”
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Two seasons into each of their collegiate career, one was on a path to success, while the other was not, unfortunately.
Keaten Wade, listed as a 6-foot-5, 250-pound sophomore outside linebacker, collected a total of 51 tackles, 2.5 sacks, and a pass deflection in two seasons as a promising piece on the Kentucky defense. Destin Wade (6-3, 223) appeared in just one game at quarterback during his time at Kentucky, going up against Iowa in the Music City Bowl. In the game, he was 16-30 for just 98 yards, threw two pick-sixes, and only advanced in Iowa territory twice on 13 drives, going as far as the 36-yard line.
“They (Kentucky) threw him in that bowl game and never did give him a chance to redeem himself, under circumstances that nobody could have really did anything with, Iowa being the No. 2, No. 3 defense in the country,” Steve said. “We were promised by (Kentucky offensive coordinator Liam) Coen that Destin ‘was too good an athlete to just be sitting on the bench’. We did our part, we trusted in Kentucky to do theirs.”
Bringing in NC State transfer Devin Leary this season, Steve claims that Destin could have been just as good if he was given an opportunity to compete.
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“Destin could have been just as good as that quarterback (Leary) we had this year,” Steve Wade said. “There’s nothing any of those guys sitting in that quarterback room couldn’t have done (that Leary did). They didn’t give him an opportunity to even compete. So we’ve got to do what we’ve got to do. He’s got to get on the field somewhere.”
As far as Keaten, Steve was satisfied that he played, but not satisfied that he was not a starter. “They let Keaten play, but he still didn’t get the reps he should have gotten as being a starter,” Steve said.
One reason Steve gives as to why his sons didn’t play as much as they deserved was because of NIL, allowing “worthless” players to get more playing time just because they were paid.
“It makes it that much more difficult for kids that are on scholarship because they’re paying these other guys money to come in — They’re looking for those players to play,” he said. “The school’s going to play those guys, whether they’re worthless or not.
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All the best to the Wade twins and their family, but this is simply some parental delusion as Steve Wade overestimates his sons’ talent.
The Kentucky Wildcats have found their quarterback for next season, and potentially the next two seasons. On Thursday morning, Georgia transfer quarterback Brock Vandagriff announced his commitment to Kentucky, with the caption “Ready to get to work.”
Vandagriff has been a name silently floated around since the end of the season as his sister plays volleyball at Eastern Kentucky and his father has a relationship with Liam Coen.
At Georgia the last three seasons, Vandagriff was a backup and saw limited action. However, he was a backup to some pretty good talent, first to Stetson Bennett who won back-to-back national titles with the Bulldogs, and Carson Beck this season who finished this season fourth nationally in passing yards.
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Before his time at Georgia, Vandagriff was a five-star quarterback in the 2021 class, ranked as the 4th ranked QB overall by 247Sports’ Composite rankings. Holding offers from the top names in college football including Alabama and LSU, Vandagriff had his choice and originally committed to play for Lincoln Riley and Oklahoma before flipping to Georgia.
The talent is clearly there and there are not many better ways to gain preparation than by practicing against one of the best defenses in college football the last three seasons.
Kentucky will also add 2024 four-star Cutter Boley to the QB room for next season and another transfer for depth whom the staff is still searching for. That said, just two days after the portal opened, Kentucky has filled one of their biggest needs, if not the biggest, of this offseason.
College football’s version of free agency is about to kick off as the transfer portal officially opens on Monday, December 4th. Over the last three seasons, the transfer portal has proven itself as a way for programs to quickly fill holes in their rosters, especially for teams searching for a quarterback. Last year, a record number of signal callers transferred and this year’s cycle looks to be even more chaotic.
Kentucky is one of the many programs searching for a new quarterback as Devin Leary’s college career will end with Kentucky’s bowl game. According to 247Sports, Lexington is one of the most ten attractive spots for a quarterback to land this offseason. As for their why:
“Liam Coen is the instructor for a quarterback-friendly scheme in Lexington that will have produced two draft picks (once Leary declares and joins Will Levis in the NFL). One encouraging factor for the next starting quarterback for the Wildcats is that he can be confident in the protection in front of him. Mark Stoops expects his offensive linemen to be nasty, people-movers up front and Kentucky allowed only the third-fewest sacks in the SEC.“
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With Liam Coen as offensive coordinator, a good offensive line, and talented receivers, Kentucky will be an attractive situation, but must look for a better fit this time around. The staff already has a few targets in mind, and according to some, may already have their guy. Several players have already announced their intentions to enter the portal, and there are more certain to announce over the coming days.
Time will tell who will be behind center for the Wildcats next season. With that said, who would you like to see as Kentucky’s starting quarterback in 2024?