Kentucky vs. Louisville is one of the best rivalries in college sports, and this year’s chapter in the series is the most anticipated in years.
Facing off on Tuesday night in the KFC Yum! Center, the two teams will face off in the earliest game of the series’ history, and just the second time ever in November.
It will also mark the first time since 2019 that both teams face off in a ranked matchup.
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The Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings (insert 67 joke), and will look to continue that streak. While the rivalry has been tame as of late, mainly because Louisville has been uncompetitive, this year’s matchup has generated some buzz as both teams enter the matchup as top-15 teams while getting plenty of Final Four buzz.
There’s also been plenty of buzz off the court for additional intrigue in this Bluegrass rivalry showdown.
Mark Pope and Pat Kelsey reportedly got into a verbal altercation outside of Taylen Kinney’s home, and Louisville’s Kasean Pryor told the media, “F**k em (Kentucky)”, leading up to the game.
Talk is cheap, but one team will walk out of Tuesday’s game with bragging rights for the year. It also could be a postseason preview, as both teams look fully capable of making a deep run in the NCAA Tournament, so it wouldn’t be shocking if they meet up again in March/April.
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Let’s take a look at the matchup and some things to watch for the Kentucky Wildcats as they take on the Louisville Cardinals.
3-Point Shooting
The early concern for this Kentucky team has been shooting. Through the preseason, the Wildcats never shot better than 31 percent, and in the first half of the season opener, they shot just 2/16 from deep. However, in the last three halves of basketball, Kentucky has shot over 41% from deep.
So, which is the true representation of this team?
The last three halves of basketball for Kentucky have also included having a true point guard running the offense, as Denzel Aberdeen and Jaland Lowe have returned from their respective injuries, allowing other players to play their true roles, and that has certainly made everyone look more comfortable.
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No one else is more than Collin Chandler, who is leading Kentucky in 3-pointers made (8) and percentage (53%).
Mark Pope said multiple times this offseason that this collection of players is a better shooting group than last season, but does not have a shooter of Koby Brea’s caliber. Tuesday against Louisville is a great opportunity to show just that.
In addition, Louisville shoots a heavy volume of 3s, so it’s imperative that Kentucky defend the 3-point line to win.
True Test for Defense
Last season, Kentucky’s defense ranked outside of the top 50. Knowing that they needed improvement to compete in the SEC and for a Final Four, Mark Pope and the staff put a lot of effort into recruiting players who would raise the defensive level of this year’s team.
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Though two regular-season games, that looks to have paid dividends.
Kentucky held Nicholls to 15 points in the first half of the season opener, just three points shy of a Kentucky record, and forced Valparaiso to sub-30% shooting.
However, those performances were against sub-200 KenPom teams. Louisville is currently 3rd in offensive efficiency, and will provide a true test of how good this defense is.
The Cardinals will likely look to attack Jaland Lowe, whom they took advantage of in two conference games last season against Pittsburgh. They need to be sound on second and third defensive rotations, which they have struggled with at times.
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First True Road Game
Tuesday will be Kentucky’s first true road game of the season. Of course, there will be some Kentucky fans, as blue gets in everywhere, but this will be the first time this roster will face adversity in a hostile crowd together.
Mark Pope has commented on Kentucky’s communication, calling for improvement, specifically on the defensive end. They have practiced in Rupp Arena and Historic Memorial Coliseum, simulating crowd noise, but there won’t be a whistle to correct things in the Yum! Center.
The team chemistry will be tested, and this game will provide an ample test in terms of where they are in chemistry and communication.
In what is expected to be a close game, the Wildcats will need to aim to shoot better than 70% from the free-throw line after shooting poorly there in the exhibition season and vs. Nicholls before shooting well vs. Valparaiso.
Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook has Louisville -3.5 with an over/under of 169.5. As far as the metrics, Haslametrics and KenPom believe it will be a coin flip at 51% and 48%. EvanMiya and BartTorvik are both at 31%, and ESPN gives the Wildcats a 23.1% of achieving victory at the Yum! Center.
Predictions: Haslametrics gives the Wildcats a .2 advantage, 78.4-78.2, but KenPom gives Louisville the edge, 83-82. BartTorvik and EvanMiya each project Louisville to win 84-78. Louisville has only beaten Kentucky three times since 2009 and has lost 6 of the last 7. I believe that trend continues, and Kentucky prevails 81-73.
Send us your Kentucky vs. Louisville score predictions in the comments section!
Milan Momcilovic has officially announced that he will be playing his senior year of college basketball at Kentucky, suiting up in the blue and white for Mark Pope and the Wildcats!
BREAKING: Milan Momcilovic announces he is transferring to Kentucky!
Averaged 16.9 PPG last season and became the first in CBB history to lead the nation in 3P% (48.6%) & 3P made (136) in a single season.
The 6-foot-8 wing averaged 16.9 points per game in the 2025-26 season, leading the nation in 3-pointers made (136) and percentage from deep (48.7%).
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Momcilovic is mostly ranked as No. 2 in most portal rankings, but ESPN has the former Cyclone as the No. 1 overall player. With that being said, this technically serves as Pope’s first No. 1 transfer during his tenure at Kentucky.
Pulling his name out of the 2026 NBA Draft on Wednesday, May 27, Kentucky was seemingly the favorite to land the wing during the entire sweepstakes due to positional need, scheme fit and money available to spend. He could even play another year with the Kentucky Wildcats if the “5-in-5” rule is passed and he forgoes the draft again.
Putting Pat Kelsey in a locker and outbidding him on a recruit is always great for morale, but this fills the much-needed star spot for next year’s roster. Pope and his staff have shaped the team with plenty of skilled players, but Momcilovic adds that extra layer of shooting and will serve as the go-to guy when a game may be on the line.
This will be the final player added to the 2026-27 team, with an insert at the starting small forward position in Momcilovic’s future. Pope and the Big Blue Nation have their guy, and soon enough, we’ll see the Pewaukee, Wisconsin native on Rupp Arena’s court.
The Milan Momcilovic sweepstakes is underway, with multiple teams involved in the No. 2 overall transfer player’s recruitment. It is believed that Kentucky and Louisville are the top candidates after his decision to pull out from the 2026 NBA Draft on Wednesday, May 27.
Along with the in-state rivals, Arizona and St. John’s are both very well still in the mix, but the Red Storm are slowly falling out of contention after landing Baylor’s Tounde Yessoufou.
What an absolute BOMB from Shams.
For the wondering Kentucky fans, this basically has the Milan Momcilovic sweepstakes now between in-state rivals Kentucky and Louisville.
I fully expect the Wildcats to have the edge in this recruitment. Would be very surprised if the… https://t.co/xyWATR3UwE— Kai McClelland (@fourwal1) May 28, 2026
On May 28, national reporter Matt Norlander cleared the air on CBS Sports’ Eye On College Basketball podcast, stating that he believes Kentucky will land Momcilovic by the end of the weekend or Monday.
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“My prediction right now is that Milan Momcilovic will go to Kentucky,” Norlander said. “My understanding is that decision is going to come in the next one, two, three days, four days max.”
He would go on to talk about the other top programs involved, stating why he thinks they will be working in an uphill battle in this bidding war.
“My forecast is that it’s Kentucky, but you know, we’ll see if Louisville can get in there,” he continued. “Arizona I don’t think has the money to contend, like I think Kentucky and Louisville just have more money to play with.”
For the worried members of the Big Blue Nation, this is certainly good news to be put out by one of the most trusted college basketball reporters at the national level.
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Going by this report and Adam Zagoria’s from NYT Sports, it shouldn’t be long until a commitment decision for Momcilovic is announced publicly.
Per @AdamZagoria, Milan Momcilovic will announce where he will play his senior year of college basketball by the end of this weekend.— Kai McClelland (@fourwal1) May 28, 2026
Milan Momcilovic has officially removed his named from the 2026 NBA Draft and will return to college for his senior season.
Kentucky leads in his recruitment, followed closely by St. John’s, Louisville and Arizona. A backdoor to Iowa State is also still open.
The No. 2 ranked transfer would be a huge addition to Kentucky’s 2026-27 roster if he committed, averaging 16.9 points per game on 50.6/48.7/87.8 shooting splits last year. Funny enough, in the current world of college athletics that we live in, Momcilovic was responsible for eliminating the Wildcats from the NCAA Tournament, dropping 20 points in the Round of 32.
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He would go on to lose to Tennessee in the Sweet 16 with Iowa State, so at least we know that there’s some inner-hatred for a long-standing rival if he ends up a Wildcat.
He made the most three-point shots in Division I basketball and is a versatile 6-foot-8 wing, which would fit perfectly into Mark Pope’s offensive system. He completed workouts with the Chicago Bulls and Minnesota Timberwolves during the draft process.
Now, the bidding war for the top dog begins, with some of the most prestigious programs in the sport placing their bets on the star forward.