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KY Insider Preview: Sweet Sixteen Edition

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Kentucky will take on Houston on Friday, in a battle of the logos.

The Cougars are enjoying their best season since the 1980’s and the “Phi Slamma Jamma” days. This Houston team is much different than the one that featured two Hall of Famers, Clyde Drexler and Hakeem Olujuwan.

Instead this Houston team is undersized, gritty, and tough and will make their opponents fight for everything. Houston takes pride in their defense, as they rank No. 12 in defensive efficiency and is No. 1 in the country in opponent field goal percentage. Houston is a good team, but they have one big knock. The Cougars only have 1 win over a KenPom top-25 team, that win coming back in December against LSU at Houston.

This will be a gritty, tough it out type of game, let’s look at Kentucky needs to do give themselves the best chance to win.

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PJ Washington

The Big Blue Nation got a well needed shot of good news when PJ Washington tweeted this video on Wednesday.

To me, when Calipiari retweeted PJ with an “uh oh”, it confirmed that PJ will return against Houston. It doesn’t make any sense to set the team and the fans up for something that’s not going to happen.

In today’s press conference PJ told reporters, “It’s good, I feel good. It’s about going out there and seeing if I can do stuff on the court”. PJ participated in today’s practice, and while the media was sent to the back during the Wildcat’s contact drills, they were able to catch this video.

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Calipari went on to tell reporters that doctors told PJ that he can’t further injure himself by playing. Cal said, “If that were the case. I wouldn’t let him play”.

While there are still some question marks, I would be shocked if PJ didn’t play on Friday.

Efficient Offense and Good Shot Selection

Against Wofford, Kentucky simply failed to execute well on offense for a majority of the game. Kentucky will be facing a much stingier Houston defense Friday night.

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Kentucky is Top 25 in offensive efficiency and field goal percentage, and the Cats will need to display that. If PJ is on the floor this is a much easier task as he is able to space the floor and provide scoring that Kentucky didn’t have the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament.

Tyler Herro will have a tough defensive assignment against Houston’s Corey Davis, the Cougar’s leading scorer. Unless he can match that defensive effort and hold Davis to single digits, Kentucky can’t afford for Herro to shoot 2-11 again. There were too many times against Wofford that Kentucky just settled. While Cal will want to take advantage of Kentucky’s size advantage, Kentucky’s guard will need to produce more offense.

Guard Play

I am a firm believer in that this game will be decided by the guard play.

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Houston has one of the best backcourts in the country with Corey Davis and Armoni Brooks. Davis and Brooks combine for an average of 30 points and both have made over 100 three pointers with over 38% 3P.

So far in the tournament Davis has averaged 23.5 points, 40.5% FG, 39% 3P. While Davis isn’t shooting a great percentage from the field, most of his attempts are from three and he made seven

It’s not just Davis and Brooks, one of Houston’s biggest strengths is their depth, especially on the perimeter. Houston’s guards account for 75% of their points, meaning Kentucky’s guards will have to stay in front because of their quickness and stay home because of their shooting ability.

On the other hand, Kentucky’s guards haven’t played their best basketball in the NCAA tournament and they will need to step up.

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One bright spot has been Ashton Hagans. Hagans biggest knock has been his turnover rate, which has improved in NCAA Tournament play averaging only 1.5 turnovers in addition to 8 points, 4 assists, 4.5 rebounds, and 1 steal. Not to mention, Jemarl Baker, who will likely see some more playing time and provide some shooting and defense.

If the Wildcat guards can outplay the Houston guards, Kentucky’s chances to win look a lot better.

Rebounding

John Calipari’s Kentucky teams have always been strong on the boards, and this year is no different. Kentucky is ranked 35th in both offensive and defensive rebounds per game.

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It’s not often that Kentucky faces a team just as good on the boards, but they will again on Friday.

Houston ranks top 20 in both offensive and defensive rebounds per game and are as tough and gritty as any team Kentucky has played this season. However, they aren’t as good as keeping their opponents off the board ranking over 200th in the country in all rebounding categories.

If Houston’s defense is able to limit Kentucky on offense, the Cats will need to crash the boards with a purpose and give themselves extra opportunities. With the size advantage, the Cats have no excuse not to capitalize.

Prediction

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While the Cougars don’t shoot great from outside, they shoot A LOT from outside. If the Cats don’t show up ready to play or the Cougars are lighting it up from outside, Kentucky could be in trouble.

However, Kentucky will have a substantial size advantage at every position, and will need to use that to their advantage on both ends of the floor. With PJ back in the lineup, I expect for Kentucky to have a much better offensive night. At this point in the season, the Cats are simply more battle tested than Houston.

According to Houston’s Breaon Brady, Kentucky is “just another team. Everybody is hyping Kentucky, and we love that”. I anticipate the Cats to respond on the court and show that they are more than just “another team”.

Kentucky: 76

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Houston:69

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BB Recruiting

James Madison Transfer Justin McBride to Visit Kentucky on Tuesday

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Kentucky will host James Madison transfer James McBride for a visit on Tuesday, after communicating with Mark Pope and the staff via Zoom video call.
James Madison Athletics

While much of the attention in the transfer portal goes to the top targets, you need to build a full roster. Still with starting spots to be claimed, Kentucky also looking at depth pieces. The most recent, James Madison transfer Justin McBride.

After talking to the staff this week via Zoom video call, McBride is scheduled to take a visit to Lexington on Tuesday.

A three-star transfer, ranked 201st overall according to 247Sports, McBride is being recruited by multiple power conference teams including Baylor and Cal, as well as SEC foes Mississippi State and Ole Miss.

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Out of high school, McBride was a four-star recruit, ranked in the top 150 nationally.

“He is a versatile player who has that IT factor about him. You can tell by the passion he plays with that there is a huge chip on his shoulder,” 247Sports asked program director Vonzell Thomas said as he evaluated McBride out of high school. “What I like about his game is his will to win. He does whatever it takes to win and not every kid has that mentality.”

From Texas, McBride committed to Oklahoma State over the likes of Kansas and Arkansas, where he played alongside former Wildcat Bandon Garrison. There, he appeared in just 24 games, averaging just over five minutes per game.

Seeking a larger role, McBride entered the transfer portal and dropped to the mid-major level, committing to Nevada. With the Wolfpack he nearly tripled both his minutes and production, averaging 7.8 points and 4.2 rebounds in just under 20 minutes per game. His most recent stop, James Madison this past season, McBride had a breakout year, averaging 15.3 points and 5.6 rebounds on 40 percent shooting from deep.

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Entering his senior season, the 6-7, 240 pound McBride is eyeing a jump back to the power conference level, prioritizing fit at his next stop.

Will that be Kentucky?

McBride has good size and athleticism, and has an inside-out style of game. Meaning he can work his away around the paint, but can also space the floor with his shooting, grading fairly well as a catch and shoot guy. Overall, he ranks in the 97th percentile in scoring volume. That said, there is come consistency to be lacked on the defensive side.

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BB Recruiting

Multiple Transfers Meet With Kentucky on Wednesday

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The transfer portal is active, and Zoom stock is going up as college coaches are video chatting around the clock to build their rosters, including Kentucky.

On Wednesday, Mark Pope and the Kentucky staff added three more names to the Zoom list.

Alex Wilkins (Guard, Furman), 4⭐️, 46th-ranked transfer

Class: Sophomore
Physicals: 6-5, 175 lbs
Last season averages: 17.8 PPG, 4.7 APG, 46% FG, 32.8% 3P

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An underrated prospect coming out of high school, Wilkins splashed on the scene this year at Furman. As a freshman, he led his team to the NCAA Tournament, averaging 17.8 points and 4.7 assists and earning second team All-SoCon honors.

There were few players as critical to their team’s success as Wilkins, leading the SoCon in possession usage (34.4%) and shot usage (31.7%). That does lend some explanation to his poor shooting splits and turnover concerns (3.8 turnovers per game).

A quick, wirey guard, Wilkins is a capable scorer at all three levels, and can create for his teammates. However, he needs to add some muscle for power conference competition, and needs to have more consistent effort on the defensive end.

A freshman, those are both correctable things.

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Isaac Celiscar (Forward, Yale), 4⭐️, 84th-ranked transfer

Class: Junior
Physicals: 6-6, 210 lbs
Last season averages: 13.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 57.3% FG, 40.7% 3P

Isaac Celiscar is one of the most efficient, versatile players in the transfer portal.

The first takeaway, averaging 13.2 point per game with 57.3 percent shooting, he is extremely efficient on limited opportunities. Shooting nearly 41 percent from deep, he is a threat from deep as well. That efficiency carries over to his passing, as he averages more than three assists per game, on just 1.3 turnovers per game.

Celiscar grades out as a glue-guy with great offensive skills and good feel for the game, but he does have limitations in terms of his athleticism and shot creation.

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Jalen Cox (Guard, Colgate), 3⭐️ , 149th-ranked transfer

Class: Senior
Physicals: 6-3, 180 lbs
Last season averages: 17.9 PPG, 5.3 APG, 5.0 RPG, 52.1% FG, 36.5% 3P

Jalen Cox is the lowest ranked player Kentucky has reached out to, but the Wildcats need depth and Cox is a experienced guard with proven production.

Averaging 17.9 points and 5.3 assists (2.0+ assist-to-turnover ratio) per game on 52 percent shooting from the field, Cox is a versatile and efficient offensive player. He has also multiple conference All-Defense selections too, making him a two way player.

The biggest concern with Cox is his athletic ceiling and how that translates to power conference competition. However an experienced two way player is a great rotation piece.

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Top Five Transfer Paulius Murauskas Moves Up Call, Talks With Kentucky on Wednesday

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Kentucky met with Saint Mary's transfer Paulius Muruaskas, one of the top forwards in the transfer portal, on Wednesday and is looking to schedule a visit for him to come to Lexington.
Saint Mary's Athletics

Mark Pope and the Kentucky Wildcats are as busy as anyone in the transfer portal. On Wednesday, they met with their biggest fish of this transfer portal cycle so far, Paulius Murauskas.

Originally scheduled for Thursday, the Wildcats met with Murauskas via Zoom video call on Wednesday, per source.

Currently ranked 4th overall in 247Sports transfer rankings, the top-ranked forward, Murauskas is the prototypical modern basketball player. Good size at 6-foot-8, 235 pounds, with the ability to create for himself and others, has a good handle, and overall good feel for the game.

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Murauskas started his collegiate career at Arizona after some professional experience in Lithuania. Playing just five minutes per game with the Wildcats as a freshman, Murauskas transferred to Saint Mary’s, where he has flourished and earned All-Conference honors the last two seasons.

This past season, Murauskas averaged 18.4 points and 7.6 rebounds, on 48.2 percent shooting from the field and 33.3 percent from deep. As for his weaknesses, he is not super athletic, and he does need to be more consistent with his shot.

Originally thought to follow former Saint Mary’s head coach Randy Bennett to Arizona State, Murauskas is exploring all options. Following the Zoom, Kentucky is trying to get him on campus for a visit in the near future.

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