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Three Reasons Why Kentucky Will Win the Title and Why They Won't

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The Wildcats have all the tools to win no. 9 this year but let’s analyze Kentucky’s chances and what gives them the best chance and what does or could potentially hurt them come tournament time.

Why They Will

1.Rebounding

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Kentucky currently sits 30th in the country averaging 39.04 rebounds per game. However, they outrebounded the “best” rebounding team in the country, North Carolina. In their December matchup, the Wildcats outrebounded the Tar Heels by 11 rebounds. Where Kentucky is most impressive is their offensive rebounding. Kentucky rebounds 36.6% of their misses, which is the 7th highest rate in the country. Interestingly, 2 of 4 teams Kentucky has lost to rebound their own misses at a higher rate, Duke and LSU.

2. Offensive and Defensive Efficiency

Only one time in history has a team not ranked top-20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency won the NCAA championship, that outlier being the 2014 UConn team. Kentucky is currently 14th in offensive efficiency and 8th in defensive efficiency. Making them one of six teams currently in the top-20 in each category, those other teams being Duke, Virginia, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Lousiville.

3. Versatility

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This Kentucky team has come a long way since the opening night embarrassment to Duke and giving up 82 points to VMI. This team has found different ways to win all year as they’ve grown into the national title contender they are. Before Kentucky was a top-10 defense and beating teams up in the paint, Kentucky’s defense was far from elite and the two best players were Reid Travis and Keldon Johnson. They’ve won games using the free-throw line (Auburn), forcing turnovers & transition (North Carolina & Vandy), stingy defense (Florida), physicality & toughness (Tennessee). This team has pieces that can do different things and one player is capable of picking up the slack when someone else is having an off game.

Why They Won’t

1.Can PJ Washington keep his play up?

After destroying Vanderbilt Calipari said, “I’ve been waiting a year and a half for him to play this way”. PJ Washington has been playing at a first-team All American level the past 8 games averaging 21.0 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 1.4 apg, and 1.3 bpg on 55.4% FG and 50% 3P. This is the version of PJ Washington the Cats needs in order to be successful but is this level of play sustainable for PJ?

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2. Outside shooting

Kentucky is 316th out of the 351 NCAA Division-1 schools in 3P made per game. It’s not even the fact that they don’t make them, we are 340th in 3P attempted. Calipari has yet to embrace the three-point shot as it has become the biggest shot in the entire sport of basketball, and can be seen when we face a good zone. That could come back to get the Wildcats in March.

3. Turnovers

Kentucky is 137th in turnovers per game at 12.8, which is one of the highest amongst the national title contenders. Kentucky can’t give up as many free possessions and points and expect to win a title, especially with their lack of shooting. However, in their last 5 games, they are improving in that area.

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Kentucky is capable of beating anyone, and is as talented and is playing as well as any team in the country. However, they aren’t without faults and its March Madness for a reason.

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Men's Basketball

CBS Sports: Kentucky Has “ended pursuits” in Transfer Portal Following Aberdeen Commitment

In the wake of yet another addition to Kentucky’s incoming roster, CBS Sports reports that Coach Pope and staff may have closed the portal.

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Mark Pope and staff may have everything they need from the transfer portal.
Chet White | UK Athletics

Following another flurry of transfer portal additions in his second year at the helm, it appears that Mark Pope and staff are satisfied with their sophomore haul. The portal in Lexington may be officially closed for the 2025-26′ season.

Right after Kentucky received the surprising commitment of Denzel Aberdeen, Matt Norlander, an analyst for CBS Sports, posted the following on X (Twitter):

“Barring any portal defections, Kentucky has ended its pursuits of all other portal targets, sources told CBS Sports. Getting Aberdeen today [April 21] meant they’ve moved off Andrej Stojakovic, Rylan Griffen, etc. Otega Oweh going through pre-draft process-but I expect him back in Lex”.

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With the addition of Aberdeen, the Wildcats’ roster ballooned to near-max capacity for next season. Seeing two of the team’s walk-on players, Grant Darbyshire and Walker Horn, enter the transfer portal seemed to all but confirm this suspicion, too.

Losing One of Our Own

That is, until last night. With less than two hours remaining for players to do so, Travis Perry shocked much of the Big Blue Nation by throwing his name into the hat. This came just weeks after a string of comments from the Kentucky-native point guard seemed to confirm his return for a sophomore season.

Though all the same, given Kentucky’s bulk of back-court additions this offseason, his departure makes sense for the sake of playing time alone. The Lyon King will be sorely missed.

So while the Kentucky staff may still be very much content with their current roster, with hundreds of players remaining in the portal and an unexpected spot on the roster coming open, another grab is far from out of the question.

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Who Coach Pope and company would go after is entirely unclear, as that potential player would likely have to accept a minimized role off the bench for a stretch of his time in Lexington. If anything, the logical replacement would be a direct fill-in at the PG2/PG3 spot in Perry’s absence.

Either way, the ‘Cats are set to come into next season as one of the most exciting teams in college basketball with a ceiling far out of view. Mark Pope continues to prove his prowess in the transfer market, too, easing the worries of Wildcats fans and closing the door on many supposed “insiders” who’ve spent the last month suggesting otherwise.

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Men's Basketball

REPORT: Travis Perry Enters Transfer Portal

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Kentucky basketball Travis Perry talks about growing more comfortable on the court.
Jordan Prather | IMAGN

The transfer portal has been kind to Kentucky in the Mark Pope era. Last season, the staff was able to build a Sweet Sixteen roster almost exclusively from the portal, and this offseason have put together a top-five portal class.

While the portal giveth, it also taketh. Just hours before the deadline to enter, Kentucky native and fan favorite Travis Perry has entered the transfer portal, per multiple reports.

Coming to Kentucky as the state’s all-time high-school scoring record holder, fans were excited to see how his career would unfold in Lexington.

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Not expecting to play much freshman, he was called upon due to injuries and played some key minutes for the Wildcats into the postseason. He averaged 2.7 PPG and .6 APG on 32% shooting from three.

Looking at the depth chart, it was difficult to see where Perry would get much playing time next season, leading to his decision to enter the portal.

Perry has yet to release an official statement, but all the best to him in his future.

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Men's Basketball

Top Transfer Guard Denzel Aberdeen Commits to Kentucky

Former Florida guard Denzel Aberdeen commits to Kentucky, likely closing the transfer portal for next year’s roster.

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Denzel Aberdeen commits to Kentucky.
UF Athletics

Another day, another “boom.” Denzel Aberdeen has officially committed to Kentucky for the 2025-26’ season.

A soon-to-be senior guard fresh off his championship win with Florida, Aberdeen spent his first three years of eligibility in Gainesville. Now, following an apparent conflict in the Gators’ rotation, he’s swapped teams in the southeast.

At 6 ‘5”, 190, Aberdeen spent much of this past season beating defenders off the dribble and making them pay at the rim. His speed and size made him a nightmare off the bench for opposing teams, and for the short stretch of play that he started during the year, Florida didn’t miss a beat. 

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In 19 minutes, Aberdeen averaged 8 points, two rebounds and one assist per game. His consistent contribution to the Gators’ title run made him one of the most coveted transfers in the cycle this season, and given his big blue commitment just days after entering the portal, Mark Pope clearly wasted no time in Kentucky’s pursuit.

Aberdeen slots in as yet another addition to what was already one of the strongest portal classes going into next season. His SEC experience and combo-guard intangibles make Aberdeen one of the most exciting portal players to come through Lexington in a long while, reinforcing Kentucky’s back court to what may be the final degree.

Whether or not Mark Pope is officially done for next season, nobody is sure, but this commitment only further cements the fact that he knows exactly what he’s doing. Just like the  fanbase behind him, Coach Pope seems to never sleep.

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